Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67
Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719
Avg 3056.2/yr ·
254.7/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801
Stop 41.3% ·
Warning 58.4%
· Other 0.2%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88
MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG
NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48
MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO
NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13
MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS
NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI
NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42
MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR
NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM
NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31
MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR
NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19
MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB
NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA
NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12
MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73
MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA
NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11
MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V
NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX
NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15
MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO
NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD
NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17
MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55
MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN
NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX
NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM
NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76
MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK
NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH
NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN
NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74
MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93
MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB
NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91
MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
APWC
NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53
20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD
NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13
20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN
NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77
Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN
NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87
20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92
20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG
NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH
NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22
20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME
NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31
20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS
NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72
Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM
NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54
20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT
NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78
Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX
NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH
NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46
Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT
NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99
20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
AGPU
NASDAQ · Axe Compute Inc.
24 Apr 20266.64
7.36
10.84%
Buy
0.93
-
-
AGYS
NASDAQ · Agilysys Inc
22 May 202679.84
108.98
36.50%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AHCO
NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
2 Feb 20247.47
10.22
36.81%
Buy
0.11
-
-
AI
NYSE · C3 Ai Inc
8 May 20269.87
8.95
-9.32%
Buy
0.41
-
-
AIFU
NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
15 May 202646.20
36.99
-19.94%
Buy
0.33
-
-
AIRJ
NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
22 May 20264.37
4.30
-1.60%
Buy
1.41
-
-
AIRS
NASDAQ · Airsculpt Technologies Inc
27 Mar 20262.87
4.33
50.87%
Buy
0.43
-
-
AJG
NYSE · Arthur J Gallagher & Co
5 Jun 2026216.14
253.09
17.10%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AKBA
NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
3 Jul 20261.24
1.40
12.90%
Buy
0.04
-
-
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
10 Jul 202613.88
13.88
New
Entry week
Buy
1.03
-
-
ALB
NYSE · Albemarle Corp
25 Jul 202582.63
126.05
52.54%
Buy
1.34
-
-
ALDF
NASDAQ · Aldel Financial II Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
14 Nov 202510.57
10.73
1.51%
Buy
0.20
-
-
ALDX
NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
3 Jul 20262.27
2.07
-8.81%
Buy
0.20
-
-
ALEC
NASDAQ · Alector Inc
6 Jun 20251.49
1.61
8.05%
Buy
1.00
-
-
ALF
NASDAQ · Centurion Acquisition Corp.
9 May 202510.42
10.89
4.51%
Buy
3.08
-
-
ALG
NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
10 Jul 2026161.48
161.48
New
Entry week
Buy
0.27
-
-
ALGN
NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
28 Nov 2025147.19
179.45
21.92%
Buy
0.56
-
-
ALIS
NASDAQ · Calisa Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
12 Jun 202610.13
10.17
0.44%
Buy
1.57
-
-
ALIT
NYSE · Alight Inc
3 Jul 202614.26
19.62
37.59%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ALK
NYSE · Alaska Air Group Inc
12 Jun 202647.32
49.42
4.44%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ALKT
NASDAQ · Alkami Technology Inc
8 May 202617.97
17.35
-3.45%
Buy
0.18
-
-
ALLO
NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.71
2.00
16.96%
Buy
1.42
-
-
ALRM
NASDAQ · Alarm.com Holdings Inc
8 May 202647.60
51.50
8.19%
Buy
0.16
-
-
ALTG
NYSE · Alta Equipment Group Inc
23 Jan 20266.43
6.62
2.95%
Buy
0.22
-
-
ALXO
NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
10 Jul 20262.13
2.13
New
Entry week
Buy
0.03
-
-
AMBR
NASDAQ · Amber International Holding Limited
12 Dec 20251.56
1.41
-9.62%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AMCX
NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
8 May 20268.80
9.92
12.73%
Buy
0.40
-
-
AMH
NYSE · American Homes 4 Rent
1 May 202631.63
33.27
5.18%
Buy
0.30
-
-
AMLX
NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
27 Jun 20256.33
17.77
180.73%
Buy
1.19
-
-
AMN
NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
8 May 202628.97
32.37
11.74%
Buy
0.72
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
23 Jan 2026
Exit
GILT
NASDAQ · Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd
18.65
Reversal Risk Warning
179.61%
Entry 17 Jan 2025
6.67
23 Jan 2026
Entry
HGBL
NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
1.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.23
23 Jan 2026
Exit
HL
NYSE · Hecla Mining Company
31.80
Reversal Risk Warning
273.89%
Entry 29 Aug 2025
8.50
23 Jan 2026
Exit
HMY
NYSE · Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited
23.02
Reversal Risk Warning
395.10%
Entry 13 Oct 2023
4.65
23 Jan 2026
Exit
HYMC
NASDAQ · Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation
50.65
Reversal Risk Warning
332.91%
Entry 28 Nov 2025
11.70
23 Jan 2026
Exit
IMNM
NASDAQ · Immunome Inc
25.87
Reversal Risk Warning
144.52%
Entry 18 Jul 2025
10.58
23 Jan 2026
Exit
IVA
NASDAQ · Inventiva Sa
7.15
Reversal Risk Warning
168.80%
Entry 25 Oct 2024
2.66
23 Jan 2026
Exit
KEP
NYSE · Korea Electric Power Corp ADR
21.60
Reversal Risk Warning
167.84%
Entry 13 Sep 2024
8.06
23 Jan 2026
Exit
KGC
NYSE · Kinross Gold Corporation
37.06
Reversal Risk Warning
368.62%
Entry 24 May 2024
7.91
23 Jan 2026
Exit
LHX
NYSE · L3Harris Technologies Inc
352.09
Reversal Risk Warning
99.94%
Entry 3 Nov 2023
176.10
23 Jan 2026
Exit
LMND
NYSE · Lemonade Inc
93.25
Reversal Risk Warning
227.88%
Entry 8 Nov 2024
28.44
23 Jan 2026
Exit
LTM
NYSE · LATAM Airlines Group S.A.
63.46
Reversal Risk Warning
144.36%
Entry 25 Oct 2024
25.97
23 Jan 2026
Entry
MRNA
NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
48.71
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.83
23 Jan 2026
Entry
NAMM
NASDAQ · Namib Minerals Ordinary Shares
3.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.35
23 Jan 2026
Entry
NCEW
NASDAQ · New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares
8.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 2.00
23 Jan 2026
Exit
NEM
NYSE · Newmont Goldcorp Corp
123.74
Reversal Risk Warning
165.34%
Entry 21 Mar 2025
46.63
23 Jan 2026
Entry
NRDY
NYSE · Nerdy Inc
1.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
23 Jan 2026
Exit
NUAI
NASDAQ · New Era Energy & Digital, Inc.
7.30
Reversal Risk Warning
296.47%
Entry 26 Sep 2025
1.84
23 Jan 2026
Entry
NWL
NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
4.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
23 Jan 2026
Exit
NXE
NYSE · NexGen Energy Ltd.
12.58
Reversal Risk Warning
101.60%
Entry 23 May 2025
6.24
23 Jan 2026
Entry
OC
NYSE · Owens Corning Inc
123.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.19
23 Jan 2026
Exit
OR
NYSE · Osisko Gold Ro
45.13
Reversal Risk Warning
147.88%
Entry 20 Sep 2024
18.21
23 Jan 2026
Entry
PACB
NASDAQ · Pacific Biosciences of California
2.58
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.14
23 Jan 2026
Exit
PCAR
NASDAQ · PACCAR Inc
121.31
Reversal Risk Warning
46.23%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
82.96
23 Jan 2026
Exit
PH
NYSE · Parker-Hannifin Corporation
924.18
Reversal Risk Warning
101.39%
Entry 19 Jan 2024
458.90
23 Jan 2026
Exit
PHAR
NASDAQ · Pharming Group NV
19.70
Reversal Risk Warning
132.03%
Entry 27 Sep 2024
8.49
23 Jan 2026
Entry
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.06
23 Jan 2026
Entry
QRHC
NASDAQ · Quest Resource Holding Corp
2.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.29
23 Jan 2026
Entry
QSEA
NASDAQ · Quartzsea Acquisition Corporati
10.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.04
23 Jan 2026
Exit
RCAT
NASDAQ · Red Cat Holdings Inc
16.06
Reversal Risk Warning
484.00%
Entry 16 Aug 2024
2.75