Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 451-480 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
11 Jul 20256.55
9.22
40.76%
Buy
0.35
-
-
HMR NASDAQ · Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. Common Stock
9 Jan 20260.91
1.07
17.50%
Buy
0.10
-
-
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
15 Aug 20259.51
14.99
57.58%
Buy
0.36
-
-
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
10 Apr 202622.62
25.14
11.14%
Buy
0.39
-
-
HPK NASDAQ · Highpeak Energy Acquisition Corp
13 Feb 20265.09
7.01
37.72%
Buy
0.23
-
-
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
5 Jun 202613.74
15.18
10.48%
Buy
1.30
-
-
HPQ NYSE · HP Inc
1 May 202620.58
24.22
17.69%
Buy
0.48
-
-
HQI NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
16 Jan 202610.84
12.41
14.48%
Buy
1.69
-
-
HRB NYSE · H&R Block Inc
8 May 202636.56
39.59
8.30%
Buy
0.40
-
-
HRI NYSE · Herc Holdings Inc
12 Jun 2026144.62
148.91
2.97%
Buy
0.29
-
-
HRL NYSE · Hormel Foods Corporation
12 Jun 202624.75
24.73
-0.08%
Buy
0.42
-
-
HSTM NASDAQ · HealthStream Inc
17 Apr 202621.70
28.08
29.41%
Buy
0.12
-
-
HTLM NASDAQ · HomesToLife Ltd
5 Jun 20262.14
1.80
-15.89%
Buy
0.24
-
-
HTO NASDAQ · H2O America
21 Feb 202550.60
61.47
21.48%
Buy
0.06
-
-
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
4 Jul 202535.30
46.20
30.89%
Buy
0.27
-
-
HUM NYSE · Humana Inc
1 May 2026233.09
392.22
68.27%
Buy
0.08
-
-
HUN NYSE · Huntsman Corporation
12 Dec 202510.39
11.13
7.14%
Buy
0.67
-
-
HURC NASDAQ · Hurco Companies Inc
15 May 202616.63
23.32
40.23%
Buy
0.05
-
-
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
30 May 202519.49
25.10
28.78%
Buy
0.18
-
-
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
6 Jun 202519.64
28.60
45.62%
Buy
0.25
-
-
HY NYSE · Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Inc
16 Jan 202633.16
32.68
-1.46%
Buy
0.07
-
-
HYNE NASDAQ · Hoyne Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 202616.76
16.59
-1.01%
Buy
1.49
-
-
HYPR NASDAQ · Hyperfine Inc
18 Jul 20250.92
1.09
18.47%
Buy
0.56
-
-
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
8 May 202613.92
18.79
34.99%
Buy
0.55
-
-
ICLR NASDAQ · ICON PLC
22 May 2026116.78
167.72
43.62%
Buy
0.20
-
-
IDYA NASDAQ · Ideaya Biosciences Inc
23 May 202518.82
36.99
96.55%
Buy
0.82
-
-
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
24 Apr 20267.64
7.49
-1.96%
Buy
1.23
-
-
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
14 Nov 202564.75
77.53
19.73%
Buy
0.34
-
-
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
17 Apr 20261.59
2.05
28.93%
Buy
0.31
-
-
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
6 Dec 20243.29
8.28
151.67%
Buy
0.26
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 691-720 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
12 Jun 2026
Exit
PFIS NASDAQ · Peoples Fin
63.52
Reversal Risk Warning
59.62%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 39.80
12 Jun 2026
Exit
PGC NASDAQ · Peapack-Gladstone Financial
46.25
Reversal Risk Warning
78.45%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 25.92
12 Jun 2026
Exit
PHIN NYSE · PHINIA Inc.
85.16
Reversal Risk Warning
116.80%
Entry 3 May 2024 39.28
12 Jun 2026
Exit
PLBC NASDAQ · Plumas Bancorp
56.61
Reversal Risk Warning
54.74%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 36.58
12 Jun 2026
Exit
PLGO NYSE · PLGO
23.50
Reversal Risk Warning
76.30%
Entry 23 Feb 2024 13.33
12 Jun 2026
Exit
PLPC NASDAQ · Preformed Line Products Company
375.22
Reversal Risk Warning
136.91%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 158.38
12 Jun 2026
Exit
PLXS NASDAQ · Plexus Corp
295.02
Reversal Risk Warning
116.23%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 136.44
12 Jun 2026
Exit
PRLB NYSE · Proto Labs Inc
78.94
Reversal Risk Warning
102.57%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 38.97
12 Jun 2026
Entry
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
56.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
12 Jun 2026
Entry
Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
150.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.67
12 Jun 2026
Exit
RBCAA NASDAQ · Republic Bancorp Inc
87.15
Reversal Risk Warning
95.11%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 44.67
12 Jun 2026
Exit
RBKB NASDAQ · Rhinebeck Bancorp Inc
16.71
Reversal Risk Warning
109.40%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 7.98
12 Jun 2026
Exit
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
3.91
20% entry drawdown
-21.96%
Entry 10 Apr 2026 5.01
12 Jun 2026
Entry
RH NYSE · RH
153.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
12 Jun 2026
Exit
RL NYSE · Ralph Lauren Corp Class A
403.00
Reversal Risk Warning
137.72%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 169.52
12 Jun 2026
Exit
RMR NASDAQ · RMR Group Inc
21.37
Reversal Risk Warning
51.53%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 14.10
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ROKU NASDAQ · Roku Inc
143.66
Reversal Risk Warning
77.38%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 80.99
12 Jun 2026
Entry
RSSS NASDAQ · Research Solutions Inc
2.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
12 Jun 2026
Entry
RYAN NYSE · Ryan Specialty Group Holdings Inc
35.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SAIL NASDAQ · SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock
14.62
20% entry drawdown
-22.36%
Entry 29 May 2026 18.83
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SAN NYSE · Banco Santander SA ADR
12.87
Reversal Risk Warning
173.98%
Entry 26 Apr 2024 4.70
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SCHL NASDAQ · Scholastic Corporation
43.89
Reversal Risk Warning
111.65%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 20.74
12 Jun 2026
Entry
SCM NYSE · Stellus Capital Investment
8.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SCYX NASDAQ · Scynexis Inc
4.23
20% entry drawdown
-25.63%
Entry 30 Jan 2026 5.69
12 Jun 2026
Entry
SENS NASDAQ · Senseonics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
7.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SEPN NASDAQ · Septerna, Inc. Common Stock
35.95
Reversal Risk Warning
216.18%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 11.37
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SGLY NASDAQ · Singularity Future Technology Ltd
0.35
20% entry drawdown
-24.60%
Entry 1 May 2026 0.47
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SHBI NASDAQ · Shore Bancshares Inc
22.81
Reversal Risk Warning
117.65%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 10.48
12 Jun 2026
Entry
SJM NYSE · The J. M. Smucker Company
116.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SKT NYSE · Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc
40.46
Reversal Risk Warning
84.80%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 21.89