View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

479.75

Total Return

379.75%

CAGR

56.00% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16

Current Holdings

1081

Transactions

10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk

Exit Mix

4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated

237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc

30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc

32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock

71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc

2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc

49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc

62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc

41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc

10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc

78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC

4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc

9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ONT NYSE · Onterris

20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp

6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation

164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd

5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc

9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc

14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc

2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%

AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.

34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%

AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC

11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%

ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The

1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%

ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc

6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%

AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc

1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%

BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global

1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%

BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc

11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%

BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc

1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%

EIX NYSE · Edison International

77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%

EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc

1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%

EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR

1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%

GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock

1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%

GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares

1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%

HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc

51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%

INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.

3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%

JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%

LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation

3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%

LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.

7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%

MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated

4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%

OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.

2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%

OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc

2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%

PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc

62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%

PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc

2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%

PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc

0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%

PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares

0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%

QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc

12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%

RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.

10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%

RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc

2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%

SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc

384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%

SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited

1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%

VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc

2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%

WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc

142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%

WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock

14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%

ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.

5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 631-660 of 1081 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd

10 Jul 20261.06

1.03

-2.83%

Buy

0.16

MNDY NASDAQ · Monday.Com Ltd

8 May 202672.07

78.69

9.19%

Buy

0.01

MNKD NASDAQ · MannKind Corp

29 May 20263.77

4.03

6.90%

Buy

0.06

MNOV NASDAQ · MediciNova Inc

11 Jul 20251.27

1.35

6.32%

Buy

0.02

MNRO NASDAQ · Monro Muffler Brake Inc

6 Jun 202515.25

16.96

11.23%

Buy

0.14

MNTK NASDAQ · Montauk Renewables Inc

22 May 20261.55

1.57

1.29%

Buy

0.36

MNTN NYSE · MNTN, Inc.

13 Mar 20269.57

8.94

-6.58%

Buy

0.08

MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc

20 Feb 2026151.00

225.37

49.25%

Buy

0.72

MOLN NASDAQ · Molecular Partners AG ADR

19 Sep 20253.77

3.90

3.45%

Buy

0.95

MORN NASDAQ · Morningstar Inc

22 May 2026179.64

172.48

-3.99%

Buy

0.80

MPT NYSE · Medical Properties Trust, Inc.

26 Jan 20242.67

4.75

77.74%

Buy

0.04

MQ NASDAQ · Marqeta Inc

28 Feb 202516.72

17.49

4.61%

Buy

0.29

MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc

12 Jun 202614.33

13.52

-5.62%

Buy

1.34

MRKR NASDAQ · Marker Therapeutics Inc

28 Nov 20251.24

1.31

5.65%

Buy

0.31

MRM NASDAQ · Medirom Healthcare Technologies Inc

29 May 20261.14

0.93

-18.41%

Buy

0.10

MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc

23 Jan 202648.71

61.82

26.91%

Buy

1.83

MRP NYSE · Millrose Properties, Inc.

3 Jul 202628.98

29.42

1.51%

Buy

0.13

MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.

3 Jul 2026178.54

182.18

2.04%

Buy

0.33

MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd

12 Dec 202511.67

17.65

51.25%

Buy

0.21

MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc

3 Oct 20253.09

7.24

134.30%

Buy

1.31

MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC

25 Apr 20252.40

4.64

93.33%

Buy

0.28

MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated

3 Jul 2026100.77

94.85

-5.87%

Buy

0.01

MTAL NYSE · Metals Acquisition Corp. II

30 May 202512.16

10.20

-16.12%

Buy

0.50

MTCH NASDAQ · Match Group Inc

20 Jun 202529.88

39.15

31.01%

Buy

0.24

MTLS NASDAQ · Materialise NV

20 Jun 20255.39

6.54

21.34%

Buy

0.15

MTN NYSE · Vail Resorts Inc

12 Jun 2026131.13

147.86

12.76%

Buy

0.19

MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc

6 Jun 202514.06

19.38

37.84%

Buy

0.14

MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc

23 May 202510.33

13.03

26.14%

Buy

0.33

MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation

20 Jun 202523.74

36.83

55.14%

Buy

0.27

MWYN NASDAQ · Marwynn Holdings, Inc. Common stock

8 May 20260.79

0.78

-1.20%

Buy

0.06

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3361-3390 of 10781

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

28 Nov 2025

Exit

BKH NYSE · Black Hills Corporation

72.39

Reversal Risk Warning

50.86%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 47.99

28 Nov 2025

Exit

BMEZ NYSE · BlackRock Health Sciences Trust II

14.79

Reversal Risk Warning

34.87%

Entry 15 Dec 2023 10.97

28 Nov 2025

Exit

BMRC NASDAQ · Bank of Marin Bancorp

26.55

Reversal Risk Warning

78.57%

Entry 28 Jun 2024 14.87

28 Nov 2025

Entry

CAPS NASDAQ · Capstone Holding Corp. Common Stock

0.91

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08

28 Nov 2025

Exit

CLLS NASDAQ · Cellectis SA

5.07

Reversal Risk Warning

218.67%

Entry 2 May 2025 1.59

28 Nov 2025

Entry

CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings

7.36

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37

28 Nov 2025

Exit

COGT NASDAQ · Cogent Biosciences Inc

40.22

Reversal Risk Warning

266.30%

Entry 11 Jul 2025 10.98

28 Nov 2025

Entry

CSTE NASDAQ · Caesarstone Ltd

1.50

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41

28 Nov 2025

Exit

CSTL NASDAQ · Castle Biosciences Inc

39.95

Reversal Risk Warning

106.35%

Entry 8 Aug 2025 19.36

28 Nov 2025

Exit

EEX NYSE · Emerald Expositions Events Inc

3.64

20% entry drawdown

-21.09%

Entry 16 May 2025 4.61

28 Nov 2025

Exit

ESPR NASDAQ · Esperion Therapeutics Inc

4.01

Reversal Risk Warning

165.56%

Entry 25 Jul 2025 1.51

28 Nov 2025

Exit

FLNT NASDAQ · Fluent Inc

1.78

20% entry drawdown

-20.54%

Entry 18 Jul 2025 2.24

28 Nov 2025

Entry

HCAT NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc

2.99

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.45

28 Nov 2025

Entry

HYMC NASDAQ · Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation

11.70

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.71

28 Nov 2025

Entry

INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.

5.75

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39

28 Nov 2025

Exit

IONS NASDAQ · Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc

82.73

Reversal Risk Warning

144.69%

Entry 7 Mar 2025 33.81

28 Nov 2025

Exit

KBDC NYSE · Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc.

14.65

Reversal Risk Warning

5.01%

Entry 21 Nov 2025 13.95

28 Nov 2025

Exit

KRMD NASDAQ · Repro Med Systems Inc

5.92

Reversal Risk Warning

141.14%

Entry 29 Dec 2023 2.46

28 Nov 2025

Exit

KSS NYSE · Kohl's Corporation

24.02

Reversal Risk Warning

187.25%

Entry 6 Jun 2025 8.36

28 Nov 2025

Exit

L NYSE · Loews Corp

107.75

Reversal Risk Warning

56.57%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 68.81

28 Nov 2025

Entry

LYEL NASDAQ · Lyell Immunopharma Inc

24.00

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.07

28 Nov 2025

Entry

MAGN NYSE · Magnera Corp placeholder

14.16

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11

28 Nov 2025

Exit

MAT NASDAQ · Mattel Inc

21.12

Reversal Risk Warning

6.67%

Entry 27 Jun 2025 19.80

28 Nov 2025

Exit

MD NYSE · Mednax Inc

24.09

Reversal Risk Warning

140.42%

Entry 9 Aug 2024 10.02

28 Nov 2025

Exit

MDGL NASDAQ · Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc

596.98

Reversal Risk Warning

205.27%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 195.56

28 Nov 2025

Exit

MKL NYSE · Markel Corporation

2080.44

Reversal Risk Warning

44.94%

Entry 21 Jul 2023 1435.34

28 Nov 2025

Entry

MRKR NASDAQ · Marker Therapeutics Inc

1.24

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31

28 Nov 2025

Entry

NAII NASDAQ · Natural Alternatives International

3.63

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12

28 Nov 2025

Exit

NAMS NASDAQ · NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V. Ordinary Shares

41.30

Reversal Risk Warning

227.13%

Entry 5 Jan 2024 12.63

28 Nov 2025

Exit

NU NYSE · Nu Holdings Ltd

17.39

Reversal Risk Warning

87.80%

Entry 12 Jan 2024 9.26