Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65
Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781
Avg 3057.2/yr ·
254.8/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850
Stop 41.5% ·
Warning 58.0%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ADBE
NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25
MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL
NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB
NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL
NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23
MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV
NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN
NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO
NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS
NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT
NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI
NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86
MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW
NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS
NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT
NYSE · Onterris
20.93
MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX
NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69
MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD
NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06
MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL
NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10
MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK
NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06
MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY
NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05
MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACB
NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63
20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU
NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52
20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01
20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX
NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT
NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05
20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE
NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM
NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03
20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI
NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62
20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT
NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX
NYSE · Edison International
77.63
Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO
NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO
NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96
20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK
NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77
20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05
20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG
NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22
Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35
20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS
NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA
NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22
20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX
NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25
20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI
NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12
20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI
NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG
NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17
20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63
20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC
NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52
20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN
NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73
20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT
NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89
20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX
NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95
20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS
NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28
20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA
NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73
20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU
NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38
20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING
NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33
20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW
NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57
20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR
NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06
20% entry drawdown · -45.47%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
MNDO
NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
10 Jul 20261.06
1.03
-2.83%
Buy
0.16
-
-
MNDY
NASDAQ · Monday.Com Ltd
8 May 202672.07
78.69
9.19%
Buy
0.01
-
-
MNKD
NASDAQ · MannKind Corp
29 May 20263.77
4.03
6.90%
Buy
0.06
-
-
MNOV
NASDAQ · MediciNova Inc
11 Jul 20251.27
1.35
6.32%
Buy
0.02
-
-
MNRO
NASDAQ · Monro Muffler Brake Inc
6 Jun 202515.25
16.96
11.23%
Buy
0.14
-
-
MNTK
NASDAQ · Montauk Renewables Inc
22 May 20261.55
1.57
1.29%
Buy
0.36
-
-
MNTN
NYSE · MNTN, Inc.
13 Mar 20269.57
8.94
-6.58%
Buy
0.08
-
-
MOH
NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
20 Feb 2026151.00
225.37
49.25%
Buy
0.72
-
-
MOLN
NASDAQ · Molecular Partners AG ADR
19 Sep 20253.77
3.90
3.45%
Buy
0.95
-
-
MORN
NASDAQ · Morningstar Inc
22 May 2026179.64
172.48
-3.99%
Buy
0.80
-
-
MPT
NYSE · Medical Properties Trust, Inc.
26 Jan 20242.67
4.75
77.74%
Buy
0.04
-
-
MQ
NASDAQ · Marqeta Inc
28 Feb 202516.72
17.49
4.61%
Buy
0.29
-
-
MRDN
NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202614.33
13.52
-5.62%
Buy
1.34
-
-
MRKR
NASDAQ · Marker Therapeutics Inc
28 Nov 20251.24
1.31
5.65%
Buy
0.31
-
-
MRM
NASDAQ · Medirom Healthcare Technologies Inc
29 May 20261.14
0.93
-18.41%
Buy
0.10
-
-
MRNA
NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
23 Jan 202648.71
61.82
26.91%
Buy
1.83
-
-
MRP
NYSE · Millrose Properties, Inc.
3 Jul 202628.98
29.42
1.51%
Buy
0.13
-
-
MRSH
NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
3 Jul 2026178.54
182.18
2.04%
Buy
0.33
-
-
MRTN
NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
12 Dec 202511.67
17.65
51.25%
Buy
0.21
-
-
MRVI
NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
3 Oct 20253.09
7.24
134.30%
Buy
1.31
-
-
MSGM
NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
25 Apr 20252.40
4.64
93.33%
Buy
0.28
-
-
MSTR
NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated
3 Jul 2026100.77
94.85
-5.87%
Buy
0.01
-
-
MTAL
NYSE · Metals Acquisition Corp. II
30 May 202512.16
10.20
-16.12%
Buy
0.50
-
-
MTCH
NASDAQ · Match Group Inc
20 Jun 202529.88
39.15
31.01%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MTLS
NASDAQ · Materialise NV
20 Jun 20255.39
6.54
21.34%
Buy
0.15
-
-
MTN
NYSE · Vail Resorts Inc
12 Jun 2026131.13
147.86
12.76%
Buy
0.19
-
-
MTUS
NYSE · Metallus, Inc
6 Jun 202514.06
19.38
37.84%
Buy
0.14
-
-
MTW
NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
23 May 202510.33
13.03
26.14%
Buy
0.33
-
-
MUR
NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
20 Jun 202523.74
36.83
55.14%
Buy
0.27
-
-
MWYN
NASDAQ · Marwynn Holdings, Inc. Common stock
8 May 20260.79
0.78
-1.20%
Buy
0.06
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
9 Jan 2026
Exit
RERE
NYSE · ATRenew Inc DRC
5.76
Reversal Risk Warning
252.69%
Entry 22 Mar 2024
1.63
9 Jan 2026
Exit
RKT
NYSE · Rocket Companies Inc
23.29
Reversal Risk Warning
133.96%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
9.95
9 Jan 2026
Exit
SHC
NASDAQ · Sotera Health Co
19.20
Reversal Risk Warning
50.00%
Entry 16 May 2025
12.80
9 Jan 2026
Entry
SJ
NASDAQ · Scienjoy Holding Corp
0.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.81
9 Jan 2026
Entry
SKYQ
NASDAQ · Sky Quarry Inc
4.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.20
9 Jan 2026
Entry
SOC
NYSE · Sable Offshore Corp.
9.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.05
9 Jan 2026
Exit
SOHU
NASDAQ · Sohu.Com Inc
16.42
Reversal Risk Warning
19.16%
Entry 4 Jul 2025
13.78
9 Jan 2026
Exit
STEP
NASDAQ · Stepstone Group Inc
70.41
Reversal Risk Warning
136.70%
Entry 15 Sep 2023
29.75
9 Jan 2026
Entry
STM
NYSE · STMicroelectronics NV ADR
28.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.19
9 Jan 2026
Entry
TH
NASDAQ · Target Hospitality Corp
8.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.10
9 Jan 2026
Entry
TJGC
NASDAQ · TJGC Group Limited
3.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.14
9 Jan 2026
Exit
TRIB
NASDAQ · Trinity Biotech plc
0.73
20% entry drawdown
-20.03%
Entry 8 Aug 2025
0.92
9 Jan 2026
Exit
TROO
NASDAQ · TROOPS Inc
4.65
Reversal Risk Warning
355.88%
Entry 29 Aug 2025
1.02
9 Jan 2026
Exit
ULTA
NASDAQ · Ulta Beauty Inc
666.18
Reversal Risk Warning
76.60%
Entry 16 Aug 2024
377.23
9 Jan 2026
Entry
UTSI
NASDAQ · UTStarcom Holdings Corp
2.45
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.26
9 Jan 2026
Exit
VMC
NYSE · Vulcan Materials Company
310.41
Reversal Risk Warning
47.47%
Entry 25 Aug 2023
210.50
9 Jan 2026
Entry
VRA
NASDAQ · Vera Bradley Inc
3.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.89
9 Jan 2026
Entry
WPRT
NASDAQ · Westport Fuel Systems Inc
1.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.03
9 Jan 2026
Entry
XRAY
NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
12.78
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.34
9 Jan 2026
Exit
YETI
NYSE · YETI Holdings Inc
49.34
Reversal Risk Warning
61.29%
Entry 27 Jun 2025
30.59
9 Jan 2026
Entry
ZNTL
NASDAQ · Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Llc
3.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.22
2 Jan 2026
Entry
AESI
NYSE · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
9.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
2 Jan 2026
Entry
AFCG
NASDAQ · AFC Gamma Inc
2.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.06
2 Jan 2026
Exit
AFJK
NASDAQ · Aimei Health Technology Co., Ltd Ordinary Share
75.86
Reversal Risk Warning
110.55%
Entry 19 Dec 2025
36.03
2 Jan 2026
Entry
ANGH
NASDAQ · Anghami De Inc
4.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.32
2 Jan 2026
Exit
APM
NASDAQ · Aptorum Group Ltd Class A
1.07
20% entry drawdown
-23.02%
Entry 15 Aug 2025
1.39
2 Jan 2026
Exit
ARBB
NASDAQ · ARB IOT Group Limited Ordinary Shares
5.77
20% entry drawdown
-20.30%
Entry 12 Dec 2025
7.24
2 Jan 2026
Entry
ARKR
NASDAQ · Ark Restaurants Corp
6.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.11
2 Jan 2026
Exit
BCAB
NASDAQ · Bioatla Inc
26.71
20% entry drawdown
-31.06%
Entry 12 Sep 2025
38.75
2 Jan 2026
Exit
CALC
NASDAQ · CalciMedica, Inc. Common Stock
6.74
Reversal Risk Warning
318.63%
Entry 4 Jul 2025
1.61