Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60
Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830
Avg 3054.5/yr ·
254.5/mo ·
58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880
Stop 41.8% ·
Warning 57.6%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ALC
NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI
NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01
MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR
NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG
NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77
MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB
NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55
MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST
NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL
NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51
MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI
NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65
MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA
NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11
MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU
NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW
NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58
MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO
NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP
NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX
NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25
MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS
NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY
NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT
NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48
MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN
NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73
MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM
NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD
NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04
MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN
NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13
MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
AMST
NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99
20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER
NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40
20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK
NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51
20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD
NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH
NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19
Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK
NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26
20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR
NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50
Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC
NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51
20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC
NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58
20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS
NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89
20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC
NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51
20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR
NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33
20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD
NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71
20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL
NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06
20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX
NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX
NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33
20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI
NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98
20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC
NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47
20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX
NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41
20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG
NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60
20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP
NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38
20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG
NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31
20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ
NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54
20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST
NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93
20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO
NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69
Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70
20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB
NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23
20% entry drawdown · -21.15%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
FNWB
NASDAQ · First Northwest Bancorp
3 Oct 20257.90
11.95
51.27%
Buy
0.41
-
-
FOR
NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
4 Jul 202521.73
28.32
30.33%
Buy
0.70
-
-
FOUR
NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
3 Jul 202651.35
48.35
-5.84%
Buy
0.87
-
-
FRMI
NASDAQ · Fermi Inc.
15 May 20266.51
7.40
13.67%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FRPH
NASDAQ · Frp Holdings Ord
5 Jun 202623.54
23.42
-0.51%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FRSH
NASDAQ · Freshworks Inc
29 May 20269.71
10.27
5.77%
Buy
0.99
-
-
FSK
NYSE · FS KKR Capital Corp
8 May 202610.41
10.63
2.09%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FSV
NASDAQ · FirstService Corp
12 Jun 2026143.05
137.46
-3.91%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FTRE
NASDAQ · Fortrea Holdings Inc.
15 Aug 20258.04
19.52
142.79%
Buy
0.90
-
-
FUL
NYSE · H B Fuller Company
12 Jun 202663.63
55.70
-12.46%
Buy
0.17
-
-
FUN
NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
10 Apr 202619.94
17.37
-12.89%
Buy
0.73
-
-
FVN
NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
29 Aug 202510.48
11.00
4.97%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FWRG
NASDAQ · First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
19 Jun 202611.81
12.12
2.62%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GANX
NASDAQ · Gain Therapeutics Inc
13 Sep 20241.47
1.75
19.45%
Buy
0.13
-
-
GBLI
NASDAQ · Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock
9 Jan 202627.90
27.00
-3.24%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GCL
NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
24 Jul 20260.51
0.51
New
Entry week
Buy
0.67
-
-
GCTS
NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
1 May 20261.59
1.95
22.64%
Buy
1.17
-
-
GDDY
NYSE · Godaddy Inc
26 Jun 202684.55
93.16
10.18%
Buy
0.67
-
-
GDOT
NYSE · Green Dot Corporation
9 May 202510.94
13.28
21.39%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GDRX
NASDAQ · Goodrx Holdings Inc
1 May 20262.55
2.96
16.08%
Buy
0.65
-
-
GDTC
NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
15 May 20261.16
0.99
-14.66%
Buy
0.39
-
-
GECC
NASDAQ · Great Elm Capital Corp
8 May 20265.60
5.22
-6.78%
Buy
0.00
-
-
GELS
NASDAQ · Gelteq Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20260.62
0.70
13.03%
Buy
0.27
-
-
GEMI
NASDAQ · Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1 May 20264.72
4.29
-9.11%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GENI
NYSE · Genius Sports Ltd
22 May 20265.35
6.48
21.12%
Buy
0.04
-
-
GFR
NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
22 Aug 20254.85
6.51
34.23%
Buy
0.48
-
-
GGRP
NASDAQ · The Glimpse Group, Inc.
3 Jul 20260.82
0.88
6.22%
Buy
0.91
-
-
GHI
NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
3 Jul 20265.96
5.12
-14.09%
Buy
0.27
-
-
GIB
NYSE · CGI Inc
10 Jul 202667.06
66.43
-0.94%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GIC
NYSE · Global Industrial Co
2 May 202524.76
35.12
41.86%
Buy
0.64
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
20 Dec 2024
Entry
OPTX
NASDAQ · Syntec Optics Holdings Inc.
3.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.90
20 Dec 2024
Entry
PROC
NASDAQ · Procaps Group SA
2.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.37
20 Dec 2024
Exit
PRPO
NASDAQ · Precipio Inc
5.27
20% entry drawdown
-22.50%
Entry 23 Aug 2024
6.80
20 Dec 2024
Entry
PYPD
NASDAQ · PolyPid
3.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.50
20 Dec 2024
Entry
RR
NASDAQ · Richtech Robotics Inc. Class B Common Stock
1.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.68
20 Dec 2024
Exit
SA
NYSE · Seabridge Gold Inc.
11.86
20% entry drawdown
-21.56%
Entry 29 Mar 2024
15.12
20 Dec 2024
Exit
SATL
NASDAQ · Satellogic V Inc
3.07
20% entry drawdown
-21.68%
Entry 6 Dec 2024
3.92
20 Dec 2024
Exit
SCOR
NASDAQ · Comscore Inc
6.50
20% entry drawdown
-22.43%
Entry 29 Nov 2024
8.38
20 Dec 2024
Entry
SENS
NASDAQ · Senseonics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
9.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.30
20 Dec 2024
Exit
SMCI
NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc
31.59
20% entry drawdown
-28.09%
Entry 6 Dec 2024
43.93
20 Dec 2024
Exit
SPPL
NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
6.40
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 8 Nov 2024
8.00
20 Dec 2024
Entry
SSBI
NASDAQ · Summit State Bank
7.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.06
20 Dec 2024
Entry
VIVO
NASDAQ · VivoPower PLC
1.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.07
20 Dec 2024
Entry
WHWK
NASDAQ · Whitehawk Therapeutics, Inc.
3.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 2.12
13 Dec 2024
Entry
AIP
NASDAQ · Arteris Inc
10.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.14
13 Dec 2024
Entry
AIRT
NASDAQ · Air T Inc
20.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.24
13 Dec 2024
Entry
ALGM
NASDAQ · Allegro Microsystems Inc
22.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.14
13 Dec 2024
Entry
ALMU
NASDAQ · Aeluma, Inc
7.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.35
13 Dec 2024
Exit
ALOY
NASDAQ · REalloys Inc.
2.10
20% entry drawdown
-30.23%
Entry 18 Oct 2024
3.01
13 Dec 2024
Exit
AMD
NASDAQ · Advanced Micro Devices Inc
126.91
20% entry drawdown
-24.41%
Entry 11 Oct 2024
167.89
13 Dec 2024
Entry
AMPG
NASDAQ · Amplitech Group Inc
2.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.29
13 Dec 2024
Entry
ANL
NASDAQ · Adlai Nortye Ltd. American Depositary Shares
2.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.64
13 Dec 2024
Entry
BEEP
NASDAQ · Mobile Infrastructure Corporation
4.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.00
13 Dec 2024
Exit
BTCS
NASDAQ · BTCS Inc
3.24
20% entry drawdown
-24.60%
Entry 15 Nov 2024
4.30
13 Dec 2024
Entry
BTQ
NASDAQ · BTQ Technologies Corp. Common Stock
2.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.38
13 Dec 2024
Entry
CCRN
NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
18.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.19
13 Dec 2024
Entry
CGTX
NASDAQ · Cognition Therapeutics Inc
0.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.21
13 Dec 2024
Entry
CMRX
NASDAQ · Chimerix Inc
2.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.40
13 Dec 2024
Exit
CRNT
NASDAQ · Ceragon Networks Ltd
4.79
Reversal Risk Warning
127.01%
Entry 22 Dec 2023
2.11
13 Dec 2024
Entry
CVAC
NASDAQ · CureVac NV
3.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.38