View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 451-480 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
HUN NYSE · Huntsman Corporation
12 Dec 202510.39
11.79
13.49%
Buy
0.67
-
-
HURC NASDAQ · Hurco Companies Inc
15 May 202616.63
21.88
31.57%
Buy
0.05
-
-
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
30 May 202519.49
25.63
31.49%
Buy
0.18
-
-
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
6 Jun 202519.64
29.25
48.93%
Buy
0.25
-
-
HY NYSE · Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Inc
16 Jan 202633.16
33.00
-0.50%
Buy
0.07
-
-
HYNE NASDAQ · Hoyne Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 202616.76
16.70
-0.36%
Buy
1.52
-
-
HYPR NASDAQ · Hyperfine Inc
18 Jul 20250.92
0.93
1.15%
Buy
0.56
-
-
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
8 May 202613.92
19.25
38.29%
Buy
0.55
-
-
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
17 Jul 202678.86
78.86
New Entry week
Buy
0.80
-
-
ICLR NASDAQ · ICON PLC
22 May 2026116.78
170.00
45.57%
Buy
0.20
-
-
IDYA NASDAQ · Ideaya Biosciences Inc
23 May 202518.82
36.01
91.34%
Buy
0.82
-
-
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
24 Apr 20267.64
7.49
-1.96%
Buy
1.23
-
-
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
14 Nov 202564.75
78.20
20.77%
Buy
0.34
-
-
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
17 Apr 20261.59
1.86
16.67%
Buy
0.31
-
-
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
6 Dec 20243.29
8.15
147.72%
Buy
0.26
-
-
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
4 Jul 202550.92
64.47
26.61%
Buy
0.82
-
-
ILAG NASDAQ · Intelligent Living Application Group Inc
19 Jun 20263.08
3.73
21.10%
Buy
0.63
-
-
IMCR NASDAQ · Immunocore Holdings Ltd
10 Jan 202530.40
34.96
15.00%
Buy
0.69
-
-
IMMR NASDAQ · Immersion Corporation
12 Dec 20256.75
6.64
-1.69%
Buy
0.13
-
-
IMRN NASDAQ · Immuron Ltd ADR
3 Apr 20260.80
1.21
51.06%
Buy
0.14
-
-
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
6 Jun 20252.13
4.64
117.84%
Buy
0.42
-
-
IMTX NASDAQ · Immatics NV
2 May 20255.23
9.59
83.37%
Buy
0.31
-
-
IMUX NASDAQ · Immunic Inc
13 Feb 20269.13
15.16
66.05%
Buy
0.33
-
-
IMVT NASDAQ · Immunovant Inc
31 Oct 202524.68
40.26
63.13%
Buy
1.39
-
-
IMXI NASDAQ · International Money Express Inc
15 Aug 202514.42
13.42
-6.93%
Buy
0.32
-
-
INBK NASDAQ · First Internet Bancorp
2 Jan 202620.37
26.72
31.17%
Buy
0.23
-
-
INCR NASDAQ · InterCure Ltd.
3 Jul 20261.09
0.92
-15.96%
Buy
1.06
-
-
INR NYSE · Infinity Natural Resources, Inc.
21 Nov 202512.62
13.00
3.01%
Buy
0.05
-
-
INSE NASDAQ · Inspired Entertainment Inc
29 May 20267.70
6.52
-15.32%
Buy
0.03
-
-
INVH NYSE · Invitation Homes Inc
24 Apr 202626.86
30.12
12.13%
Buy
0.40
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4441-4470 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
25 Jul 2025
Entry
IOVA NASDAQ · Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc
3.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.81
25 Jul 2025
Exit
ITOC NASDAQ · iTonic Holdings Ltd.
29.15
Reversal Risk Warning
425.97%
Entry 16 May 2025 5.54
25 Jul 2025
Exit
LASE NASDAQ · Laser Photonics Corporation Common Stock
3.04
20% entry drawdown
-21.65%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 3.88
25 Jul 2025
Entry
LIDR NASDAQ · Aeye Inc
4.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.40
25 Jul 2025
Entry
LNZA NASDAQ · LanzaTech Global Inc.
58.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.89
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
7.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NMRA NASDAQ · Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.
2.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.49
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NOTV NASDAQ · Inotiv Inc
2.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
13.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.69
25 Jul 2025
Exit
NTRB NASDAQ · Nutriband Inc
8.53
Reversal Risk Warning
280.99%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 2.24
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NUVB NYSE · Nuvation Bio Inc
2.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.75
25 Jul 2025
Entry
NXTC NASDAQ · NextCure  Inc
6.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.82
25 Jul 2025
Entry
POLA NASDAQ · Polar Power Inc
2.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.61
25 Jul 2025
Entry
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
25 Jul 2025
Entry
REYN NASDAQ · Reynolds Consumer Products Inc
21.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
25 Jul 2025
Entry
SGML NASDAQ · Sigma Lithium Resources Corp
7.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
25 Jul 2025
Exit
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
601.55
Reversal Risk Warning
20.59%
Entry 23 May 2025 498.85
25 Jul 2025
Exit
SO NYSE · Southern Company
91.93
Reversal Risk Warning
44.02%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 63.83
25 Jul 2025
Entry
SPB NYSE · Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc
58.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
25 Jul 2025
Exit
STEW NYSE · SRH Total Return Fund Inc.
17.30
Reversal Risk Warning
42.69%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 12.12
25 Jul 2025
Entry
TAVI NASDAQ · Tavia Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
10.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.24
25 Jul 2025
Entry
TFX NYSE · Teleflex Incorporated
115.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
25 Jul 2025
Entry
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
1.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58
25 Jul 2025
Exit
TT NYSE · Trane Technologies plc
467.66
Reversal Risk Warning
110.31%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 222.37
25 Jul 2025
Entry
TXG NASDAQ · 10X Genomics Inc
14.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.16
25 Jul 2025
Entry
UGRO NASDAQ · Urban-Gro Inc
11.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58
25 Jul 2025
Entry
UPB NASDAQ · Upstream Bio, Inc.
13.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.48
25 Jul 2025
Entry
VERI NASDAQ · Veritone Inc
2.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
25 Jul 2025
Exit
VRSN NASDAQ · VeriSign Inc
302.04
Reversal Risk Warning
63.35%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 184.90
25 Jul 2025
Exit
VUZI NASDAQ · Vuzix Corp Cmn Stk
2.27
20% entry drawdown
-23.57%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 2.97