Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 511-540 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
KBR NYSE · KBR Inc
26 Jun 202633.37
35.07
5.09%
Buy
0.03
-
-
KCHV NASDAQ · Kochav Defense Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
27 Feb 202610.22
10.39
1.66%
Buy
0.56
-
-
KD NYSE · Kyndryl Holdings Inc
22 May 202612.29
12.15
-1.14%
Buy
0.22
-
-
KDP NASDAQ · Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
1 May 202628.89
30.91
6.99%
Buy
0.12
-
-
KELYA NASDAQ · Kelly Services A Inc
8 May 20269.79
15.32
56.42%
Buy
0.13
-
-
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
15 Nov 20242.56
5.20
103.13%
Buy
0.23
-
-
KFII NASDAQ · K&F Growth Acquisition Corp. II Class A Ordinary shares
10 Oct 202510.25
10.58
3.22%
Buy
0.01
-
-
KFRC NYSE · Kforce Inc.
21 Nov 202528.80
58.56
103.33%
Buy
0.14
-
-
KGEI NASDAQ · Kolibri Global Energy Inc. Common stock
20 Feb 20263.94
5.23
32.74%
Buy
0.88
-
-
KHC NASDAQ · Kraft Heinz Co
27 Mar 202621.66
25.88
19.50%
Buy
0.02
-
-
KIDS NASDAQ · Orthopediatrics Corp
12 Dec 202517.60
19.22
9.18%
Buy
0.06
-
-
KLRS NASDAQ · Kalaris Therapeutics, Inc.
8 Aug 20252.67
4.38
64.04%
Buy
0.16
-
-
KLTR NASDAQ · Kaltura Inc
15 May 20261.46
1.39
-4.79%
Buy
0.20
-
-
KMB NASDAQ · Kimberly-Clark Corporation
13 Feb 2026106.71
108.35
1.54%
Buy
0.25
-
-
KMPR NYSE · Kemper Corporation
26 Jun 202626.81
28.02
4.51%
Buy
0.04
-
-
KMX NYSE · CarMax Inc
9 Jan 202645.23
57.33
26.75%
Buy
0.25
-
-
KNF NYSE · Knife River Corporation
19 Dec 202573.46
81.71
11.23%
Buy
0.32
-
-
KNTK NYSE · Kinetik Holdings Inc
16 Jan 202637.27
50.28
34.92%
Buy
0.20
-
-
KOP NYSE · Koppers Holdings Inc
23 May 202529.88
49.14
64.46%
Buy
0.41
-
-
KOS NYSE · Kosmos Energy Ltd
13 Feb 20261.68
2.24
33.33%
Buy
1.03
-
-
KOSS NASDAQ · Koss Corporation
1 May 20264.36
3.80
-12.84%
Buy
0.32
-
-
KOYN NASDAQ · CSLM Digital Asset Acquisition Corp III, Ltd
10 Apr 202610.07
10.16
0.89%
Buy
1.14
-
-
KPLT NASDAQ · Katapult Holdings Inc
20 Mar 20267.25
6.88
-5.10%
Buy
0.24
-
-
KPRX NASDAQ · Kiora Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20262.47
2.63
6.48%
Buy
0.44
-
-
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
15 Aug 20255.92
9.51
60.64%
Buy
0.44
-
-
KREF NYSE · KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc
22 May 20266.39
7.29
14.14%
Buy
0.03
-
-
KRNT NASDAQ · Kornit Digital Ltd
17 Apr 202616.37
15.03
-8.22%
Buy
0.84
-
-
KRO NYSE · Kronos Worldwide Inc
9 Jan 20265.24
6.58
25.54%
Buy
0.26
-
-
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
19 Jun 202612.99
12.25
-5.70%
Buy
0.51
-
-
KRSP NYSE · Rice Acquisition Corporation 3
19 Jun 202610.51
10.54
0.29%
Buy
1.09
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3151-3180 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Dec 2025
Entry
AAOI NASDAQ · Applied Opt
37.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
26 Dec 2025
Exit
ALGS NASDAQ · Aligos Therapeutics Inc
10.11
20% entry drawdown
-23.96%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 13.30
26 Dec 2025
Entry
AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc
8.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41
26 Dec 2025
Exit
ASPC NASDAQ · A SPAC III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
24.01
Reversal Risk Warning
73.86%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 13.81
26 Dec 2025
Exit
BAC NYSE · Bank of America Corp
55.16
Reversal Risk Warning
99.78%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 27.61
26 Dec 2025
Exit
BAYA NASDAQ · Bayview Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Shares
11.75
Reversal Risk Warning
9.30%
Entry 17 Jan 2025 10.75
26 Dec 2025
Exit
BCS NYSE · Barclays PLC ADR
25.44
Reversal Risk Warning
208.62%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 8.24
26 Dec 2025
Exit
CAPS NASDAQ · Capstone Holding Corp. Common Stock
0.70
20% entry drawdown
-22.90%
Entry 28 Nov 2025 0.91
26 Dec 2025
Entry
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
60.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
26 Dec 2025
Entry
CMG NYSE · Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
37.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
26 Dec 2025
Entry
CMTL NASDAQ · Comtech Telecommunications Corp
4.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33
26 Dec 2025
Exit
CVRX NASDAQ · CVRx Inc
7.42
20% entry drawdown
-25.43%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 9.95
26 Dec 2025
Exit
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
4.23
20% entry drawdown
-22.24%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 5.44
26 Dec 2025
Entry
DXCM NASDAQ · DexCom Inc
67.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
26 Dec 2025
Entry
EMA NYSE · Emera Incorporated
48.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
26 Dec 2025
Entry
FLL NASDAQ · Full House Resorts Inc
2.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
26 Dec 2025
Entry
FLNT NASDAQ · Fluent Inc
2.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
26 Dec 2025
Exit
FORTY NASDAQ · Formula Systems 1985 Ltd ADR
173.69
Reversal Risk Warning
198.30%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 58.23
26 Dec 2025
Entry
GLSI NASDAQ · Greenwich Lifesciences Inc
20.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
26 Dec 2025
Exit
GROV NYSE · Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.
1.18
20% entry drawdown
-20.27%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 1.48
26 Dec 2025
Entry
HCAT NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc
2.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
26 Dec 2025
Exit
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
4.26
20% entry drawdown
-25.91%
Entry 28 Nov 2025 5.75
26 Dec 2025
Entry
IPSC NASDAQ · Century Therapeutics Inc
1.09
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.51
26 Dec 2025
Exit
JLL NYSE · Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated
346.96
Reversal Risk Warning
88.98%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 183.60
26 Dec 2025
Entry
LION NYSE · Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (to be renamed Lionsgate Studios Corp.)
9.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.76
26 Dec 2025
Entry
OLPX NASDAQ · Olaplex Holdings Inc
1.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
26 Dec 2025
Exit
OMER NASDAQ · Omeros Corporation
15.71
Reversal Risk Warning
453.17%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 2.84
26 Dec 2025
Exit
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
15.53
Reversal Risk Warning
152.11%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 6.16
26 Dec 2025
Entry
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
12.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
26 Dec 2025
Exit
PCSC NASDAQ · Perceptive Capital Solutions Corp Class A Ordinary Shares
13.27
Reversal Risk Warning
22.98%
Entry 14 Nov 2025 10.79