Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68
Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720
Avg 3056.5/yr ·
254.7/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806
Stop 41.2% ·
Warning 58.2%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ABT
NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27
MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88
MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG
NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15
MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO
NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13
MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS
NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR
NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT
NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM
NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31
MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB
NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA
NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12
MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73
MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ
NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25
MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V
NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX
NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15
MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO
NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q
NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80
MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD
NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17
MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55
MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN
NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX
NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM
NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76
MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK
NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH
NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN
NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74
MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93
MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB
NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91
MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
APWC
NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53
20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA
NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91
20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD
NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13
20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN
NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77
Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE
NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60
Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC
NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60
Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN
NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87
20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92
20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG
NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM
NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00
Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC
NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66
Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH
NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22
20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN
NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25
Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN
NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57
Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX
NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41
Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME
NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31
20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS
NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72
Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL
NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25
Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM
NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06
Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX
NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05
Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT
NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32
Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP
NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00
Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX
NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC
NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40
Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN
NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM
NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31
Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY
NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS
NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08
Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG
NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27
Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN
NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27
Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD
NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38
Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH
NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46
Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX
NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44
Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT
NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99
20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC
NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32
Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
OBA
NASDAQ · Oxley Bridge Acquisition Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
6 Mar 202610.12
10.25
1.28%
Buy
0.75
-
-
OBIO
NASDAQ · Orchestra BioMed Holdings Inc.
17 Oct 20253.32
3.99
20.18%
Buy
0.99
-
-
OC
NYSE · Owens Corning Inc
23 Jan 2026123.48
143.35
16.09%
Buy
0.19
-
-
OCCI
NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
22 May 20262.98
2.62
-12.15%
Buy
0.26
-
-
OCSL
NASDAQ · Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp
17 Apr 202612.75
12.12
-4.94%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ODD
NASDAQ · ODDITY Tech Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
12 Jun 202611.72
17.08
45.73%
Buy
0.38
-
-
OEC
NYSE · Orion Engineered Carbons SA
27 Mar 20266.04
5.69
-5.84%
Buy
0.37
-
-
OFS
NASDAQ · OFS Capital Corp
17 Apr 20263.96
3.72
-5.95%
Buy
0.09
-
-
OGCP
NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP
15 May 20265.69
5.24
-7.83%
Buy
0.04
-
-
OGN
NYSE · Organon & Co
17 Apr 20269.75
13.52
38.73%
Buy
0.23
-
-
OI
NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
3 Jul 20269.79
9.68
-1.12%
Buy
0.11
-
-
OKUR
NASDAQ · OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.
22 Aug 20252.83
4.28
51.24%
Buy
1.52
-
-
OLED
NASDAQ · Universal Display
19 Jun 202688.94
81.04
-8.88%
Buy
0.08
-
-
OLN
NYSE · Olin Corporation
22 Aug 202522.41
20.68
-7.71%
Buy
1.14
-
-
OLPX
NASDAQ · Olaplex Holdings Inc
26 Dec 20251.35
2.07
53.33%
Buy
0.38
-
-
OMC
NYSE · Omnicom Group Inc
4 Jul 202571.80
81.93
14.10%
Buy
0.02
-
-
OMCL
NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
21 Nov 202536.00
44.92
24.78%
Buy
1.53
-
-
OMSE
NASDAQ · OMS Energy Technologies Inc.
2 Jan 20264.49
4.45
-0.89%
Buy
0.10
-
-
ONCY
NASDAQ · Oncolytics Biotech Inc
27 Jun 20250.75
0.89
18.21%
Buy
0.58
-
-
OPK
NASDAQ · Opko Health Inc
12 Jan 20240.98
1.35
38.04%
Buy
0.06
-
-
ORIC
NASDAQ · Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc
6 Jun 20259.32
10.85
16.42%
Buy
0.20
-
-
ORKT
NASDAQ · Orangekloud Technology Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
27 Mar 20261.04
1.08
3.85%
Buy
0.86
-
-
OSUR
NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
30 Jan 20262.79
4.30
53.94%
Buy
0.23
-
-
OTEX
NASDAQ · Open Text Corp
22 May 202623.19
23.01
-0.79%
Buy
0.57
-
-
OTGA
NASDAQ · OTG Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Share
29 May 202610.16
10.19
0.30%
Buy
2.27
-
-
OVID
NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
18 Jul 20250.55
2.52
358.18%
Buy
1.34
-
-
OWL
NYSE · Blue Owl Capital Inc
29 May 202610.28
9.36
-8.95%
Buy
0.40
-
-
OWLS
NASDAQ · OBOOK Holdings Inc. Class A Common Shares
29 May 20265.80
5.70
-1.72%
Buy
1.48
-
-
OWLT
NYSE · Owlet Inc
26 Jun 20265.49
6.09
10.93%
Buy
0.15
-
-
OXBR
NASDAQ · Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd
3 Jul 20261.28
1.70
32.81%
Buy
1.08
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
23 Jan 2026
Entry
EVTV
NASDAQ · Envirotech Vehicles Inc
1.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.24
23 Jan 2026
Exit
EXK
NYSE · Endeavour Silver Corp.
14.12
Reversal Risk Warning
325.30%
Entry 10 May 2024
3.32
23 Jan 2026
Exit
FBIO
NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
3.40
20% entry drawdown
-20.93%
Entry 9 Jan 2026
4.30
23 Jan 2026
Exit
FTAI
NASDAQ · FTAI Aviation Ltd.
291.08
Reversal Risk Warning
250.83%
Entry 24 May 2024
82.97
23 Jan 2026
Exit
GILT
NASDAQ · Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd
18.65
Reversal Risk Warning
179.61%
Entry 17 Jan 2025
6.67
23 Jan 2026
Entry
HGBL
NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
1.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.23
23 Jan 2026
Exit
HL
NYSE · Hecla Mining Company
31.80
Reversal Risk Warning
273.89%
Entry 29 Aug 2025
8.50
23 Jan 2026
Exit
HMY
NYSE · Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited
23.02
Reversal Risk Warning
395.10%
Entry 13 Oct 2023
4.65
23 Jan 2026
Exit
HYMC
NASDAQ · Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation
50.65
Reversal Risk Warning
332.91%
Entry 28 Nov 2025
11.70
23 Jan 2026
Exit
IMNM
NASDAQ · Immunome Inc
25.87
Reversal Risk Warning
144.52%
Entry 18 Jul 2025
10.58
23 Jan 2026
Exit
IVA
NASDAQ · Inventiva Sa
7.15
Reversal Risk Warning
168.80%
Entry 25 Oct 2024
2.66
23 Jan 2026
Exit
KEP
NYSE · Korea Electric Power Corp ADR
21.60
Reversal Risk Warning
167.84%
Entry 13 Sep 2024
8.06
23 Jan 2026
Exit
KGC
NYSE · Kinross Gold Corporation
37.06
Reversal Risk Warning
368.62%
Entry 24 May 2024
7.91
23 Jan 2026
Exit
LHX
NYSE · L3Harris Technologies Inc
352.09
Reversal Risk Warning
99.94%
Entry 3 Nov 2023
176.10
23 Jan 2026
Exit
LMND
NYSE · Lemonade Inc
93.25
Reversal Risk Warning
227.88%
Entry 8 Nov 2024
28.44
23 Jan 2026
Exit
LTM
NYSE · LATAM Airlines Group S.A.
63.46
Reversal Risk Warning
144.36%
Entry 25 Oct 2024
25.97
23 Jan 2026
Entry
MRNA
NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
48.71
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.83
23 Jan 2026
Entry
NAMM
NASDAQ · Namib Minerals Ordinary Shares
3.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.35
23 Jan 2026
Entry
NCEW
NASDAQ · New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares
8.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 2.00
23 Jan 2026
Exit
NEM
NYSE · Newmont Goldcorp Corp
123.74
Reversal Risk Warning
165.34%
Entry 21 Mar 2025
46.63
23 Jan 2026
Entry
NRDY
NYSE · Nerdy Inc
1.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
23 Jan 2026
Exit
NUAI
NASDAQ · New Era Energy & Digital, Inc.
7.30
Reversal Risk Warning
296.47%
Entry 26 Sep 2025
1.84
23 Jan 2026
Entry
NWL
NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
4.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
23 Jan 2026
Exit
NXE
NYSE · NexGen Energy Ltd.
12.58
Reversal Risk Warning
101.60%
Entry 23 May 2025
6.24
23 Jan 2026
Entry
OC
NYSE · Owens Corning Inc
123.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.19
23 Jan 2026
Exit
OR
NYSE · Osisko Gold Ro
45.13
Reversal Risk Warning
147.88%
Entry 20 Sep 2024
18.21
23 Jan 2026
Entry
PACB
NASDAQ · Pacific Biosciences of California
2.58
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.14
23 Jan 2026
Exit
PCAR
NASDAQ · PACCAR Inc
121.31
Reversal Risk Warning
46.23%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
82.96
23 Jan 2026
Exit
PH
NYSE · Parker-Hannifin Corporation
924.18
Reversal Risk Warning
101.39%
Entry 19 Jan 2024
458.90
23 Jan 2026
Exit
PHAR
NASDAQ · Pharming Group NV
19.70
Reversal Risk Warning
132.03%
Entry 27 Sep 2024
8.49