View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

484.55

Total Return

384.55%

CAGR

56.82% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+34.37%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.68 Sortino 5.21

Current Holdings

1108

Transactions

10720 Avg 3056.5/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk

Exit Mix

4806 Stop 41.2% · Warning 58.2% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories

93.27 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC

13.88 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc

161.15 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings

2.13 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation

60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc

125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.

8.32 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc

73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GIB NYSE · CGI Inc

67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares

1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share

10.12 MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

11.73 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc

7.25 MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated

50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share

10.15 MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd

1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.

2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc

143.80 MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc

11.17 MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock

0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co

0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp

1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc

1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc

30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc

19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc

2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc

2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR

2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd

1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%

BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc

0.91 20% entry drawdown · -23.77%

BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc

3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%

BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock

126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%

BLZE NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc

17.60 Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%

BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp

10.60 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%

BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc

3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%

CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation

46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%

CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc

0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%

CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc

14.00 Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%

CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV

4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%

CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc

6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%

DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp

6.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%

DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company

7.57 Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%

EWTX NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc

45.41 Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%

GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.

0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%

GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp

152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%

GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.

10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%

IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc

50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%

KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc

23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%

LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc

5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%

MBX NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock

61.05 Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%

MPLT NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock

39.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%

ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp

28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%

OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc

0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%

PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited

9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%

PTRN NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock

28.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%

RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc

14.31 Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%

RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc

20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%

ROSS NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp

11.08 Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%

SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc

26.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%

SLRN NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock

2.27 Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%

THRD NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.

5.38 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%

TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.

1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%

TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock

9.44 Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%

WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation

17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

WKC NYSE · World Kinect Corporation

35.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 601-630 of 1108 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

LRMR NASDAQ · Larimar Therapeutics Inc

11 Jul 20253.38

4.28

26.63%

Buy

1.27

LTRN NASDAQ · Lantern Pharma Inc

15 May 20263.14

3.60

14.65%

Buy

0.02

LXEO NASDAQ · Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock

5 Sep 20255.02

4.82

-3.98%

Buy

1.81

LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc

27 Jun 20250.82

2.22

170.43%

Buy

1.36

LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV

15 Aug 202549.57

56.35

13.67%

Buy

0.57

LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc

10 Jul 20267.25

7.25

New Entry week

Buy

0.71

MAA NYSE · Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc

22 May 2026131.14

133.70

1.95%

Buy

0.12

MACI NASDAQ · Melar Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares

2 May 202510.31

10.89

5.67%

Buy

0.91

MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc

20 Mar 202626.05

38.71

48.60%

Buy

0.21

MANH NASDAQ · Manhattan Associates Inc

8 May 2026143.02

154.90

8.31%

Buy

0.22

MARA NASDAQ · Marathon Digital Holdings Inc

17 Apr 202611.60

12.60

8.62%

Buy

0.53

MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc

14 Mar 20254.11

8.10

97.08%

Buy

1.10

MATV NYSE · Mativ Holdings Inc.

6 Jun 20255.94

7.81

31.53%

Buy

0.67

MATW NASDAQ · Matthews International Corporation

27 Jun 202523.41

26.66

13.87%

Buy

0.33

MAX NYSE · MediaAlpha Inc.

8 May 20269.11

13.37

46.76%

Buy

0.06

MBAV NASDAQ · M3-Brigade Acquisition V Corp. Class A Ordinary shares

19 Jun 202610.80

10.85

0.46%

Buy

0.09

MBC NYSE · MasterBrand Inc.

12 Jun 20268.88

9.08

2.25%

Buy

0.24

MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc

30 May 202517.01

24.15

41.98%

Buy

0.02

MCGA NASDAQ · Yorkville Acquisition Corp.

20 Feb 202610.15

10.24

0.89%

Buy

0.15

MDB NASDAQ · MongoDB

6 Jun 2025220.14

342.08

55.39%

Buy

0.04

MDCX NASDAQ · Medicus Pharma Ltd. Common Stock

12 Jun 20260.34

0.41

20.70%

Buy

0.13

MDLZ NASDAQ · Mondelez International Inc

30 Jan 202657.97

58.83

1.49%

Buy

0.24

MDXG NASDAQ · MiMedx Group Inc

26 Jun 20263.93

4.11

4.58%

Buy

0.42

MED NYSE · MEDIFAST INC

30 Jan 202611.44

10.72

-6.29%

Buy

0.24

MEGL NASDAQ · Magic Empire Global Limited

3 Jul 20261.36

1.20

-12.13%

Buy

1.01

MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc

8 May 20269.63

15.75

63.53%

Buy

0.25

MFIC NASDAQ · MidCap Financial Investment Corporation

10 Apr 202611.35

9.87

-13.04%

Buy

0.42

MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc

22 May 20264.53

4.33

-4.42%

Buy

1.21

MHLA NYSE · Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046

8 May 202612.07

10.69

-11.51%

Buy

0.11

MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated

10 Jul 202650.81

50.81

New Entry week

Buy

0.15

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2941-2970 of 10720

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

16 Jan 2026

Exit

PEN NYSE · Penumbra Inc

350.78

Reversal Risk Warning

66.94%

Entry 23 Aug 2024 210.12

16 Jan 2026

Exit

PESI NASDAQ · Perma-Fix Environmental Svcs Inc

14.82

Reversal Risk Warning

57.83%

Entry 9 May 2025 9.39

16 Jan 2026

Exit

PFSI NYSE · PennyMac Finl Svcs Inc

158.39

Reversal Risk Warning

122.17%

Entry 14 Jul 2023 71.29

16 Jan 2026

Exit

POLA NASDAQ · Polar Power Inc

1.68

20% entry drawdown

-20.38%

Entry 25 Jul 2025 2.11

16 Jan 2026

Entry

PRMB NYSE · Primo Brands Corporation

18.61

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19

16 Jan 2026

Entry

QUIK NASDAQ · QuickLogic Corporation

8.44

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38

16 Jan 2026

Entry

RAY NASDAQ · Raytech Holding Limited Ordinary Shares

3.68

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04

16 Jan 2026

Exit

RTX NYSE · RTX Corporation

200.43

Reversal Risk Warning

150.24%

Entry 29 Dec 2023 80.09

16 Jan 2026

Exit

SARO NYSE · StandardAero, Inc.

32.48

Reversal Risk Warning

13.33%

Entry 19 Dec 2025 28.66

16 Jan 2026

Entry

SATL NASDAQ · Satellogic V Inc

3.56

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29

16 Jan 2026

Exit

SBCF NASDAQ · Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

33.41

Reversal Risk Warning

56.42%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 21.36

16 Jan 2026

Entry

SENS NASDAQ · Senseonics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

7.76

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05

16 Jan 2026

Entry

SFD NASDAQ · Smithfield Foods, Inc. Common Stock

22.91

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11

16 Jan 2026

Exit

SHOO NASDAQ · Steven Madden Ltd

45.11

Reversal Risk Warning

86.29%

Entry 6 Jun 2025 24.22

16 Jan 2026

Exit

SIDU NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc

3.37

20% entry drawdown

-22.17%

Entry 2 Jan 2026 4.33

16 Jan 2026

Exit

SKYQ NASDAQ · Sky Quarry Inc

3.04

20% entry drawdown

-26.68%

Entry 9 Jan 2026 4.15

16 Jan 2026

Exit

SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC

5.04

20% entry drawdown

-22.46%

Entry 17 Oct 2025 6.50

16 Jan 2026

Entry

SSTI NASDAQ · Shotspotter Inc

7.77

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02

16 Jan 2026

Exit

STAA NASDAQ · STAAR Surgical Company

20.97

20% entry drawdown

-23.07%

Entry 8 Aug 2025 27.26

16 Jan 2026

Entry

STKS NASDAQ · One Group Hospitality Inc

2.56

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10

16 Jan 2026

Entry

STRO NASDAQ · Sutro Biopharma

13.82

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.22

16 Jan 2026

Exit

TTI NYSE · Tetra Technologies Inc

11.57

Reversal Risk Warning

158.84%

Entry 22 Aug 2025 4.47

16 Jan 2026

Entry

TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc

2.29

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35

16 Jan 2026

Exit

TWO NYSE · Two Harbors Investments Corp

13.68

Reversal Risk Warning

40.73%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 9.72

16 Jan 2026

Entry

UCTT NASDAQ · Ultra Clean Holdings Inc

43.75

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.60

16 Jan 2026

Entry

UEIC NASDAQ · Universal Electronics Inc

3.96

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27

16 Jan 2026

Entry

UMC NYSE · United Microelectronics

9.30

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.35

16 Jan 2026

Entry

VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide

58.62

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04

16 Jan 2026

Entry

WFG NYSE · West Fraser Timber Co Ltd

69.73

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35

16 Jan 2026

Exit

WLDN NASDAQ · Willdan Group Inc

133.78

Reversal Risk Warning

232.29%

Entry 20 Sep 2024 40.26