Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
487.74
Total Return
387.74%
CAGR
57.51% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+35.40%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.70 Sortino 5.25
Current Holdings
1105
Transactions
10675 Avg 3060.4/yr · 255.0/mo · 58.9/wk
Exit Mix
4785 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.5% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
47
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
95.40 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACET NASDAQ · Adicet Bio Inc
9.00 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
1.24 MD 0.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
2.27 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc
14.26 MD 0.88 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc
6.06 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AVXL NASDAQ · Anavex Life Sciences Corp
2.76 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
10.93 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
40.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
2.17 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
6.97 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CIGI NASDAQ · Colliers International Group Inc Bats
98.51 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
6.48 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRAC NASDAQ · Crown Reserve Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares
10.12 MD 1.89 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DEFT NASDAQ · DeFi Technologies Inc.
0.53 MD 0.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DNMX NASDAQ · Dynamix Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
0.94 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ELBM NASDAQ · Electra Battery Materials Corp
0.56 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
5.64 MD 0.68 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
2.90 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc
29.63 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
5.61 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
51.35 MD 0.87 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
5.96 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc
37.57 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HELP NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock
6.24 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INCR NASDAQ · InterCure Ltd.
1.09 MD 1.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNSL NYSE · Kinsale Capital Group Inc
354.85 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAB NASDAQ · Standard Biotools Inc
0.91 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
6.92 MD 0.38 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
178.54 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated
100.77 MD 0.01 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NKE NYSE · Nike Inc
44.09 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
9.79 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
5.76 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OXBR NASDAQ · Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd
1.28 MD 1.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
17.79 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.17 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
4.19 MD 0.43 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
1.04 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.06 MD 1.64 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc
8.27 MD 0.58 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WAY NASDAQ · Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
23.46 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
177.99 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
3.47 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZBH NYSE · Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc
87.47 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc
147.33 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
22
ABCL NASDAQ · Abcellera Biologics Inc
8.11 Reversal Risk Warning · 137.83%
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.60%
AIRT NASDAQ · Air T Inc
28.87 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.30%
ALAR NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
6.35 20% entry drawdown · -34.06%
ALGT NASDAQ · Allegiant Travel Company
118.67 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.01%
ASTL NASDAQ · Algoma Steel Group Inc
3.77 20% entry drawdown · -20.46%
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
7.45 20% entry drawdown · -30.18%
ENVX NASDAQ · Enovix Corp
5.36 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
FA NASDAQ · First Advantage Corp
20.53 Reversal Risk Warning · 58.29%
GCBC NASDAQ · Greene County Bancorp Inc
34.66 Reversal Risk Warning · 41.97%
ILMN NASDAQ · Illumina Inc
188.68 Reversal Risk Warning · 117.05%
LFVN NASDAQ · Lifevantage Corporation
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -20.55%
MB NASDAQ · MasterBeef Group Ordinary Shares
4.51 20% entry drawdown · -26.31%
MOVE NASDAQ · Movano Inc
17.37 20% entry drawdown · -24.12%
NEUP NASDAQ · Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc
3.38 20% entry drawdown · -32.94%
OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.
1.16 20% entry drawdown · -30.12%
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.34 20% entry drawdown · -25.56%
SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc
27.22 20% entry drawdown · -23.04%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
7.12 Reversal Risk Warning · 38.79%
USIO NASDAQ · Usio Inc
2.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 63.16%
VGAS NASDAQ · Verde Clean Fuels Inc.
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -34.21%
WXM NASDAQ · WF International Limited Ordinary Shares
4.29 20% entry drawdown · -23.38%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 391-420 of 1105 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
GDOT NYSE · Green Dot Corporation
9 May 202510.94
13.35
22.03%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GDRX NASDAQ · Goodrx Holdings Inc
1 May 20262.55
3.05
19.61%
Buy
0.65
-
-
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
15 May 20261.16
0.98
-15.95%
Buy
0.39
-
-
GECC NASDAQ · Great Elm Capital Corp
8 May 20265.60
5.31
-5.17%
Buy
0.00
-
-
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
4 Jul 202575.93
65.57
-13.65%
Buy
0.18
-
-
GELS NASDAQ · Gelteq Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20260.62
0.58
-6.50%
Buy
0.25
-
-
GEMI NASDAQ · Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1 May 20264.72
4.23
-10.38%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GENI NYSE · Genius Sports Ltd
22 May 20265.35
6.43
20.19%
Buy
0.04
-
-
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
8 May 20262.34
2.01
-14.10%
Buy
0.28
-
-
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
22 Aug 20254.85
5.54
14.23%
Buy
0.48
-
-
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
3 Jul 20265.96
5.96
New Entry week
Buy
0.27
-
-
GIC NYSE · Global Industrial Co
2 May 202524.76
33.21
34.14%
Buy
0.64
-
-
GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc
3 Jul 202637.57
37.57
New Entry week
Buy
0.41
-
-
GIW NASDAQ · Giginternational1 Inc
13 Feb 202610.00
10.08
0.75%
Buy
0.20
-
-
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
7 Nov 202583.86
148.34
76.89%
Buy
0.11
-
-
GLBE NASDAQ · Global-E Online Ltd
18 Jul 202533.45
36.85
10.16%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
24 Jan 202521.13
28.52
34.95%
Buy
0.12
-
-
GNSS NASDAQ · Genasys Inc
18 Jul 20251.98
1.73
-12.63%
Buy
0.33
-
-
GNTA NASDAQ · Genenta Science SpA ADR
29 May 20261.03
1.72
66.99%
Buy
0.70
-
-
GNTX NASDAQ · Gentex Corporation
4 Jul 202522.67
24.51
8.11%
Buy
0.35
-
-
GO NASDAQ · Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
12 Jun 20269.58
10.39
8.46%
Buy
0.83
-
-
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
23 May 202511.77
9.59
-18.52%
Buy
0.04
-
-
GPAT NASDAQ · GP-Act III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
18 Apr 202510.34
10.87
5.13%
Buy
1.46
-
-
GPC NYSE · Genuine Parts Co
26 Jun 2026116.02
132.57
14.26%
Buy
0.31
-
-
GPK NYSE · Graphic Packaging Holding Company
22 May 202610.07
10.85
7.76%
Buy
0.30
-
-
GPN NYSE · Global Payments Inc
22 May 202672.99
78.63
7.73%
Buy
0.22
-
-
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
20 Jun 20255.67
15.51
173.54%
Buy
0.81
-
-
GRAB NASDAQ · Grab Holdings Ltd
26 Jun 20263.55
3.90
9.86%
Buy
0.18
-
-
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
17 Nov 20234.94
10.25
107.49%
Buy
0.37
-
-
GREE NASDAQ · Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc
15 May 20261.47
1.80
22.45%
Buy
0.20
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 91-120 of 10675
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ATEX NASDAQ · Anterix Inc
89.67
Reversal Risk Warning
181.19%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 31.89
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ATLC NASDAQ · Atlanticus Holdings Corporation
110.41
Reversal Risk Warning
195.29%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 37.39
26 Jun 2026
Exit
AVBP NASDAQ · ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock
34.00
Reversal Risk Warning
64.33%
Entry 14 Nov 2025 20.69
26 Jun 2026
Exit
BB NYSE · BlackBerry Ltd
11.40
Reversal Risk Warning
208.94%
Entry 20 Dec 2024 3.69
26 Jun 2026
Exit
BCAL NASDAQ · Southern California Bancorp Common Stock
20.83
Reversal Risk Warning
42.58%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 14.61
26 Jun 2026
Exit
BCAX NASDAQ · Bicara Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
26.87
Reversal Risk Warning
130.84%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 11.64
26 Jun 2026
Exit
BIOA NASDAQ · BioAge Labs, Inc
23.76
Reversal Risk Warning
150.37%
Entry 28 Nov 2025 9.49
26 Jun 2026
Exit
BLBD NASDAQ · Blue Bird Corp
78.81
Reversal Risk Warning
204.05%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 25.92
26 Jun 2026
Exit
BLZE NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
14.56
Reversal Risk Warning
94.65%
Entry 8 May 2026 7.48
26 Jun 2026
Entry
BMI NYSE · Badger Meter Inc
140.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
26 Jun 2026
Exit
BMR NASDAQ · Beamr Imaging Ltd. Ordinary Share
1.53
20% entry drawdown
-21.94%
Entry 24 Apr 2026 1.96
26 Jun 2026
Exit
BMRA NASDAQ · Biomerica Inc
1.75
20% entry drawdown
-21.17%
Entry 8 May 2026 2.22
26 Jun 2026
Entry
BOLD NASDAQ · Boundless Bio, Inc. Common Stock
2.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
26 Jun 2026
Entry
BRO NYSE · Brown & Brown Inc
64.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
26 Jun 2026
Exit
BTBD NASDAQ · Bt Brands Inc
1.05
20% entry drawdown
-21.05%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 1.33
26 Jun 2026
Exit
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
1.79
20% entry drawdown
-21.49%
Entry 24 Apr 2026 2.28
26 Jun 2026
Exit
BVFL NASDAQ · BV Financial, Inc. Common Stock
21.83
Reversal Risk Warning
108.30%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 10.48
26 Jun 2026
Exit
BWFG NASDAQ · Bankwell Financial Group Inc
59.77
Reversal Risk Warning
104.57%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 29.22
26 Jun 2026
Exit
BY NYSE · Byline Bancorp Inc
37.55
Reversal Risk Warning
77.42%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 21.16
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CACC NASDAQ · Credit Acceptance Corporation
628.86
Reversal Risk Warning
22.89%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 511.71
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CALY NYSE · Callaway Golf Company
19.25
Reversal Risk Warning
162.26%
Entry 9 May 2025 7.34
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CARE NASDAQ · Carter Bank and Trust
33.60
Reversal Risk Warning
147.26%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 13.59
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CBL NYSE · CBL & Associates Properties Inc
53.43
Reversal Risk Warning
175.88%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 19.37
26 Jun 2026
Entry
CCXI NASDAQ · Churchill Capital Corp XI
13.86
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.47
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CELZ NASDAQ · Creative Medical Technology Holdings Inc
1.20
20% entry drawdown
-41.56%
Entry 3 Apr 2026 2.05
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CENT NASDAQ · Central Garden & Pet Company
44.91
Reversal Risk Warning
40.26%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 32.02
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CENTA NASDAQ · Central Garden & Pet Company A
39.32
Reversal Risk Warning
32.48%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 29.68
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CFFI NASDAQ · C&F Financial Corporation
86.18
Reversal Risk Warning
101.64%
Entry 14 Jun 2024 42.74
26 Jun 2026
Entry
CHKP NASDAQ · Check Point Software Technologies Ltd
130.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
26 Jun 2026
Exit
CINF NASDAQ · Cincinnati Financial Corporation
184.08
Reversal Risk Warning
80.84%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 101.79