Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 781-810 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
PRTA NASDAQ · Prothena Corporation plc
1 Aug 20256.81
8.66
27.17%
Buy
0.13
-
-
PRZO NASDAQ · ParaZero Technologies Ltd. Ordinary Shares
23 Aug 20240.56
0.52
-7.82%
Buy
0.07
-
-
PSEC NASDAQ · Prospect Capital Corporation
2 Jan 20262.41
2.25
-6.48%
Buy
0.62
-
-
PSFE NYSE · Paysafe Ltd
6 Mar 20267.55
8.15
7.95%
Buy
0.12
-
-
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
24 Oct 20256.41
10.02
56.27%
Buy
0.68
-
-
PTON NASDAQ · Peloton Interactive Inc
24 Apr 20265.18
6.12
18.15%
Buy
0.05
-
-
PULM NASDAQ · Pulmatrix Inc
26 Jun 20261.64
1.69
3.05%
Buy
0.66
-
-
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
4 Jul 202572.31
78.15
8.08%
Buy
0.22
-
-
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
26 Jul 20241.30
1.73
33.27%
Buy
0.34
-
-
PXLW NASDAQ · Pixelworks Inc
15 May 20266.83
5.60
-18.01%
Buy
0.72
-
-
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Jun 20253.10
4.34
40.00%
Buy
0.06
-
-
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
6 Jun 20253.27
5.37
64.22%
Buy
0.96
-
-
PYPL NASDAQ · PayPal Holdings Inc
24 Apr 202650.32
56.56
12.41%
Buy
0.13
-
-
PYXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Oncology Inc
24 Apr 20261.90
2.36
24.21%
Buy
0.18
-
-
PZZA NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
17 Apr 202636.94
32.86
-11.06%
Buy
0.12
-
-
Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
10 Jul 2026143.80
136.35
-5.18%
Buy
0.79
-
-
QLYS NASDAQ · Qualys Inc
22 May 2026102.37
159.43
55.74%
Buy
0.07
-
-
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
8 May 20269.62
10.63
10.50%
Buy
1.28
-
-
QNST NASDAQ · QuinStreet Inc
1 May 202613.04
16.78
28.68%
Buy
0.11
-
-
QRVO NASDAQ · Qorvo Inc
23 May 202574.60
85.50
14.61%
Buy
0.17
-
-
QSEA NASDAQ · Quartzsea Acquisition Corporati
23 Jan 202610.27
10.54
2.63%
Buy
1.04
-
-
QTTB NASDAQ · Q32 Bio Inc
29 May 202611.05
15.05
36.20%
Buy
0.20
-
-
QUMS NASDAQ · Quantumsphere Acquisition Corporation
22 May 202610.19
10.26
0.69%
Buy
5.58
-
-
QXL NASDAQ · Quantum X Labs Inc.
6 Feb 20261.81
4.81
166.23%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RAMP NYSE · Liveramp Holdings Inc
15 Nov 202427.89
37.88
35.82%
Buy
0.36
-
-
RAY NASDAQ · Raytech Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
8 May 20263.35
2.69
-19.70%
Buy
0.30
-
-
RBRK NYSE · Rubrik, Inc.
8 May 202662.34
78.97
26.68%
Buy
0.19
-
-
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
24 Apr 20261.86
1.55
-16.67%
Buy
0.30
-
-
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
17 Jul 20265.10
5.10
New Entry week
Buy
0.39
-
-
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
13 Jun 202526.60
34.66
30.29%
Buy
1.14
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2791-2820 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
30 Jan 2026
Exit
CMPX NASDAQ · Compass Therapeutics Inc.
6.40
Reversal Risk Warning
305.06%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 1.58
30 Jan 2026
Exit
CMRE NYSE · Costamare Inc
16.67
Reversal Risk Warning
96.50%
Entry 16 May 2025 8.48
30 Jan 2026
Entry
CNTN NASDAQ · Canton Strategic Holdings, Inc.
4.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
30 Jan 2026
Exit
CRESY NASDAQ · Cresud SACIF y A
13.51
Reversal Risk Warning
126.74%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 5.96
30 Jan 2026
Entry
EPSN NASDAQ · Epsilon Energy Ltd
4.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.48
30 Jan 2026
Entry
FIZZ NASDAQ · National Beverage Corp
34.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
30 Jan 2026
Exit
FLNC NASDAQ · Fluence Energy Inc
30.77
Reversal Risk Warning
427.79%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 5.83
30 Jan 2026
Exit
GLSI NASDAQ · Greenwich Lifesciences Inc
30.07
Reversal Risk Warning
45.37%
Entry 26 Dec 2025 20.69
30 Jan 2026
Exit
GROW NASDAQ · US Global Investors Inc
3.28
Reversal Risk Warning
40.59%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 2.33
30 Jan 2026
Exit
GUG NYSE · Guggenheim Active Allocation Fund
15.24
Reversal Risk Warning
38.37%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 11.01
30 Jan 2026
Exit
HOVNP NASDAQ · Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. PFD DEP1/1000A
20.22
Reversal Risk Warning
44.06%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 14.04
30 Jan 2026
Exit
IBIO NASDAQ · iBio, Inc. Common Stock
2.10
20% entry drawdown
-22.22%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 2.70
30 Jan 2026
Exit
JBDI NASDAQ · JBDI Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
1.20
20% entry drawdown
-20.14%
Entry 21 Mar 2025 1.50
30 Jan 2026
Entry
KELYA NASDAQ · Kelly Services A Inc
10.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
30 Jan 2026
Entry
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
13.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
30 Jan 2026
Entry
KPRX NASDAQ · Kiora Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
30 Jan 2026
Entry
LCCC NASDAQ · Lakeshore Acquisition III Corp. Ordinary Shares
10.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.02
30 Jan 2026
Exit
LCUT NASDAQ · Lifetime Brands Inc
3.13
20% entry drawdown
-27.44%
Entry 5 Dec 2025 4.31
30 Jan 2026
Entry
LGO NASDAQ · Largo Resources Ltd
1.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.40
30 Jan 2026
Exit
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
4.74
20% entry drawdown
-31.99%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 6.97
30 Jan 2026
Exit
LYG NYSE · Lloyds Banking Group PLC ADR
5.83
Reversal Risk Warning
166.98%
Entry 8 Mar 2024 2.18
30 Jan 2026
Entry
MDLZ NASDAQ · Mondelez International Inc
57.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
30 Jan 2026
Entry
MED NYSE · MEDIFAST INC
11.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
30 Jan 2026
Exit
MERC NASDAQ · Mercer International Inc
2.03
20% entry drawdown
-20.39%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 2.55
30 Jan 2026
Exit
MLI NYSE · Mueller Industries Inc
67.68
Reversal Risk Warning
212.30%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 21.67
30 Jan 2026
Entry
MTEK NASDAQ · Maris Tech Ltd
1.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
30 Jan 2026
Exit
NBBK NASDAQ · NB Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
21.58
Reversal Risk Warning
15.35%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 18.71
30 Jan 2026
Exit
NCEW NASDAQ · New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares
6.34
20% entry drawdown
-24.52%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 8.40
30 Jan 2026
Entry
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
1.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
30 Jan 2026
Entry
NSYS NASDAQ · Nortech Systems Incorporated
8.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01