Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
NYSE ยท Equity ยท United States
HRB
H&R Block Inc
Consumer CyclicalPersonal Services
H&R Block, Inc., provides services and products for assisted preparation of income tax returns and self-preparation of income tax returns (DIY) to the general public, primarily in the United States, Canada and Australia. The company is headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri.
Last updated
9 Oct 2026
Exchange
NYSE ยท NYSE
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Personal Services
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
5,656,673,085
Fair value reference
46.70
Next-week expectancy
Undecided ยท 46.14%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-10-09, HRB rose 7.89%, moving from 40.83 to 44.05. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 1.10 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.05 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 46.14% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
9 Oct 2026
Latest Close
44.05
12-Week Change
7.89%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 46.14%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Chart views
Completed weekly prices ยท Select a view to explore the evidence.
Weekly Trend
All chart layers are hidden. Open Chart options to select a layer or choose Reset.
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Move across either panel to inspect a week
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
Price above, support below. Both panels follow the same completed weeks. Use the controls to show or hide trend segments and support averages.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-10-09
Support is stabilising
PSI is stabilising, but the direction is not yet clear. The next completed weeks will show whether support strengthens or fades.
PSI score
64/1005 completed weeks
Recent support
+20Building
Readings pointing the same way
100%Activity supports price
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together40/100
Broad move building ยท less together
Ticker and market
Ticker support is not relying on the whole market
PSI is positive while the wider market is not moving as one.
PSI
+28.0
Market togetherness
40/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Current contextTicker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Ticker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Ticker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
PSI is positive; Market Dynamics is not yet
PSI has improved, but Market Dynamics has not confirmed the change.
Current reading
-0.05
Four-week change
-1.19
Sharemaestro ยท HRB ยท Weekly price reversals
RMI Reversal Map Indicator
See where price breaks a previous high or low, turns back, and confirms a change in direction.
โ Broke a prior high / lowโ Closed back across the levelโฒ / โผ Reversal confirmedโ โ Confirmation levelโ Average price since the sweep (VWAP)
Observed follow-through
What happened after confirmation?
Direction-adjusted price moves from the next weekly open. Only outcomes completed by the replay date are included. Before costs; no exit rules applied. Overlapping observations are not independent trades or a forecast.
Dated observations
Setup journal
Reading the chart
The chart opens on the latest 152 weeks. Choose 52 or 104 weeks for a closer view. Only confirmed reversals are shown. Clear confirmations is the stricter starting view; All confirmations also includes reversals that did not meet every strength check. Green marks a confirmed turn up; red marks a confirmed turn down. Dashed outlines mark historical setups. A zone marks where the reversal developed; its end does not mean the whole price move ended. Select a journal entry to review a past setup, or use the replay slider to see what was known at an earlier close.
Annotations adds dates and explanations for every visible zone. A separate Follow-up complete marker shows when eight weeks of tracking finished. The price move may continue beyond it. The numbered notes below the chart also let you select a zone to inspect it. Confirmed reversals can fail; failed setups stay in the history. Follow-through figures describe past price moves before costs; they are not a forecast or trading record.
Results use completed weekly prices. Missing or revised source data can affect the saved history.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
The envelope places current price in context without treating a single band touch as a signal. Direction, persistence and the evidence checks below determine the quality of the read.
Position
51%Near the adaptive centre
Pressure
-1Balanced
Confirmation
30%Weak confirmation
Underlying support
Market Dynamics context
Use the envelope for price location and Market Dynamics to see whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Supportive Market DynamicsCautious Market DynamicsNeutral line
APE and support read
Market Dynamics is providing mixed context
Price or underlying support is near its middle ground. The next useful evidence is a clearer move that both APE and Market Dynamics confirm.
Current reading
-0.05
Four-week change
-1.19
Current path
Weakening
Confirmation checks
What supports or challenges the current read
A band touch is context, not a conclusion. These independent checks show whether the completed-week move has broader support.
Envelope pathMixed51% of the envelope
Price location and the direction of the adaptive centre are read together.
Trend LineSupportiveAbove and rising
Checks whether completed-week price and the primary trend are moving in the same direction.
Market DynamicsCautious-0.05 ยท -1.19 over 4 weeks
Tests whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Relative strengthMixed+1.1 ยท -2.0 over 4 weeks
Shows whether the listing is strengthening or weakening against its stored comparison benchmark.
ParticipationMixed0.89ร recent volume
Checks whether the current move is attracting more participation than recent completed weeks.
Completed-week analysis
How to interpret this envelope now
Price position
Near the adaptive centre
The latest close sits at 51% of the current lower-to-upper envelope span and has held this state for 1 completed week.
Envelope width
Envelope width is typical
Current width ranks at the 30th percentile of the recent completed-week history. Compression can precede expansion but does not determine direction.
Evidence agreement
Weak confirmation
30% of the available trend, support, relative-strength and participation checks agree with or do not contradict the current envelope pressure.
What to watch next
Persistence, repair or rejection
Watch completed closes around the adaptive centre (42.71), upper boundary (50.43) and lower boundary (37.41).
Recent completed events
What changed around the envelope
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Lower repair
Price moved back inside the envelope after a lower break.
Lower-envelope break
Price closed beneath the adaptive lower boundary.
Lower repair
Price moved back inside the envelope after a lower break.
Lower-envelope break
Price closed beneath the adaptive lower boundary.
Auction Intelligence
Sharemaestro market acceptance
Auction Intelligence
Where the market has accepted value, how that value is moving, and which price pathways remain structurally open.
The auction map
Price path and acceptance geometry
Price shows the journey; the profile shows where that journey developed durable market memory.
Value migration-37.6%
Recent centre versus prior year
Value breadth48.8%
Width of the accepted-value range
Supporting evidence
Acceptance migration and auction runway
Rolling market memory and the nearest established acceptance above and below the current price.
Is market memory moving?
Accepted-value migration
Each column is a rolling one-year auction. Brighter areas show stronger price acceptance.
Where is the next market memory?
Auction runway
The next established shelf is materially farther above than below.
Above49.11Established market memory sits 11.5% above the latest close.
Below43.04Established market memory sits 2.3% below the latest close.
Decision map
What would confirm or challenge the current interpretation?
Sustained weekly closes above57.84
Higher-value acceptance
Holding above this boundary while the acceptance centre rises would strengthen the higher-value interpretation.
Primary market-memory magnet49.11
Rotation toward value
This is the centre of the three-year auction and the principal reference if price rotates back through value.
Sustained weekly closes below38.86
Lower-value acceptance
Holding below this boundary while the acceptance centre falls would strengthen the lower-value interpretation.
Decision context
Structural references and cross-signal agreement
The closest market-memory levels, the evidence that agrees or disagrees, and the limits of the current interpretation.
Market memory
Nearest structural nodes
These are historical acceptance references, not live resting orders.
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
43.04
-2.3%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
49.11
11.5%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
38.48
-12.6%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
52.91
20.1%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
33.17
-24.7%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
30.89
-29.9%
Cross-signal agreement
Does the wider Sharemaestro picture agree?
Agreement strengthens context; disagreement identifies where the thesis is vulnerable.
Auction locationShows where the latest close sits relative to established accepted value.Within accepted value
Accepted-value migrationCompares the recent acceptance centre with the preceding one-year auction.Lower
30-week trendThe latest close is 11.1% above the trend line.Price above
Fair-value positionMarket price is 5.7% below the current fair-value reference.Below
Point & Figure structureConfirms whether reversal structure agrees with the current auction direction.Demand column rising
Earnings repricingShows whether accepted market value is developing with or against the earnings relationship.Earnings ahead
Accepted value migrating lower
Price remains within the broader value area while the recent acceptance centre moves lower.
More room above
The next established shelf is materially farther above than below.
Established market memory
The three-year acceptance centre at 49.11 remains the dominant rotational reference.
Security-specific analogues
How comparable auction states resolved
Fewer than four non-overlapping comparable episodes exist in the visible history.
0 comparable non-overlapping episodes are visible; at least four are required before outcomes are summarised.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
Current weekly interpretationRange-bound structure with constructive close
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence. Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Full context ยท Mixed confirmation
Current structureRange-bound structure
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
Trend relationshipAbove a rising trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 39.57 ยท Resistance 45.52
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityNormal participation
Participation was broadly consistent with the market's completed recent history.
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+5.69%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterConstructive close
Price advanced and finished in the upper part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedUpper part of the range
The close finished at 69% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityMixed confirmation
Recent price structure and the longer trend relationship are not fully aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above a rising trend; participation is normal participation, and path quality is mixed confirmation.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history68% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-27.2%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+369.4%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical2.2ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
8 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
15 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
34 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
52-week position
54.0%
Low to high
Accepted price
30.46
Latest versus accepted: 44.63%
Fitted direction
Sideways
0.10% per week
Range pressure
50/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Normal
1.06ร normal range
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Structural price levels, distance from close and supporting evidence
Reference
Price
From close
Evidence
Touches
Support
30.03
-31.8%
88/100
4
Support
41.95
-4.8%
62/100
2
Current pivot
43.77
-0.6%
39/100
2
Resistance
45.04
2.3%
28/100
1
Resistance
49.40
12.1%
70/100
2
Resistance
51.11
16.0%
45/100
3
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 54.0% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionSideways
The fitted centre line is moving +0.10% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 50/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level45.04
Resistance is 2.2% from the latest close with 28/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current Smart Money readUnderlying support is constructive and strengthening
The visible Smart Money evidence is aligned and its completed-week momentum path is improving.
Momentum 0.83 ยท Improving
Trend qualityStrong alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 13 completed weeks; visible confirmation is strong alignment.
Momentum pathStrong ยท Improving
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
70 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
72 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
73 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
74 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
75 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Price weakness is confirmed by Market Dynamics
Price changed -2.4% and Market Dynamics changed -1.19 over the latest 4 completed weeks. Both readings currently point to weaker completed-week conditions.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-07-24Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
Retreated after reaching 87% toward distribution
Price approached distribution but did not confirm it, reaching 87% of the zone span before moving back to 46%. The original transition remains unresolved; this is not a completed move to distribution, and a reverse journey cannot begin until distribution has first been confirmed.
Current journey
Accumulation to distribution ยท Near-target retreat
Activated
2026-05-08
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. HRB's move from accumulation toward distribution reached 87% of the zone span without confirming distribution, then retreated to 46%. Because the target was never confirmed, this remains a retreat within the original journey, not the start of a new reverse journey. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Current zone-span position 46%
Peak 87%; retreated 41 percentage points ยท Accumulation to Distribution ยท 22 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 41%
Confirm the current distribution zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 67%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 27%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 ยท Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 ยท What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks15%
26 weeks41%
52 weeks67%
Accumulation zone
33.66 / deep 29.88
Current close
44.05
Distribution zone
56.36 / deep 60.14
Source-zone dwell
2 completed weeks
Market Dynamics -0.05Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change -1.05Change in underlying supportTrend position 11%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 0.94รRecent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyDistribution to Accumulation ยท Confirmed accumulation
2025-05-09โ2026-02-13 ยท 41 completed weeks ยท price move -44.8%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 0 reached distribution and 1 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Distribution to AccumulationConfirmed accumulation
2025-05-09โ2026-02-13 ยท journey 41w ยท source dwell 3w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
-44.8%
Time to confirm
41w
Reached and confirmed accumulation after 41 completed weeks. Price moved -44.8% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Earnings and Price Index
Earnings and Price Index
A three-year index of the relationship between earnings power and market price.
Market price
Earnings power
Repricing spread
Earnings update
Current stateEarnings ahead
Earnings power is leading market price; the spread is closing and has persisted through 0 updates.
Spread
Closing
Persistence
0 quarters
Confirmation
Broad support
Repricing pressure
Low โ earnings-led
Market move11.2%
Three-year change
Earnings move37.8%
Three-year change
Repricing spread26.6 pts
closing
Current valuation8.2ร
Price relative to earnings power
Repricing may be starting
The longstanding earnings lead is beginning to close through price confirmation.
Business quality supportive
Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive.
Price confirmation reversed
The latest earnings improvement initially received a positive price response, but price is now below its pre-update level.
Supporting evidence
Attribution, business confirmation and horizon robustness
The components behind the repricing relationship and the independent evidence that supports or challenges it.
What drove the move?
Earnings and relative valuation contributions
Shows how the earnings move and relative valuation combine into the total market move.
What supports the earnings picture?
Business confirmation
6 of 6 available business-quality checks are supportive.
EarningsRevenueCash generation
Cash conversionWhether reported profit is supported by free cash generation.Supportive
Revenue directionWhether top-line progress supports the earnings direction.Supportive
Free-cash-flow directionWhether free cash flow is improving with earnings.Supportive
Accrual pressureLower accrual pressure is a cleaner confirmation of earnings.Supportive
Share countA stable or falling share count makes per-share progress more durable.Supportive
Signal robustness
Does the relationship persist across time horizons?
Shows whether the same earnings or price lead remains visible from shorter starting points.
Market acceptance
How price responded to each earnings update
Across completed four-week windows, 3 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 3 had a meaningful positive price response.
Professional contextPeer rarity, comparable outcomes and state history
Peer groupPersonal Services7 comparable companies
Repricing rarity67peer percentile
Spread position67peer percentile
Quality position92peer percentile
Comparable historical outcomes
There are not yet enough comparable point-in-time observations for a responsible outcome summary.
State transitions
Highlights when the dominant relationship between earnings power and market price changed.
Broadly aligned
Confirmed compounding
Expectations ahead
Confirmed compounding
Earnings ahead
Confirmed compounding
Related repricing signals
BFAMEarnings-led27.8 pts
SCIEarnings-led21.0 pts
ROLEarnings-led52.0 pts
MRMEarnings-led58.5 pts
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current Price Cycle readNegative pressure remains established and weakening
Price is holding a weak market-perception position. Negative pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
-5.68% ยท Negative ยท Weakening
Market positionNegative
Price is holding a weak market-perception position.
Pressure directionWeakening
Negative pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
Trend qualityRange-bound
Recent pressure has moved without establishing durable directional progress.
Risks and warningsWeakness remains active
Negative pressure is established and has not yet begun to repair.
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
There is limited positive pressure; the reading needs improvement before it offers dependable support.
What would improve it
A sustained recovery toward balance, followed by positive pressure, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
Negative pressure is established and has not yet begun to repair.
What to watch next
The latest path is weakening with range-bound trend quality. Comparable history is mixed follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionLower 19% of history
The latest reading is weaker than 81% of completed observations.
State persistence4 completed weeks
The current negative state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyMixed follow-through
Across 40 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 57% of the time; the typical move was +2.9%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
4 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
8 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
14 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
22 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
29 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
38 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Read who has control, whether that control is strengthening, and which price levels would change the picture.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks ยท Reported weekly volume
Price and its referencesThe navy line is price. Compare it with the VWAP lines to see whether it is holding above or below areas of volume-weighted trading.
Control over timeGreen, blue and rose backgrounds mark buyer control, contested conditions and seller control. Circles mark completed changes in control.
Strength of controlThe lower panel follows pressure through the same weeks. Higher readings favour buyers; lower readings favour sellers. This is a strength reading, not a probability.
A completed close above 13-week VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area46.28
13-week VWAP at 46.28, 5.1% above the latest close.
Weakening level40.61
A completed close below 26-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
View exact VWAP reference values
VWAP references relative to the latest close
Reference
Price
From close
13-week VWAP
46.28
+5.07%
26-week VWAP
40.61
-7.82%
High-activity anchor
47.60
+8.05%
Swing high
47.60
+8.05%
Latest earnings VWAP
47.60
+8.05%
52-week VWAP
38.85
-11.81%
Year VWAP
37.88
-14.00%
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 80%Above price 21%
24%near price
Most recent weighted activity is below price, leaving a larger estimated cushion beneath the market.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท SPYWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -11.4 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 85/100
Sector ยท Consumer CyclicalStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +48.8 points.
Seller control developing ยท 25/100
Industry ยท Personal ServicesStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +50.8 points.
Sellers firmly in control ยท 23/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim50% favourable
Events
4
Median 4w
+0.64%
Median 13w
-2.01%
Typical best
+6.78%
Typical worst
-8.08%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss100% favourable
Events
4
Median 4w
-6.55%
Median 13w
-7.80%
Typical best
+1.64%
Typical worst
-9.08%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states38 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
45%
Median 4w
-1.03%
Positive after 13w
42%
Median 13w
-5.82%
Best / worst 13w
+28.3% / -15.5%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.81 ยท Strong
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains strong, but its path has softened
Price remains firm while the SMI path has softened. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.81 ยท Strong
Current stateStrong ยท 0.81
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionWeakening
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceDeveloping
6 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipPrice ahead of support
Price remains firm while the SMI path has softened.
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have produced mixed historical outcomes
Across 44 comparable completed observations, 50.0% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +0.3%.
Comparable observations
44Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
50.0%After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+0.3%Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-9.9 ptsDifference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
9 Oct 2026
Latest Close
44.05
12-Week Change
7.89%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 46.14%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Below
Relative Strength
1.10
Market Dynamics
-0.05
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-10-09, HRB rose 7.89%, moving from 40.83 to 44.05. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 1.10 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.05 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 46.14% based on similar historical setup states.
Search by ticker symbol or company name and select a result to open its chart.
Markets includedUnited States
Start typing to find a stock or ETF.
Market search
Choose countries
Choose one or more countries for market search, or include every covered market.
Currently searching United States
Sharemaestro
Send a message
Ask about our research, get help with the site, or send a correction.
Cookie preferences
Essential cookies keep Sharemaestro secure and working. Choose whether we may use optional persistent analytics and advertising technologies. Limited cookieless server measurement continues for aggregate traffic and security.