Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 541-570 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
KMB NASDAQ · Kimberly-Clark Corporation
13 Feb 2026106.71
112.41
5.34%
Buy
0.25
-
-
KMPR NYSE · Kemper Corporation
26 Jun 202626.81
29.43
9.77%
Buy
0.04
-
-
KMX NYSE · CarMax Inc
9 Jan 202645.23
53.49
18.26%
Buy
0.25
-
-
KNF NYSE · Knife River Corporation
19 Dec 202573.46
81.09
10.39%
Buy
0.32
-
-
KNTK NYSE · Kinetik Holdings Inc
16 Jan 202637.27
48.32
29.66%
Buy
0.20
-
-
KOP NYSE · Koppers Holdings Inc
23 May 202529.88
47.56
59.17%
Buy
0.41
-
-
KOS NYSE · Kosmos Energy Ltd
13 Feb 20261.68
2.10
25.00%
Buy
1.03
-
-
KOSS NASDAQ · Koss Corporation
1 May 20264.36
3.95
-9.40%
Buy
0.32
-
-
KOYN NASDAQ · CSLM Digital Asset Acquisition Corp III, Ltd
10 Apr 202610.07
10.15
0.79%
Buy
1.14
-
-
KPLT NASDAQ · Katapult Holdings Inc
20 Mar 20267.25
7.20
-0.69%
Buy
0.24
-
-
KPRX NASDAQ · Kiora Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20262.47
2.51
1.62%
Buy
0.44
-
-
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
15 Aug 20255.92
10.34
74.66%
Buy
0.44
-
-
KREF NYSE · KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc
22 May 20266.39
7.36
15.24%
Buy
0.03
-
-
KRNT NASDAQ · Kornit Digital Ltd
17 Apr 202616.37
15.82
-3.36%
Buy
0.84
-
-
KRO NYSE · Kronos Worldwide Inc
9 Jan 20265.24
5.89
12.37%
Buy
0.26
-
-
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
19 Jun 202612.99
14.56
12.09%
Buy
0.51
-
-
KRSP NYSE · Rice Acquisition Corporation 3
19 Jun 202610.51
10.54
0.29%
Buy
1.09
-
-
KTCC NASDAQ · Key Tronic Corporation
23 May 20253.07
4.09
33.22%
Buy
0.16
-
-
KURA NASDAQ · Kura Oncology Inc
26 Sep 20259.05
11.45
26.52%
Buy
1.93
-
-
KVYO NYSE · Klaviyo, Inc.
29 May 202615.84
16.91
6.76%
Buy
0.23
-
-
KW NYSE · Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc
4 Jul 20256.93
10.92
57.69%
Buy
0.14
-
-
KWR NYSE · Quaker Chemical Corporation
27 Jun 2025113.44
148.17
30.61%
Buy
0.38
-
-
KYTX NASDAQ · Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
11 Jul 20254.03
8.49
110.55%
Buy
2.19
-
-
KZIA NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
6 Jun 20255.65
13.56
140.00%
Buy
0.49
-
-
LAB NASDAQ · Standard Biotools Inc
3 Jul 20260.91
0.92
0.60%
Buy
0.26
-
-
LAC NYSE · Lithium Americas Corp
11 Oct 20242.90
3.32
14.48%
Buy
0.86
-
-
LAES NASDAQ · SEALSQ Corp
13 Dec 20241.75
2.80
60.00%
Buy
1.45
-
-
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10 Jul 202610.11
10.11
New Entry week
Buy
1.51
-
-
LAKE NASDAQ · Lakeland Industries Inc
3 Apr 20268.47
11.03
30.22%
Buy
0.01
-
-
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
27 Jun 20259.73
8.56
-12.01%
Buy
0.35
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 601-630 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FRAF NASDAQ · Franklin Financial Services Corp
60.82
Reversal Risk Warning
141.64%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 25.17
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FRO NYSE · Frontline Ltd
39.07
Reversal Risk Warning
162.11%
Entry 25 Apr 2025 14.91
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FRST NASDAQ · Primis Financial Corp
15.74
Reversal Risk Warning
89.57%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 8.30
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FSTR NASDAQ · LB Foster Company
42.37
Reversal Risk Warning
147.06%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 17.15
12 Jun 2026
Entry
FSV NASDAQ · FirstService Corp
143.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
12 Jun 2026
Entry
FUL NYSE · H B Fuller Company
63.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FULT NASDAQ · Fulton Financial Corporation
23.18
Reversal Risk Warning
93.43%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 11.98
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FVCB NASDAQ · FVCBankcorp Inc
16.79
Reversal Risk Warning
41.72%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 11.85
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FVR NYSE · FrontView REIT, Inc.
19.66
Reversal Risk Warning
49.07%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 13.19
12 Jun 2026
Exit
GABC NASDAQ · German American Bancorp Inc
45.91
Reversal Risk Warning
73.91%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 26.40
12 Jun 2026
Exit
GCO NYSE · Genesco Inc
42.50
Reversal Risk Warning
90.41%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 22.32
12 Jun 2026
Exit
GIII NASDAQ · G-III Apparel Group Ltd
35.18
Reversal Risk Warning
36.85%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 25.70
12 Jun 2026
Entry
GO NASDAQ · Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
9.58
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.84
12 Jun 2026
Exit
GPRK NYSE · GeoPark Ltd
11.20
Reversal Risk Warning
57.74%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 7.10
12 Jun 2026
Exit
GRC NYSE · Gorman-Rupp Company
84.59
Reversal Risk Warning
125.73%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 37.47
12 Jun 2026
Exit
GSBC NASDAQ · Great Southern Bancorp Inc
75.45
Reversal Risk Warning
52.87%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 49.35
12 Jun 2026
Entry
GUTS NASDAQ · Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock
0.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.45
12 Jun 2026
Exit
HAFC NASDAQ · Hanmi Financial Corporation
31.75
Reversal Risk Warning
115.94%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 14.70
12 Jun 2026
Exit
HBCP NASDAQ · Home Bancorp Inc
68.08
Reversal Risk Warning
88.62%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 36.09
12 Jun 2026
Exit
HBNC NASDAQ · Horizon Bancorp
19.59
Reversal Risk Warning
112.32%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 9.23
12 Jun 2026
Exit
HBT NASDAQ · Hbt Financial Inc
30.59
Reversal Risk Warning
72.99%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 17.68
12 Jun 2026
Exit
HOPE NASDAQ · Hope Bancorp Inc
13.19
Reversal Risk Warning
74.28%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 7.57
12 Jun 2026
Entry
HRI NYSE · Herc Holdings Inc
144.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
12 Jun 2026
Entry
HRL NYSE · Hormel Foods Corporation
24.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
12 Jun 2026
Exit
HSPT NASDAQ · Horizon Space Acquisition II Corp. Ordinary share
5.80
20% entry drawdown
-40.82%
Entry 5 Jun 2026 9.80
12 Jun 2026
Exit
HTLD NASDAQ · Heartland Express Inc
16.09
Reversal Risk Warning
87.63%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 8.57
12 Jun 2026
Exit
IBKR NASDAQ · Interactive Brokers Group Inc
90.81
Reversal Risk Warning
206.24%
Entry 3 May 2024 29.65
12 Jun 2026
Exit
IFS NYSE · Intercorp Financial Services Inc
56.85
Reversal Risk Warning
129.62%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 24.76
12 Jun 2026
Exit
IHG NYSE · InterContinental Hotels Group PLC ADR
167.12
Reversal Risk Warning
121.60%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 75.41
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ILAG NASDAQ · Intelligent Living Application Group Inc
2.72
20% entry drawdown
-26.68%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 3.71