Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68
Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720
Avg 3056.5/yr ·
254.7/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806
Stop 41.2% ·
Warning 58.2%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ABT
NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27
MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88
MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG
NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15
MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO
NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13
MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS
NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR
NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT
NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM
NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31
MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB
NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA
NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12
MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73
MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ
NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25
MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V
NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX
NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15
MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO
NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q
NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80
MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD
NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17
MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55
MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN
NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX
NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM
NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76
MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK
NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH
NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN
NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74
MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93
MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB
NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91
MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
APWC
NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53
20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA
NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91
20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD
NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13
20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN
NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77
Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE
NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60
Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC
NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60
Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN
NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87
20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92
20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG
NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM
NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00
Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC
NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66
Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH
NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22
20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN
NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25
Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN
NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57
Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX
NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41
Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME
NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31
20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS
NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72
Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL
NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25
Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM
NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06
Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX
NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05
Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT
NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32
Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP
NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00
Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX
NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC
NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40
Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN
NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM
NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31
Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY
NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS
NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08
Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG
NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27
Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN
NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27
Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD
NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38
Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH
NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46
Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX
NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44
Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT
NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99
20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC
NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32
Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
AGPU
NASDAQ · Axe Compute Inc.
24 Apr 20266.64
7.36
10.84%
Buy
0.93
-
-
AGYS
NASDAQ · Agilysys Inc
22 May 202679.84
108.98
36.50%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AHCO
NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
2 Feb 20247.47
10.22
36.81%
Buy
0.11
-
-
AI
NYSE · C3 Ai Inc
8 May 20269.87
8.95
-9.32%
Buy
0.41
-
-
AIFU
NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
15 May 202646.20
36.99
-19.94%
Buy
0.33
-
-
AIRJ
NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
22 May 20264.37
4.30
-1.60%
Buy
1.41
-
-
AIRS
NASDAQ · Airsculpt Technologies Inc
27 Mar 20262.87
4.33
50.87%
Buy
0.43
-
-
AJG
NYSE · Arthur J Gallagher & Co
5 Jun 2026216.14
253.09
17.10%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AKBA
NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
3 Jul 20261.24
1.40
12.90%
Buy
0.04
-
-
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
10 Jul 202613.88
13.88
New
Entry week
Buy
1.04
-
-
ALB
NYSE · Albemarle Corp
25 Jul 202582.63
126.05
52.54%
Buy
1.34
-
-
ALDF
NASDAQ · Aldel Financial II Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
14 Nov 202510.57
10.73
1.51%
Buy
0.20
-
-
ALDX
NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
3 Jul 20262.27
2.07
-8.81%
Buy
0.20
-
-
ALEC
NASDAQ · Alector Inc
6 Jun 20251.49
1.61
8.05%
Buy
1.00
-
-
ALF
NASDAQ · Centurion Acquisition Corp.
9 May 202510.42
10.89
4.51%
Buy
3.08
-
-
ALG
NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
10 Jul 2026161.15
161.15
New
Entry week
Buy
0.25
-
-
ALGN
NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
28 Nov 2025147.19
179.45
21.92%
Buy
0.56
-
-
ALIS
NASDAQ · Calisa Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
12 Jun 202610.13
10.17
0.44%
Buy
1.59
-
-
ALIT
NYSE · Alight Inc
3 Jul 202614.26
19.62
37.59%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ALK
NYSE · Alaska Air Group Inc
12 Jun 202647.32
49.42
4.44%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ALKT
NASDAQ · Alkami Technology Inc
8 May 202617.97
17.35
-3.45%
Buy
0.18
-
-
ALLO
NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.71
2.00
16.96%
Buy
1.42
-
-
ALRM
NASDAQ · Alarm.com Holdings Inc
8 May 202647.60
51.50
8.19%
Buy
0.16
-
-
ALTG
NYSE · Alta Equipment Group Inc
23 Jan 20266.43
6.62
2.95%
Buy
0.22
-
-
ALXO
NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
10 Jul 20262.13
2.13
New
Entry week
Buy
0.02
-
-
AMBR
NASDAQ · Amber International Holding Limited
12 Dec 20251.56
1.41
-9.62%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AMCX
NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
8 May 20268.80
9.92
12.73%
Buy
0.40
-
-
AMH
NYSE · American Homes 4 Rent
1 May 202631.63
33.27
5.18%
Buy
0.30
-
-
AMLX
NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
27 Jun 20256.33
17.77
180.73%
Buy
1.19
-
-
AMN
NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
8 May 202628.97
32.37
11.74%
Buy
0.72
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
21 Nov 2025
Exit
HOWL
NASDAQ · Werewolf Therapeutics Inc
0.87
20% entry drawdown
-21.33%
Entry 16 May 2025
1.11
21 Nov 2025
Entry
INR
NYSE · Infinity Natural Resources, Inc.
12.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.05
21 Nov 2025
Exit
INSM
NASDAQ · Insmed Inc
198.76
Reversal Risk Warning
249.62%
Entry 7 Jun 2024
56.85
21 Nov 2025
Entry
KBDC
NYSE · Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc.
13.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.18
21 Nov 2025
Entry
KFRC
NYSE · Kforce Inc.
28.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.14
21 Nov 2025
Exit
LCFY
NASDAQ · Locafy Ltd
3.30
20% entry drawdown
-25.34%
Entry 11 Jul 2025
4.42
21 Nov 2025
Exit
MDT
NYSE · Medtronic PLC
99.65
Reversal Risk Warning
36.18%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
73.17
21 Nov 2025
Exit
MGPI
NASDAQ · MGP Ingredients Inc
22.52
20% entry drawdown
-20.83%
Entry 25 Apr 2025
28.45
21 Nov 2025
Exit
NSYS
NASDAQ · Nortech Systems Incorporated
6.95
20% entry drawdown
-24.02%
Entry 13 Jun 2025
9.15
21 Nov 2025
Exit
NTZ
NYSE · Natuzzi SpA
2.36
20% entry drawdown
-25.32%
Entry 17 Oct 2025
3.16
21 Nov 2025
Entry
OMCL
NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
36.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.53
21 Nov 2025
Exit
OMH
NASDAQ · Ohmyhome Limited Ordinary Shares
0.76
20% entry drawdown
-39.20%
Entry 29 Aug 2025
1.25
21 Nov 2025
Exit
OSG
NYSE · Octave Specialty Group, Inc.
8.98
Reversal Risk Warning
157.61%
Entry 13 Jan 2023
3.49
21 Nov 2025
Entry
PACS
NYSE · PACS Group, Inc.
27.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.65
21 Nov 2025
Exit
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.65
20% entry drawdown
-27.77%
Entry 15 Aug 2025
0.90
21 Nov 2025
Entry
PRLD
NASDAQ · Prelude Therapeutics Inc
1.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.67
21 Nov 2025
Exit
PXLW
NASDAQ · Pixelworks Inc
5.74
20% entry drawdown
-20.50%
Entry 4 Jul 2025
7.22
21 Nov 2025
Exit
SILC
NASDAQ · Silicom
14.06
20% entry drawdown
-23.17%
Entry 12 Sep 2025
18.30
21 Nov 2025
Exit
SION
NASDAQ · Sionna Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
43.66
Reversal Risk Warning
50.86%
Entry 26 Sep 2025
28.94
21 Nov 2025
Entry
STI
NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
11.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.42
21 Nov 2025
Exit
STM
NYSE · STMicroelectronics NV ADR
21.83
20% entry drawdown
-22.30%
Entry 6 Jun 2025
28.10
21 Nov 2025
Exit
TARA
NASDAQ · Protara Therapeutics Inc
7.26
Reversal Risk Warning
249.04%
Entry 5 Jan 2024
2.08
21 Nov 2025
Exit
TARS
NASDAQ · Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Inc
79.66
Reversal Risk Warning
260.45%
Entry 12 Jan 2024
22.10
21 Nov 2025
Exit
TE
NYSE · T1 Energy Inc.
2.72
20% entry drawdown
-25.27%
Entry 10 Oct 2025
3.64
21 Nov 2025
Entry
TECX
NASDAQ · Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.
19.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.02
21 Nov 2025
Exit
TPST
NASDAQ · Tempest Therapeutics Inc
3.50
20% entry drawdown
-49.28%
Entry 27 Jun 2025
6.90
21 Nov 2025
Exit
ULBI
NASDAQ · Ultralife Corporation
5.24
20% entry drawdown
-21.44%
Entry 30 May 2025
6.67
21 Nov 2025
Exit
VRME
NASDAQ · VerifyMe Inc
0.67
20% entry drawdown
-27.03%
Entry 15 Aug 2025
0.91
14 Nov 2025
Exit
AAOI
NASDAQ · Applied Opt
21.47
20% entry drawdown
-39.64%
Entry 31 Oct 2025
35.56
14 Nov 2025
Exit
AEHR
NASDAQ · Aehr Test Systems
20.34
20% entry drawdown
-20.42%
Entry 5 Sep 2025
25.56