Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
478.70
Total Return
378.70%
CAGR
55.90% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.12%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.64 Sortino 5.14
Current Holdings
1077
Transactions
10779 Avg 3056.6/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4851 Stop 41.6% · Warning 57.9% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
19
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IQ NASDAQ · iQIYI Inc
1.19 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAT NASDAQ · Mattel Inc
14.30 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
36
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 541-570 of 1077 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
KRSP NYSE · Rice Acquisition Corporation 3
19 Jun 202610.51
10.54
0.29%
Buy
1.09
-
-
KTCC NASDAQ · Key Tronic Corporation
23 May 20253.07
3.97
29.32%
Buy
0.16
-
-
KURA NASDAQ · Kura Oncology Inc
26 Sep 20259.05
10.86
20.00%
Buy
1.93
-
-
KVYO NYSE · Klaviyo, Inc.
29 May 202615.84
17.67
11.55%
Buy
0.23
-
-
KWR NYSE · Quaker Chemical Corporation
27 Jun 2025113.44
150.61
32.76%
Buy
0.38
-
-
KYTX NASDAQ · Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
11 Jul 20254.03
7.45
84.86%
Buy
2.19
-
-
KZIA NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
6 Jun 20255.65
13.34
136.11%
Buy
0.49
-
-
LAB NASDAQ · Standard Biotools Inc
3 Jul 20260.91
0.89
-1.97%
Buy
0.26
-
-
LAC NYSE · Lithium Americas Corp
11 Oct 20242.90
2.95
1.72%
Buy
0.86
-
-
LAES NASDAQ · SEALSQ Corp
13 Dec 20241.75
2.54
45.14%
Buy
1.45
-
-
LAKE NASDAQ · Lakeland Industries Inc
3 Apr 20268.47
11.43
34.95%
Buy
0.01
-
-
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
27 Jun 20259.73
8.71
-10.49%
Buy
0.35
-
-
LANV NYSE · Lanvin Group Holdings Limited
16 Aug 20241.48
1.34
-9.46%
Buy
0.28
-
-
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
17 Jul 20264.05
4.05
New Entry week
Buy
0.26
-
-
LB NYSE · LandBridge Company LLC
31 Oct 202558.88
77.67
31.91%
Buy
0.07
-
-
LBTYB NASDAQ · Liberty Global PLC Class B
13 Jun 20259.92
12.00
20.97%
Buy
0.12
-
-
LCCC NASDAQ · Lakeshore Acquisition III Corp. Ordinary Shares
30 Jan 202610.25
10.44
1.85%
Buy
2.02
-
-
LCUT NASDAQ · Lifetime Brands Inc
27 Mar 20264.90
8.52
73.91%
Buy
0.46
-
-
LEE NASDAQ · Lee Enterprises Incorporated
13 Feb 20266.90
7.86
13.91%
Buy
1.51
-
-
LEG NYSE · Leggett & Platt Incorporated
16 May 20259.32
11.03
18.36%
Buy
0.34
-
-
LEGN NASDAQ · Legend Biotech Corp
17 Apr 202621.17
22.26
5.15%
Buy
0.43
-
-
LEN NYSE · Lennar Corporation
26 Jun 202692.97
83.89
-9.77%
Buy
0.37
-
-
LEN-B NYSE · Lennar Corporation
26 Jun 202691.35
82.17
-10.05%
Buy
0.40
-
-
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
19 Jun 20265.54
4.68
-15.52%
Buy
0.14
-
-
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
24 Apr 20264.64
4.15
-10.56%
Buy
1.08
-
-
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
5 Jun 202650.35
58.48
16.15%
Buy
0.01
-
-
LGVN NASDAQ · Longeveron LLC
13 Feb 20260.54
0.62
16.09%
Buy
0.33
-
-
LIF NASDAQ · Life360, Inc. Common Stock
29 May 202642.49
53.79
26.59%
Buy
0.11
-
-
LINE NASDAQ · Lineage, Inc. Common Stock
8 May 202639.47
44.59
12.96%
Buy
0.19
-
-
LINK NASDAQ · Interlink Electronics Inc
8 May 20263.56
4.65
30.62%
Buy
0.32
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4861-4890 of 10779
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
20 Jun 2025
Exit
EXE NASDAQ · Expand Energy Corporation
118.27
Reversal Risk Warning
53.31%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 77.14
20 Jun 2025
Entry
FGI NASDAQ · FGI Industries Ltd
3.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
20 Jun 2025
Entry
FLNC NASDAQ · Fluence Energy Inc
5.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
20 Jun 2025
Entry
FWRD NASDAQ · Forward Air Corporation
22.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.36
20 Jun 2025
Entry
GCO NYSE · Genesco Inc
22.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
20 Jun 2025
Entry
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
1.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
20 Jun 2025
Entry
GEOS NASDAQ · Geospace Technologies Corporation
11.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41
20 Jun 2025
Entry
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.81
20 Jun 2025
Entry
GPRK NYSE · GeoPark Ltd
7.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
20 Jun 2025
Entry
GPRO NASDAQ · GoPro Inc
0.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.05
20 Jun 2025
Exit
GRPN NASDAQ · Groupon Inc
36.44
Reversal Risk Warning
205.45%
Entry 27 Dec 2024 11.93
20 Jun 2025
Entry
GSBD NYSE · Goldman Sachs BDC Inc
9.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
20 Jun 2025
Exit
HERE NASDAQ · Here Group Limited
11.70
Reversal Risk Warning
327.01%
Entry 21 Mar 2025 2.74
20 Jun 2025
Entry
HTLD NASDAQ · Heartland Express Inc
8.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
20 Jun 2025
Entry
HXL NYSE · Hexcel Corporation
53.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
20 Jun 2025
Entry
ILPT NASDAQ · Industrial Logistics Properties Trust
4.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
20 Jun 2025
Entry
INN NYSE · Summit Hotel Properties Inc
4.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
20 Jun 2025
Exit
IONR NASDAQ · ioneer Ltd American Depositary Shares
2.67
20% entry drawdown
-20.06%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 3.34
20 Jun 2025
Entry
KNX NYSE · Knight Transportation Inc
42.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
20 Jun 2025
Entry
LCII NYSE · LCI Industries
85.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
20 Jun 2025
Exit
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
14.76
Reversal Risk Warning
247.29%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 4.25
20 Jun 2025
Entry
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
3.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.83
20 Jun 2025
Exit
MBAV NASDAQ · M3-Brigade Acquisition V Corp. Class A Ordinary shares
13.53
Reversal Risk Warning
14.66%
Entry 30 May 2025 11.80
20 Jun 2025
Entry
MEOH NASDAQ · Methanex Corporation
36.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
20 Jun 2025
Entry
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
42.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
20 Jun 2025
Entry
MTCH NASDAQ · Match Group Inc
29.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
20 Jun 2025
Entry
MTDR NYSE · Matador Resources Company
49.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
20 Jun 2025
Entry
MTLS NASDAQ · Materialise NV
5.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
20 Jun 2025
Entry
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
23.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
20 Jun 2025
Entry
NGVT NYSE · Ingevity Corp
41.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03