Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
478.70
Total Return
378.70%
CAGR
55.90% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.12%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.64 Sortino 5.14
Current Holdings
1077
Transactions
10779 Avg 3056.6/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4851 Stop 41.6% · Warning 57.9% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
19
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IQ NASDAQ · iQIYI Inc
1.19 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAT NASDAQ · Mattel Inc
14.30 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
36
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 451-480 of 1077 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
HUN NYSE · Huntsman Corporation
12 Dec 202510.39
11.79
13.49%
Buy
0.67
-
-
HURC NASDAQ · Hurco Companies Inc
15 May 202616.63
21.88
31.57%
Buy
0.05
-
-
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
30 May 202519.49
25.63
31.49%
Buy
0.18
-
-
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
6 Jun 202519.64
29.25
48.93%
Buy
0.25
-
-
HY NYSE · Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Inc
16 Jan 202633.16
33.00
-0.50%
Buy
0.07
-
-
HYNE NASDAQ · Hoyne Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 202616.76
16.70
-0.36%
Buy
1.50
-
-
HYPR NASDAQ · Hyperfine Inc
18 Jul 20250.92
0.93
1.15%
Buy
0.56
-
-
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
8 May 202613.92
19.25
38.29%
Buy
0.55
-
-
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
17 Jul 202678.86
78.86
New Entry week
Buy
0.80
-
-
ICLR NASDAQ · ICON PLC
22 May 2026116.78
170.00
45.57%
Buy
0.20
-
-
IDYA NASDAQ · Ideaya Biosciences Inc
23 May 202518.82
36.01
91.34%
Buy
0.82
-
-
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
24 Apr 20267.64
7.49
-1.96%
Buy
1.23
-
-
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
14 Nov 202564.75
78.20
20.77%
Buy
0.34
-
-
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
17 Apr 20261.59
1.86
16.67%
Buy
0.31
-
-
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
6 Dec 20243.29
8.15
147.72%
Buy
0.26
-
-
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
4 Jul 202550.92
64.47
26.61%
Buy
0.82
-
-
ILAG NASDAQ · Intelligent Living Application Group Inc
19 Jun 20263.08
3.73
21.10%
Buy
0.63
-
-
IMCR NASDAQ · Immunocore Holdings Ltd
10 Jan 202530.40
34.96
15.00%
Buy
0.69
-
-
IMMR NASDAQ · Immersion Corporation
12 Dec 20256.75
6.56
-2.82%
Buy
0.13
-
-
IMRN NASDAQ · Immuron Ltd ADR
3 Apr 20260.80
1.21
51.06%
Buy
0.14
-
-
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
6 Jun 20252.13
4.64
117.84%
Buy
0.42
-
-
IMTX NASDAQ · Immatics NV
2 May 20255.23
9.59
83.37%
Buy
0.31
-
-
IMUX NASDAQ · Immunic Inc
13 Feb 20269.13
15.16
66.05%
Buy
0.33
-
-
IMVT NASDAQ · Immunovant Inc
31 Oct 202524.68
40.26
63.13%
Buy
1.39
-
-
IMXI NASDAQ · International Money Express Inc
15 Aug 202514.42
13.42
-6.93%
Buy
0.32
-
-
INBK NASDAQ · First Internet Bancorp
2 Jan 202620.37
26.72
31.17%
Buy
0.23
-
-
INCR NASDAQ · InterCure Ltd.
3 Jul 20261.09
0.92
-15.96%
Buy
1.06
-
-
INR NYSE · Infinity Natural Resources, Inc.
21 Nov 202512.62
13.00
3.01%
Buy
0.05
-
-
INSE NASDAQ · Inspired Entertainment Inc
29 May 20267.70
6.52
-15.32%
Buy
0.03
-
-
INVH NYSE · Invitation Homes Inc
24 Apr 202626.86
30.12
12.13%
Buy
0.40
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4921-4950 of 10779
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
20 Jun 2025
Entry
WEX NYSE · Wex Inc
140.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
20 Jun 2025
Entry
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
44.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
20 Jun 2025
Entry
XAIR NASDAQ · Beyond Air Inc
92.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
20 Jun 2025
Entry
XLO NASDAQ · Xilio Development Inc
9.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
20 Jun 2025
Entry
XPRO NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
9.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
20 Jun 2025
Entry
ZETA NYSE · Zeta Global Holdings Corp
14.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
13 Jun 2025
Entry
A NYSE · Agilent Technologies Inc
116.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
13 Jun 2025
Entry
ADM NYSE · Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
50.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.15
13 Jun 2025
Exit
AGEN NASDAQ · Agenus Inc
4.70
20% entry drawdown
-21.01%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 5.95
13 Jun 2025
Entry
AMPY NYSE · Amplify Energy Corp
3.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
13 Jun 2025
Exit
ANSC NASDAQ · Agriculture & Natural Solutions Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
10.80
Reversal Risk Warning
1.65%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 10.62
13 Jun 2025
Entry
APA NASDAQ · APA Corporation
20.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
13 Jun 2025
Entry
APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc
1.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.86
13 Jun 2025
Entry
AREC NASDAQ · American Resources Corp Class A
0.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
13 Jun 2025
Entry
AUB NYSE · Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp
29.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
13 Jun 2025
Entry
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
6.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
13 Jun 2025
Exit
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
8.83
20% entry drawdown
-26.32%
Entry 9 May 2025 11.98
13 Jun 2025
Entry
BKSY NYSE · Blacksky Technology Inc
10.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
13 Jun 2025
Entry
BLDP NASDAQ · Ballard Power Systems Inc
1.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.21
13 Jun 2025
Exit
BTCS NASDAQ · BTCS Inc
2.15
20% entry drawdown
-24.13%
Entry 23 May 2025 2.83
13 Jun 2025
Entry
CAT NYSE · Caterpillar Inc
353.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55
13 Jun 2025
Entry
CATO NYSE · Cato Corporation
3.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
13 Jun 2025
Exit
CHT NYSE · Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd
44.02
Reversal Risk Warning
26.31%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 34.85
13 Jun 2025
Entry
CLNN NASDAQ · Clene Inc.
4.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
13 Jun 2025
Entry
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
90.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
13 Jun 2025
Entry
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
149.45
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
13 Jun 2025
Exit
CRMD NASDAQ · CorMedix Inc
14.56
Reversal Risk Warning
308.99%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 3.56
13 Jun 2025
Entry
CVE NYSE · Cenovus Energy Inc
14.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.96
13 Jun 2025
Exit
DBI NYSE · Designer Brands Inc
2.15
20% entry drawdown
-41.88%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 3.70
13 Jun 2025
Entry
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
4.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11