Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 781-810 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
PGNY NASDAQ · Progyny Inc
27 Dec 202416.90
30.65
81.36%
Buy
0.01
-
-
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
3 Jul 202617.79
17.99
1.12%
Buy
1.04
-
-
PHR NYSE · Phreesia Inc
29 May 20269.86
10.72
8.72%
Buy
0.44
-
-
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
6 Jun 202539.30
67.40
71.48%
Buy
0.72
-
-
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
15 May 202611.29
9.80
-13.20%
Buy
0.89
-
-
PINS NYSE · Pinterest Inc
1 May 202620.22
22.52
11.37%
Buy
0.06
-
-
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
7 Mar 202552.05
52.28
0.43%
Buy
0.46
-
-
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
10 Apr 20262.74
2.23
-18.61%
Buy
0.15
-
-
PLUS NASDAQ · ePlus inc
30 May 202570.46
89.63
27.20%
Buy
0.48
-
-
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
15 May 20260.80
0.70
-13.41%
Buy
0.56
-
-
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
20 Sep 20240.73
0.62
-15.51%
Buy
0.43
-
-
PMTS NASDAQ · CPI Card Group Inc
7 Nov 202513.80
19.54
41.59%
Buy
0.20
-
-
POCI NASDAQ · Precision Optics Corporation, Inc. Common stock
16 May 20254.52
4.98
10.18%
Buy
0.18
-
-
POLE NASDAQ · Andretti Acquisition Corp. II Class A Ordinary Shares
13 Jun 202510.38
10.77
3.76%
Buy
2.68
-
-
POOL NASDAQ · Pool Corporation
19 Jun 2026198.99
210.44
5.75%
Buy
0.00
-
-
POWI NASDAQ · Power Integrations Inc
2 Jan 202637.04
72.07
94.58%
Buy
0.13
-
-
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
10 Jan 20251.36
2.48
82.35%
Buy
0.37
-
-
PPG NYSE · PPG Industries Inc
23 May 2025107.24
116.76
8.88%
Buy
0.19
-
-
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
15 May 20263.98
3.65
-8.29%
Buy
0.14
-
-
PRAA NASDAQ · PRA Group Inc
20 Mar 202617.46
18.49
5.90%
Buy
0.29
-
-
PRGO NYSE · Perrigo Company PLC
8 May 202611.41
10.22
-10.43%
Buy
0.03
-
-
PRGS NASDAQ · Progress Software Corporation
19 Jun 202629.68
37.86
27.56%
Buy
0.17
-
-
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
17 Apr 202636.07
46.87
29.94%
Buy
0.16
-
-
PRLD NASDAQ · Prelude Therapeutics Inc
21 Nov 20251.67
4.81
187.72%
Buy
1.67
-
-
PRMB NYSE · Primo Brands Corporation
16 Jan 202618.61
23.99
28.90%
Buy
0.19
-
-
PRME NASDAQ · Prime Medicine, Inc. Common Stock
20 Jun 20252.07
3.78
82.61%
Buy
0.44
-
-
PROF NASDAQ · Profound Medical Corp
22 Aug 20254.74
7.04
48.52%
Buy
0.18
-
-
PRTA NASDAQ · Prothena Corporation plc
1 Aug 20256.81
9.24
35.68%
Buy
0.13
-
-
PRZO NASDAQ · ParaZero Technologies Ltd. Ordinary Shares
23 Aug 20240.56
0.53
-6.15%
Buy
0.07
-
-
PSEC NASDAQ · Prospect Capital Corporation
2 Jan 20262.41
2.26
-6.07%
Buy
0.62
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 301-330 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RFIL NASDAQ · RF Industries Ltd
21.43
Reversal Risk Warning
340.95%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 4.86
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
18.56
Reversal Risk Warning
518.67%
Entry 9 May 2025 3.00
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RMCF NASDAQ · Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory
1.08
20% entry drawdown
-31.21%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 1.57
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ROIV NASDAQ · Roivant Sciences Ltd
34.07
Reversal Risk Warning
141.97%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 14.08
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RSI NYSE · Rush Street Interactive Inc
31.56
Reversal Risk Warning
301.53%
Entry 3 May 2024 7.86
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RVMD NASDAQ · Revolution Medicines Inc
182.08
Reversal Risk Warning
350.47%
Entry 9 May 2025 40.42
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
24.75
Reversal Risk Warning
83.49%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 13.49
26 Jun 2026
Entry
SDGR NASDAQ · Schrodinger Inc
16.86
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.10
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SEAT NASDAQ · Vivid Seats Inc
6.36
20% entry drawdown
-20.90%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 8.04
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SEGG NASDAQ · Lottery.com Inc.
0.91
20% entry drawdown
-25.37%
Entry 1 May 2026 1.22
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SENS NASDAQ · Senseonics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
5.72
20% entry drawdown
-20.33%
Entry 12 Jun 2026 7.18
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SIDU NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc
2.61
20% entry drawdown
-34.91%
Entry 15 May 2026 4.01
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SJT NYSE · San Juan Basin Royalty Trust
2.97
20% entry drawdown
-21.84%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 3.80
26 Jun 2026
Entry
SLGN NYSE · Silgan Holdings Inc
46.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
3.91
20% entry drawdown
-23.63%
Entry 12 Jun 2026 5.12
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SLS NASDAQ · Sellas Life Sciences Group Inc
12.39
Reversal Risk Warning
845.80%
Entry 18 Apr 2025 1.31
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SLSN NASDAQ · Solesence, Inc. Common Stock
0.83
20% entry drawdown
-34.00%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 1.25
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SMBC NASDAQ · Southern Missouri Bancorp Inc
76.75
Reversal Risk Warning
88.58%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 40.70
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SOC NYSE · Sable Offshore Corp.
7.36
20% entry drawdown
-25.05%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 9.82
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SPB NYSE · Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc
87.49
Reversal Risk Warning
49.38%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 58.57
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SPHR NYSE · Sphere Entertainment Co.
169.85
Reversal Risk Warning
299.93%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 42.47
26 Jun 2026
Entry
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
3.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.23
26 Jun 2026
Entry
SRAD NASDAQ · Sportradar Group AG
14.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SRRK NASDAQ · Scholar Rock Holding Corp
54.76
Reversal Risk Warning
106.56%
Entry 11 Oct 2024 26.51
26 Jun 2026
Entry
SVC NASDAQ · Service Properties Trust
8.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SXI NYSE · Standex International Corporation
340.50
Reversal Risk Warning
111.82%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 160.75
26 Jun 2026
Exit
THG NYSE · The Hanover Insurance Group Inc
212.61
Reversal Risk Warning
97.36%
Entry 13 Oct 2023 107.73
26 Jun 2026
Entry
TLSI NASDAQ · TriSalus Life Sciences Inc.
4.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
26 Jun 2026
Exit
TONX NASDAQ · TON Strategy Co
2.56
20% entry drawdown
-29.67%
Entry 8 May 2026 3.64
26 Jun 2026
Exit
TRV NYSE · The Travelers Companies Inc
327.37
Reversal Risk Warning
93.37%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 169.30