View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 361-390 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
FNWB NASDAQ · First Northwest Bancorp
3 Oct 20257.90
11.95
51.27%
Buy
0.41
-
-
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
4 Jul 202521.73
28.32
30.33%
Buy
0.70
-
-
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
3 Jul 202651.35
48.35
-5.84%
Buy
0.87
-
-
FRMI NASDAQ · Fermi Inc.
15 May 20266.51
7.40
13.67%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FRPH NASDAQ · Frp Holdings Ord
5 Jun 202623.54
23.42
-0.51%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FRSH NASDAQ · Freshworks Inc
29 May 20269.71
10.27
5.77%
Buy
0.99
-
-
FSK NYSE · FS KKR Capital Corp
8 May 202610.41
10.63
2.09%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FSV NASDAQ · FirstService Corp
12 Jun 2026143.05
137.46
-3.91%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FTRE NASDAQ · Fortrea Holdings Inc.
15 Aug 20258.04
19.52
142.79%
Buy
0.90
-
-
FUL NYSE · H B Fuller Company
12 Jun 202663.63
55.70
-12.46%
Buy
0.17
-
-
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
10 Apr 202619.94
17.37
-12.89%
Buy
0.73
-
-
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
29 Aug 202510.48
11.00
4.97%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FWRG NASDAQ · First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
19 Jun 202611.81
12.12
2.62%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GANX NASDAQ · Gain Therapeutics Inc
13 Sep 20241.47
1.75
19.45%
Buy
0.13
-
-
GBLI NASDAQ · Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock
9 Jan 202627.90
27.00
-3.24%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
24 Jul 20260.51
0.51
New Entry week
Buy
0.67
-
-
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
1 May 20261.59
1.95
22.64%
Buy
1.17
-
-
GDDY NYSE · Godaddy Inc
26 Jun 202684.55
93.16
10.18%
Buy
0.67
-
-
GDOT NYSE · Green Dot Corporation
9 May 202510.94
13.28
21.39%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GDRX NASDAQ · Goodrx Holdings Inc
1 May 20262.55
2.96
16.08%
Buy
0.65
-
-
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
15 May 20261.16
0.99
-14.66%
Buy
0.39
-
-
GECC NASDAQ · Great Elm Capital Corp
8 May 20265.60
5.22
-6.78%
Buy
0.00
-
-
GELS NASDAQ · Gelteq Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20260.62
0.70
13.03%
Buy
0.27
-
-
GEMI NASDAQ · Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1 May 20264.72
4.29
-9.11%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GENI NYSE · Genius Sports Ltd
22 May 20265.35
6.48
21.12%
Buy
0.04
-
-
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
22 Aug 20254.85
6.51
34.23%
Buy
0.48
-
-
GGRP NASDAQ · The Glimpse Group, Inc.
3 Jul 20260.82
0.88
6.22%
Buy
0.91
-
-
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
3 Jul 20265.96
5.12
-14.09%
Buy
0.27
-
-
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
10 Jul 202667.06
66.43
-0.94%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GIC NYSE · Global Industrial Co
2 May 202524.76
35.12
41.86%
Buy
0.64
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 6271-6300 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
24 Jan 2025
Entry
MYE NYSE · Myers Industries Inc
11.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
24 Jan 2025
Entry
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
11.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.49
24 Jan 2025
Entry
OKLO NYSE · Oklo Inc.
41.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.87
24 Jan 2025
Exit
OPEN NASDAQ · Opendoor Technologies Inc
1.35
20% entry drawdown
-21.79%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 1.73
24 Jan 2025
Exit
OSPN NASDAQ · OneSpan Inc
18.37
Reversal Risk Warning
89.45%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 9.70
24 Jan 2025
Exit
OWL NYSE · Blue Owl Capital Inc
24.41
Reversal Risk Warning
132.55%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 10.50
24 Jan 2025
Exit
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.08
20% entry drawdown
-20.91%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 2.63
24 Jan 2025
Entry
RDIB NASDAQ · Reading International B Inc
6.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.49
24 Jan 2025
Entry
RGTI NASDAQ · Rigetti Computing Inc
13.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.20
24 Jan 2025
Entry
SANA NASDAQ · Sana Biotechnology Inc
3.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
24 Jan 2025
Exit
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
7.35
Reversal Risk Warning
82.38%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 4.03
24 Jan 2025
Exit
SWVL NASDAQ · Swvl Holdings Corp
4.69
20% entry drawdown
-23.86%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 6.16
24 Jan 2025
Entry
TWI NYSE · Titan International Inc
8.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.06
24 Jan 2025
Entry
VALN NASDAQ · Valneva SE ADR
4.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
24 Jan 2025
Exit
VFC NYSE · VF Corporation
25.46
Reversal Risk Warning
85.74%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 13.71
24 Jan 2025
Exit
VIVO NASDAQ · VivoPower PLC
1.11
20% entry drawdown
-21.28%
Entry 20 Dec 2024 1.41
17 Jan 2025
Entry
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
2.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
17 Jan 2025
Exit
AEI NASDAQ · Alset Ehome International Inc
0.82
20% entry drawdown
-20.33%
Entry 7 Jun 2024 1.03
17 Jan 2025
Exit
AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc
16.69
Reversal Risk Warning
75.68%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 9.50
17 Jan 2025
Exit
ARCC NASDAQ · Ares Capital Corporation
20.11
Reversal Risk Warning
36.66%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 14.72
17 Jan 2025
Exit
ARES NYSE · Ares Management LP
180.02
Reversal Risk Warning
87.82%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 95.85
17 Jan 2025
Exit
ATRA NASDAQ · Atara Biotherapeutics Inc
6.57
20% entry drawdown
-30.18%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 9.41
17 Jan 2025
Exit
BAND NASDAQ · Bandwidth Inc
15.68
20% entry drawdown
-20.20%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 19.65
17 Jan 2025
Entry
BAYA NASDAQ · Bayview Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Shares
10.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
17 Jan 2025
Exit
CMTL NASDAQ · Comtech Telecommunications Corp
2.63
20% entry drawdown
-36.47%
Entry 27 Dec 2024 4.14
17 Jan 2025
Exit
CRGO NASDAQ · Freightos Limited Ordinary shares
3.92
Reversal Risk Warning
84.04%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 2.13
17 Jan 2025
Exit
DPRO NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
3.30
20% entry drawdown
-24.31%
Entry 13 Dec 2024 4.36
17 Jan 2025
Entry
DRTS NASDAQ · Alpha Tau Medical Ltd
3.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.82
17 Jan 2025
Exit
FBRX NASDAQ · Forte Biosciences Inc
15.60
20% entry drawdown
-28.14%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 21.71
17 Jan 2025
Exit
FEAM NASDAQ · 5E Advanced Materials Inc
10.88
20% entry drawdown
-28.33%
Entry 27 Dec 2024 15.18