Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 421-450 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10 Jul 202610.12
10.15
0.30%
Buy
1.43
-
-
HCHL NASDAQ · Happy City Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary shares
15 May 20263.44
3.96
15.12%
Buy
0.48
-
-
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
17 Jul 202610.34
9.71
-6.09%
Buy
0.19
-
-
HDB NYSE · HDFC Bank Limited ADR
26 Jun 202625.74
23.23
-9.75%
Buy
0.07
-
-
HE NYSE · Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc
21 Feb 202510.76
13.50
25.46%
Buy
0.30
-
-
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
24 Apr 202623.62
28.47
20.53%
Buy
0.29
-
-
HELP NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock
3 Jul 20266.24
7.62
22.12%
Buy
0.52
-
-
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
23 Jan 20261.37
1.20
-12.41%
Buy
0.23
-
-
HIHO NASDAQ · Highway Holdings Limited
26 Jun 20260.88
1.04
18.84%
Buy
0.63
-
-
HIVE NASDAQ · HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd
1 May 20262.43
2.96
21.81%
Buy
0.15
-
-
HKD NYSE · AMTD Digital Inc.
27 Feb 20261.75
1.61
-8.00%
Buy
0.29
-
-
HLMN NASDAQ · Hillman Solutions Corp
18 Jul 20257.82
7.97
1.92%
Buy
0.43
-
-
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
11 Jul 20256.55
9.91
51.30%
Buy
0.35
-
-
HMR NASDAQ · Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. Common Stock
9 Jan 20260.91
1.15
26.29%
Buy
0.10
-
-
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
15 Aug 20259.51
13.75
44.54%
Buy
0.36
-
-
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
10 Apr 202622.62
25.49
12.69%
Buy
0.39
-
-
HPK NASDAQ · Highpeak Energy Acquisition Corp
13 Feb 20265.09
7.65
50.29%
Buy
0.23
-
-
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
5 Jun 202613.74
15.38
11.94%
Buy
1.30
-
-
HPQ NYSE · HP Inc
1 May 202620.58
25.75
25.12%
Buy
0.48
-
-
HQI NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
16 Jan 202610.84
12.90
19.00%
Buy
1.69
-
-
HRB NYSE · H&R Block Inc
8 May 202636.56
40.83
11.69%
Buy
0.40
-
-
HRI NYSE · Herc Holdings Inc
12 Jun 2026144.62
162.59
12.43%
Buy
0.29
-
-
HRL NYSE · Hormel Foods Corporation
12 Jun 202624.46
25.31
3.49%
Buy
0.41
-
-
HSTM NASDAQ · HealthStream Inc
17 Apr 202621.70
27.14
25.06%
Buy
0.12
-
-
HTLM NASDAQ · HomesToLife Ltd
5 Jun 20262.14
1.82
-14.95%
Buy
0.24
-
-
HUM NYSE · Humana Inc
1 May 2026233.09
389.32
67.02%
Buy
0.08
-
-
HUN NYSE · Huntsman Corporation
12 Dec 202510.39
12.80
23.21%
Buy
0.67
-
-
HURC NASDAQ · Hurco Companies Inc
15 May 202616.63
21.21
27.54%
Buy
0.05
-
-
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
30 May 202519.49
24.91
27.80%
Buy
0.18
-
-
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
6 Jun 202519.64
28.05
42.82%
Buy
0.25
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8101-8130 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
10 May 2024
Entry
ATLN NASDAQ · Atlantic International Corp. Common Stock
4.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
10 May 2024
Exit
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
10.85
20% entry drawdown
-31.93%
Entry 26 Apr 2024 15.94
10 May 2024
Entry
AWR NYSE · American States Water Company
73.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
10 May 2024
Entry
CASY NASDAQ · Caseys General Stores Inc
334.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.98
10 May 2024
Entry
CCK NYSE · Crown Holdings Inc
81.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
10 May 2024
Exit
CENT NASDAQ · Central Garden & Pet Company
46.69
Reversal Risk Warning
51.64%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 30.79
10 May 2024
Exit
CHWY NYSE · Chewy Inc
15.44
20% entry drawdown
-20.17%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 19.34
10 May 2024
Entry
CODA NASDAQ · Coda Octopus Group Inc
7.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.31
10 May 2024
Entry
CW NYSE · Curtiss-Wright Corporation
276.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.21
10 May 2024
Entry
DDL NYSE · Dingdong (Cayman) Limited ADR
2.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.24
10 May 2024
Exit
DHC NASDAQ · Diversified Healthcare Trust
2.22
20% entry drawdown
-22.99%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 2.88
10 May 2024
Entry
DSGN NASDAQ · Design Therapeutics Inc
4.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.78
10 May 2024
Exit
EARN NYSE · Ellington Residential Mortgage
4.49
Reversal Risk Warning
23.80%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 3.63
10 May 2024
Entry
EE NYSE · Excelerate Energy Inc
18.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.36
10 May 2024
Entry
ENIC NYSE · Enel Chile SA ADR
2.58
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
10 May 2024
Entry
EXK NYSE · Endeavour Silver Corp.
3.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.34
10 May 2024
Entry
GIGM NASDAQ · Giga Media Ltd
1.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
10 May 2024
Exit
GLBE NASDAQ · Global-E Online Ltd
29.55
20% entry drawdown
-20.88%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 37.35
10 May 2024
Entry
GME NYSE · GameStop Corp.
17.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
10 May 2024
Entry
GTN-A NYSE · Gray Television Inc
7.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
10 May 2024
Entry
HNVR NASDAQ · Hanover Bancorp Inc
15.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
10 May 2024
Exit
HTCO NASDAQ · Caravelle International Group
18.00
20% entry drawdown
-30.10%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 25.75
10 May 2024
Entry
INSG NASDAQ · Inseego Corp
5.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.58
10 May 2024
Exit
INTC NASDAQ · Intel Corporation
29.65
20% entry drawdown
-20.66%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 37.38
10 May 2024
Exit
JYNT NASDAQ · The Joint Corp
16.44
Reversal Risk Warning
66.06%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 9.90
10 May 2024
Entry
KMI NYSE · Kinder Morgan Inc
17.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.57
10 May 2024
Entry
LIDR NASDAQ · Aeye Inc
2.58
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.93
10 May 2024
Entry
MEC NYSE · Mayville Engineering Co Inc
16.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.86
10 May 2024
Exit
METC NASDAQ · Ramaco Resources Inc
11.20
20% entry drawdown
-24.73%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 14.88
10 May 2024
Exit
MFIC NASDAQ · MidCap Financial Investment Corporation
11.82
Reversal Risk Warning
28.08%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 9.23