View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 781-810 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
PSEC NASDAQ · Prospect Capital Corporation
2 Jan 20262.41
2.12
-11.89%
Buy
0.62
-
-
PSFE NYSE · Paysafe Ltd
6 Mar 20267.55
7.95
5.30%
Buy
0.12
-
-
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
24 Jul 202658.73
58.73
New Entry week
Buy
0.56
-
-
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
24 Oct 20256.41
10.20
59.08%
Buy
0.68
-
-
PTON NASDAQ · Peloton Interactive Inc
24 Apr 20265.18
6.08
17.37%
Buy
0.05
-
-
PULM NASDAQ · Pulmatrix Inc
26 Jun 20261.64
1.65
0.61%
Buy
0.66
-
-
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
4 Jul 202572.31
80.41
11.21%
Buy
0.22
-
-
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
26 Jul 20241.30
1.70
30.96%
Buy
0.34
-
-
PXLW NASDAQ · Pixelworks Inc
15 May 20266.83
6.09
-10.83%
Buy
0.72
-
-
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Jun 20253.10
4.47
44.19%
Buy
0.06
-
-
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
6 Jun 20253.27
3.90
19.27%
Buy
0.96
-
-
PYPL NASDAQ · PayPal Holdings Inc
24 Apr 202650.32
56.15
11.60%
Buy
0.13
-
-
PYXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Oncology Inc
24 Apr 20261.90
2.61
37.37%
Buy
0.18
-
-
PZZA NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
17 Apr 202636.94
30.37
-17.80%
Buy
0.12
-
-
QLYS NASDAQ · Qualys Inc
22 May 2026102.37
137.48
34.30%
Buy
0.07
-
-
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
8 May 20269.62
11.10
15.38%
Buy
1.28
-
-
QNST NASDAQ · QuinStreet Inc
1 May 202613.04
15.15
16.18%
Buy
0.11
-
-
QRVO NASDAQ · Qorvo Inc
23 May 202574.60
86.51
15.97%
Buy
0.17
-
-
QSEA NASDAQ · Quartzsea Acquisition Corporati
23 Jan 202610.27
10.58
3.02%
Buy
1.04
-
-
QTTB NASDAQ · Q32 Bio Inc
29 May 202611.05
15.15
37.10%
Buy
0.20
-
-
QUMS NASDAQ · Quantumsphere Acquisition Corporation
22 May 202610.19
10.27
0.79%
Buy
5.58
-
-
QXL NASDAQ · Quantum X Labs Inc.
6 Feb 20261.81
4.90
171.21%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RAMP NYSE · Liveramp Holdings Inc
15 Nov 202427.89
37.67
35.07%
Buy
0.36
-
-
RAY NASDAQ · Raytech Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
8 May 20263.35
3.19
-4.78%
Buy
0.30
-
-
RBRK NYSE · Rubrik, Inc.
8 May 202662.34
73.24
17.48%
Buy
0.19
-
-
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
17 Jul 20265.10
4.61
-9.61%
Buy
0.39
-
-
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
13 Jun 202526.60
32.73
23.03%
Buy
1.14
-
-
RDIB NASDAQ · Reading International B Inc
24 Jan 20256.62
9.14
38.14%
Buy
0.49
-
-
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
15 Aug 20252.96
6.40
116.22%
Buy
0.65
-
-
RDY NYSE · Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Ltd ADR
2 May 202513.91
11.79
-15.26%
Buy
0.20
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4711-4740 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
4 Jul 2025
Entry
LIXT NASDAQ · Lixte Biotechnology Holdings Inc
2.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
4 Jul 2025
Exit
LMB NASDAQ · Limbach Holdings Inc
149.20
Reversal Risk Warning
157.20%
Entry 24 May 2024 58.01
4 Jul 2025
Entry
MDAI NASDAQ · Spectral AI Inc.
2.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.21
4 Jul 2025
Exit
MGNI NASDAQ · Magnite Inc
24.53
Reversal Risk Warning
189.95%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 8.46
4 Jul 2025
Entry
MNY NASDAQ · MoneyHero Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
1.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.85
4 Jul 2025
Exit
MOS NYSE · The Mosaic Company
36.03
Reversal Risk Warning
34.10%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 26.87
4 Jul 2025
Entry
MRK NYSE · Merck & Company Inc
78.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
4 Jul 2025
Exit
MTG NYSE · MGIC Investment Corp
27.89
Reversal Risk Warning
76.90%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 15.77
4 Jul 2025
Entry
MUX NYSE · McEwen Mining Inc.
11.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.68
4 Jul 2025
Entry
NEGG NASDAQ · Newegg Commerce Inc
16.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.42
4 Jul 2025
Exit
NEON NASDAQ · Neonode Inc
26.39
Reversal Risk Warning
437.47%
Entry 23 Aug 2024 4.91
4 Jul 2025
Entry
NPWR NYSE · NET Power Inc.
3.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.56
4 Jul 2025
Entry
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
8.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
4 Jul 2025
Entry
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
1.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
4 Jul 2025
Entry
OCC NASDAQ · Optical Cable Corporation
3.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
4 Jul 2025
Entry
OFLX NASDAQ · Omega Flex Inc
35.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.08
4 Jul 2025
Entry
OMC NYSE · Omnicom Group Inc
71.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
4 Jul 2025
Entry
OPAD NYSE · Offerpad Solutions Inc
12.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
4 Jul 2025
Entry
PASG NASDAQ · Passage Bio Inc
9.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
4 Jul 2025
Exit
PAYS NASDAQ · Paysign Inc
8.10
Reversal Risk Warning
124.69%
Entry 16 May 2025 3.61
4 Jul 2025
Entry
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
6.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
4 Jul 2025
Entry
PHUN NASDAQ · Phunware Inc
3.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.77
4 Jul 2025
Entry
PLAB NASDAQ · Photronics Inc
20.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
4 Jul 2025
Exit
PRA NYSE · ProAssurance Corporation
23.63
Reversal Risk Warning
92.90%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 12.25
4 Jul 2025
Entry
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
72.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
4 Jul 2025
Entry
PXLW NASDAQ · Pixelworks Inc
7.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
4 Jul 2025
Exit
RDN NYSE · Radian Group Inc
35.73
Reversal Risk Warning
52.44%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 23.44
4 Jul 2025
Entry
RELL NASDAQ · Richardson Electronics Ltd
10.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.00
4 Jul 2025
Entry
RLJ NYSE · RLJ Lodging Trust
7.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
4 Jul 2025
Entry
RMCF NASDAQ · Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory
1.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.80