Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 661-690 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
16 Jan 20263.03
3.42
12.87%
Buy
0.21
-
-
MYSE NASDAQ · Myseum, Inc.
26 Jun 20262.47
2.85
15.38%
Buy
0.07
-
-
NABL NYSE · N-Able Inc
22 May 20263.66
4.77
30.33%
Buy
0.08
-
-
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
31 Oct 20251.33
1.74
30.83%
Buy
2.03
-
-
NAVI NASDAQ · Navient Corp
15 May 20267.62
8.65
13.54%
Buy
0.14
-
-
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
12 Sep 202542.36
83.89
98.04%
Buy
1.47
-
-
NCMI NASDAQ · National CineMedia Inc
22 May 20262.99
3.78
26.42%
Buy
0.41
-
-
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
27 Mar 20269.20
11.11
20.76%
Buy
0.34
-
-
NEO NASDAQ · NeoGenomics Inc
29 Aug 20258.78
14.61
66.40%
Buy
0.47
-
-
NEOG NASDAQ · Neogen Corporation
7 Nov 20256.40
10.27
60.47%
Buy
1.27
-
-
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
22 Aug 20252.44
4.27
75.36%
Buy
1.33
-
-
NEXT NASDAQ · Nextdecade Corp
20 Feb 20265.48
7.68
40.15%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NGNE NASDAQ · Neurogene Inc
2 May 202516.97
37.31
119.86%
Buy
0.20
-
-
NIO NYSE · Nio Inc Class A ADR
1 Aug 20255.01
4.88
-2.59%
Buy
1.63
-
-
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
26 Jun 20261.32
1.15
-12.88%
Buy
1.57
-
-
NKE NYSE · Nike Inc
3 Jul 202644.09
43.76
-0.75%
Buy
0.29
-
-
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
22 May 20263.03
2.60
-14.19%
Buy
1.14
-
-
NMAX NYSE · Newsmax, Inc.
17 Apr 20266.95
8.36
20.29%
Buy
1.33
-
-
NMP NASDAQ · NMP Acquisition Corp.
1 May 202610.19
10.30
1.03%
Buy
2.46
-
-
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
30 Jan 20261.49
3.18
113.42%
Buy
0.18
-
-
NNDM NASDAQ · Nano Dimension Ltd
11 Jul 20251.58
1.55
-1.90%
Buy
0.14
-
-
NOA NYSE · North American Construction Group Ltd
24 Oct 202514.96
13.26
-11.34%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NOG NYSE · Northern Oil & Gas Inc
12 Dec 202521.82
21.19
-2.89%
Buy
0.07
-
-
NOMA NASDAQ · NOMADAR Corp. Class A Common Stock
22 May 20263.60
2.98
-17.22%
Buy
0.33
-
-
NOMD NYSE · Nomad Foods Ltd
5 Jun 20269.91
11.51
16.15%
Buy
0.05
-
-
NOVT NASDAQ · Novanta Inc
30 May 2025123.82
148.71
20.10%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NOW NYSE · ServiceNow Inc
22 May 2026102.13
103.24
1.09%
Buy
0.41
-
-
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
17 Jul 20269.26
9.26
New Entry week
Buy
0.13
-
-
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
26 Sep 20255.25
7.73
47.21%
Buy
0.56
-
-
NRXP NASDAQ · NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20262.22
4.27
92.34%
Buy
0.03
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3061-3090 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
9 Jan 2026
Entry
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
4.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.54
9 Jan 2026
Entry
GBLI NASDAQ · Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock
27.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
9 Jan 2026
Exit
GLUE NASDAQ · Monte Rosa Therapeutics Inc
24.28
Reversal Risk Warning
370.54%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 5.16
9 Jan 2026
Exit
HBAN NASDAQ · Huntington Bancshares Incorporated
17.89
Reversal Risk Warning
80.78%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 9.90
9 Jan 2026
Exit
HCC NYSE · Warrior Met Coal Inc
96.79
Reversal Risk Warning
93.84%
Entry 29 Sep 2023 49.93
9 Jan 2026
Entry
HMR NASDAQ · Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. Common Stock
0.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
9 Jan 2026
Entry
IBIO NASDAQ · iBio, Inc. Common Stock
2.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.70
9 Jan 2026
Entry
IMNN NASDAQ · Imunon Inc
3.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
9 Jan 2026
Exit
IRMD NASDAQ · Iradimed Co
98.53
Reversal Risk Warning
105.12%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 48.03
9 Jan 2026
Entry
ITGR NYSE · Integer Holdings Corp
84.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
9 Jan 2026
Exit
IVZ NYSE · Invesco Plc
28.12
Reversal Risk Warning
109.69%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 13.41
9 Jan 2026
Exit
JCSE NASDAQ · JE Cleantech Holdings Ltd
1.87
Reversal Risk Warning
178.20%
Entry 5 Jul 2024 0.67
9 Jan 2026
Exit
JMIA NYSE · Jumia Technologies AG
14.26
Reversal Risk Warning
221.90%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 4.43
9 Jan 2026
Exit
JOYY NASDAQ · JOYY Inc
64.89
Reversal Risk Warning
109.98%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 30.90
9 Jan 2026
Exit
JXN NYSE · Jackson Financial Inc
115.39
Reversal Risk Warning
191.05%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 39.65
9 Jan 2026
Entry
KMX NYSE · CarMax Inc
45.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
9 Jan 2026
Entry
KRO NYSE · Kronos Worldwide Inc
5.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
9 Jan 2026
Entry
KRUS NASDAQ · Kura Sushi USA Inc
69.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
9 Jan 2026
Exit
LAUR NASDAQ · Laureate Education Inc
35.47
Reversal Risk Warning
151.56%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 14.10
9 Jan 2026
Entry
MASK NASDAQ · 3 E Network Technology Group Ltd Class A Ordinary Shares
9.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.45
9 Jan 2026
Entry
MERC NASDAQ · Mercer International Inc
2.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.48
9 Jan 2026
Exit
MITT NYSE · AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc
8.51
Reversal Risk Warning
79.59%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 4.74
9 Jan 2026
Exit
MLM NYSE · Martin Marietta Materials Inc
664.87
Reversal Risk Warning
47.83%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 449.76
9 Jan 2026
Exit
NLY NYSE · Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
22.55
Reversal Risk Warning
57.76%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 14.30
9 Jan 2026
Exit
NMR NYSE · Nomura Holdings Inc ADR
8.92
Reversal Risk Warning
114.88%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 4.15
9 Jan 2026
Exit
ONDS NASDAQ · Ondas Holdings Inc.
13.69
Reversal Risk Warning
513.90%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 2.23
9 Jan 2026
Exit
ONIT NYSE · Onity Group Inc.
49.98
Reversal Risk Warning
101.05%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 24.86
9 Jan 2026
Exit
PACS NYSE · PACS Group, Inc.
41.27
Reversal Risk Warning
50.07%
Entry 21 Nov 2025 27.50
9 Jan 2026
Exit
PMVP NASDAQ · Pmv Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.18
20% entry drawdown
-20.27%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 1.48
9 Jan 2026
Exit
PZZA NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
36.30
20% entry drawdown
-23.67%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 47.56