Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65
Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781
Avg 3057.2/yr ·
254.8/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850
Stop 41.5% ·
Warning 58.0%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ADBE
NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25
MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL
NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB
NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL
NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23
MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV
NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN
NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO
NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS
NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT
NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI
NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86
MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW
NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS
NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT
NYSE · Onterris
20.93
MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX
NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69
MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD
NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06
MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL
NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10
MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK
NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06
MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY
NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05
MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACB
NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63
20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU
NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52
20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01
20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX
NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT
NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05
20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE
NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM
NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03
20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI
NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62
20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT
NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX
NYSE · Edison International
77.63
Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO
NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO
NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96
20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK
NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77
20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05
20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG
NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22
Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35
20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS
NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA
NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22
20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX
NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25
20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI
NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12
20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI
NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG
NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17
20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63
20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC
NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52
20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN
NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73
20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT
NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89
20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX
NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95
20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS
NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28
20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA
NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73
20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU
NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38
20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING
NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33
20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW
NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57
20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR
NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06
20% entry drawdown · -45.47%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
MATV
NYSE · Mativ Holdings Inc.
6 Jun 20255.94
8.02
35.06%
Buy
0.67
-
-
MATW
NASDAQ · Matthews International Corporation
27 Jun 202523.41
27.46
17.29%
Buy
0.33
-
-
MAX
NYSE · MediaAlpha Inc.
8 May 20269.11
14.12
54.99%
Buy
0.06
-
-
MBAV
NASDAQ · M3-Brigade Acquisition V Corp. Class A Ordinary shares
19 Jun 202610.80
10.88
0.69%
Buy
0.09
-
-
MBC
NYSE · MasterBrand Inc.
12 Jun 20268.88
8.67
-2.36%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MCFT
NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
30 May 202517.01
24.98
46.85%
Buy
0.02
-
-
MCGA
NASDAQ · Yorkville Acquisition Corp.
20 Feb 202610.15
10.21
0.59%
Buy
0.15
-
-
MDB
NASDAQ · MongoDB
6 Jun 2025220.14
312.33
41.88%
Buy
0.04
-
-
MDCX
NASDAQ · Medicus Pharma Ltd. Common Stock
12 Jun 20260.34
0.38
11.28%
Buy
0.13
-
-
MDLZ
NASDAQ · Mondelez International Inc
30 Jan 202657.97
61.00
5.23%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MDXG
NASDAQ · MiMedx Group Inc
26 Jun 20263.93
4.30
9.41%
Buy
0.42
-
-
MED
NYSE · MEDIFAST INC
30 Jan 202611.44
10.26
-10.31%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MEGL
NASDAQ · Magic Empire Global Limited
3 Jul 20261.36
1.17
-14.34%
Buy
1.01
-
-
MEI
NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
8 May 20269.63
14.99
55.66%
Buy
0.25
-
-
MFIC
NASDAQ · MidCap Financial Investment Corporation
10 Apr 202611.35
9.78
-13.83%
Buy
0.42
-
-
MGNX
NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
22 May 20264.53
4.49
-0.88%
Buy
1.21
-
-
MHLA
NYSE · Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046
8 May 202612.07
10.80
-10.56%
Buy
0.11
-
-
MKC-V
NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
10 Jul 202650.81
52.06
2.46%
Buy
0.15
-
-
MKDW
NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
3 Apr 20266.99
11.16
59.66%
Buy
0.04
-
-
MKLY
NASDAQ · McKinley Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
24 Apr 202610.14
10.19
0.49%
Buy
0.34
-
-
MKTW
NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
17 Jan 20259.95
20.11
102.14%
Buy
0.99
-
-
MLAB
NASDAQ · Mesa Laboratories Inc
17 Oct 202572.69
97.94
34.73%
Buy
0.12
-
-
MLCO
NASDAQ · Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd
16 May 20256.44
5.45
-15.37%
Buy
0.43
-
-
MLR
NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
20 Jun 202542.87
49.64
15.79%
Buy
0.18
-
-
MLTX
NASDAQ · MoonLake Immunotherapeutics
20 Feb 202618.77
19.68
4.85%
Buy
0.36
-
-
MMI
NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
10 Apr 202626.20
31.20
19.08%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MMLP
NASDAQ · Martin Midstream Partners LP
27 Mar 20262.50
2.43
-2.61%
Buy
0.17
-
-
MMSI
NASDAQ · Merit Medical Systems Inc
26 Jun 202671.73
73.99
3.15%
Buy
0.48
-
-
MMTX
NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10 Jul 202610.15
10.11
-0.39%
Buy
2.48
-
-
MMYT
NASDAQ · MakeMyTrip Limited
29 May 202646.74
54.62
16.86%
Buy
0.17
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
16 Jan 2026
Exit
GPCR
NASDAQ · Structure Therapeutics Inc. American Depositary Shares
88.64
Reversal Risk Warning
301.45%
Entry 5 Sep 2025
22.08
16 Jan 2026
Exit
GPGI
NYSE · GPGI, Inc.
25.11
Reversal Risk Warning
191.37%
Entry 9 Aug 2024
8.62
16 Jan 2026
Exit
GTN-A
NYSE · Gray Television Inc
13.26
Reversal Risk Warning
80.70%
Entry 10 May 2024
7.34
16 Jan 2026
Exit
HII
NYSE · Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc
422.69
Reversal Risk Warning
110.65%
Entry 28 Mar 2025
200.66
16 Jan 2026
Entry
HQI
NASDAQ · Hirequest Inc
10.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.69
16 Jan 2026
Entry
HY
NYSE · Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Inc
33.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.07
16 Jan 2026
Entry
ICHR
NASDAQ · Ichor Holdings Ltd
29.78
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.96
16 Jan 2026
Entry
IPAR
NASDAQ · Inter Parfums Inc
88.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.20
16 Jan 2026
Entry
IPCX
NASDAQ · Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. III Class A Ordinary Shares
10.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.17
16 Jan 2026
Exit
IQV
NYSE · IQVIA Holdings Inc
237.68
Reversal Risk Warning
50.94%
Entry 27 Jun 2025
157.47
16 Jan 2026
Exit
IVR
NYSE · Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc
8.62
Reversal Risk Warning
50.83%
Entry 22 Dec 2023
5.72
16 Jan 2026
Entry
JYNT
NASDAQ · The Joint Corp
9.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.44
16 Jan 2026
Entry
KNTK
NYSE · Kinetik Holdings Inc
37.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.20
16 Jan 2026
Exit
KTOS
NASDAQ · Kratos Defense & Security Solutions
130.72
Reversal Risk Warning
260.21%
Entry 2 May 2025
36.29
16 Jan 2026
Entry
LGIH
NASDAQ · LGI Homes
53.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.37
16 Jan 2026
Entry
LOKV
NASDAQ · Live Oak Acquisition Corp. V Class A Ordinary Shares
10.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.45
16 Jan 2026
Exit
LPCN
NASDAQ · Lipocine Inc
11.13
Reversal Risk Warning
161.88%
Entry 19 Dec 2025
4.25
16 Jan 2026
Entry
LPRO
NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
2.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.30
16 Jan 2026
Entry
LVLU
NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
14.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.57
16 Jan 2026
Exit
MASK
NASDAQ · 3 E Network Technology Group Ltd Class A Ordinary Shares
7.25
20% entry drawdown
-22.17%
Entry 9 Jan 2026
9.32
16 Jan 2026
Entry
MMLP
NASDAQ · Martin Midstream Partners LP
2.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.18
16 Jan 2026
Entry
MTDR
NYSE · Matador Resources Company
42.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.20
16 Jan 2026
Exit
MTVA
NASDAQ · MetaVia Inc.
3.11
20% entry drawdown
-66.60%
Entry 12 Dec 2025
9.31
16 Jan 2026
Entry
MX
NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.21
16 Jan 2026
Exit
NRGV
NYSE · Energy Vault Holdings Inc
5.72
Reversal Risk Warning
248.78%
Entry 22 Aug 2025
1.64
16 Jan 2026
Exit
NRP
NYSE · Natural Resource Partners LP
117.31
Reversal Risk Warning
98.11%
Entry 4 Aug 2023
59.21
16 Jan 2026
Entry
NTZ
NYSE · Natuzzi SpA
3.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.08
16 Jan 2026
Entry
NYC
NYSE · New York City REIT Inc
10.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.38
16 Jan 2026
Entry
OEC
NYSE · Orion Engineered Carbons SA
6.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.26
16 Jan 2026
Entry
OMH
NASDAQ · Ohmyhome Limited Ordinary Shares
1.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.07