Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68 Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720 Avg 3056.5/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806 Stop 41.2% · Warning 58.2% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
29
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25 MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80 MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
37
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60 Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00 Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57 Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41 Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05 Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31 Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08 Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27 Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44 Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 811-840 of 1108 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Jun 20253.10
4.17
34.52%
Buy
0.06
-
-
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
6 Jun 20253.27
5.23
59.94%
Buy
0.96
-
-
PYPL NASDAQ · PayPal Holdings Inc
24 Apr 202650.32
46.32
-7.94%
Buy
0.13
-
-
PYXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Oncology Inc
24 Apr 20261.90
2.67
40.53%
Buy
0.18
-
-
PZZA NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
17 Apr 202636.94
33.49
-9.35%
Buy
0.12
-
-
Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
10 Jul 2026143.80
143.80
New Entry week
Buy
0.79
-
-
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
29 May 202616.08
13.20
-17.91%
Buy
0.95
-
-
QLYS NASDAQ · Qualys Inc
22 May 2026102.37
152.69
49.16%
Buy
0.07
-
-
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
8 May 20269.62
10.02
4.16%
Buy
1.28
-
-
QNST NASDAQ · QuinStreet Inc
1 May 202613.04
16.79
28.76%
Buy
0.11
-
-
QRVO NASDAQ · Qorvo Inc
23 May 202574.60
85.81
15.03%
Buy
0.17
-
-
QSEA NASDAQ · Quartzsea Acquisition Corporati
23 Jan 202610.27
10.55
2.69%
Buy
1.04
-
-
QTTB NASDAQ · Q32 Bio Inc
29 May 202611.05
11.21
1.45%
Buy
0.20
-
-
QUMS NASDAQ · Quantumsphere Acquisition Corporation
22 May 202610.19
10.25
0.59%
Buy
5.58
-
-
QXL NASDAQ · Quantum X Labs Inc.
6 Feb 20261.81
5.09
181.73%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RAMP NYSE · Liveramp Holdings Inc
15 Nov 202427.89
37.88
35.82%
Buy
0.36
-
-
RAY NASDAQ · Raytech Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
8 May 20263.35
2.99
-10.75%
Buy
0.30
-
-
RBRK NYSE · Rubrik, Inc.
8 May 202662.34
84.38
35.35%
Buy
0.19
-
-
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
24 Apr 20261.86
1.65
-11.29%
Buy
0.30
-
-
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
13 Jun 202526.60
32.93
23.79%
Buy
1.14
-
-
RDIB NASDAQ · Reading International B Inc
24 Jan 20256.62
8.51
28.62%
Buy
0.49
-
-
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
15 Aug 20252.96
5.88
98.65%
Buy
0.65
-
-
RDY NYSE · Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Ltd ADR
2 May 202513.91
13.19
-5.20%
Buy
0.20
-
-
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
3 Jul 20262.17
2.05
-5.53%
Buy
0.08
-
-
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
16 May 2025590.29
664.52
12.58%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RELX NYSE · Relx PLC ADR
24 Apr 202635.83
32.44
-9.46%
Buy
0.13
-
-
RELY NASDAQ · Remitly Global Inc
20 Feb 202617.15
23.77
38.60%
Buy
0.53
-
-
REXR NYSE · Rexford Industrial Realty Inc
20 Jun 202534.88
34.12
-2.19%
Buy
0.12
-
-
REYN NASDAQ · Reynolds Consumer Products Inc
25 Jul 202521.29
26.27
23.39%
Buy
0.09
-
-
RFAI NASDAQ · RF Acquisition Corp II Ordinary Shares
2 May 202510.45
11.04
5.60%
Buy
2.21
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2701-2730 of 10720
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
6 Feb 2026
Exit
TXT NYSE · Textron Inc
95.40
Reversal Risk Warning
24.56%
Entry 16 May 2025 76.59
6 Feb 2026
Exit
UBFO NASDAQ · United Security Bancshares
11.41
Reversal Risk Warning
75.13%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 6.52
6 Feb 2026
Exit
UBSI NASDAQ · United Bankshares Inc
44.71
Reversal Risk Warning
47.93%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 30.22
6 Feb 2026
Exit
UCB NYSE · United Community Banks, Inc.
35.94
Reversal Risk Warning
43.02%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 25.13
6 Feb 2026
Entry
ULH NASDAQ · Universal Logistics Holdings Inc
17.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.60
6 Feb 2026
Exit
USB NYSE · U.S. Bancorp
60.09
Reversal Risk Warning
76.97%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 33.95
6 Feb 2026
Entry
VHI NYSE · Valhi Inc
15.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.25
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WASH NASDAQ · Washington Trust Bancorp Inc
36.14
Reversal Risk Warning
51.26%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 23.90
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WBS NYSE · Webster Financial Corporation
72.33
Reversal Risk Warning
76.45%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 40.99
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WMS NYSE · Advanced Drainage Systems Inc
174.93
Reversal Risk Warning
53.30%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 114.11
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WMT NASDAQ · Walmart Inc.
130.66
Reversal Risk Warning
129.00%
Entry 23 Feb 2024 57.06
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WNEB NASDAQ · Western New England Bancorp Inc
14.17
Reversal Risk Warning
116.31%
Entry 27 Oct 2023 6.55
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WS NYSE · Worthington Steel Inc
47.29
Reversal Risk Warning
77.63%
Entry 16 May 2025 26.62
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WSBC NASDAQ · WesBanco, Inc.
37.06
Reversal Risk Warning
53.62%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 24.12
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WTBA NASDAQ · West Bancorporation
25.78
Reversal Risk Warning
55.39%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 16.59
6 Feb 2026
Exit
WTFC NASDAQ · Wintrust Financial Corporation
160.75
Reversal Risk Warning
103.37%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 79.04
6 Feb 2026
Exit
XLO NASDAQ · Xilio Development Inc
7.57
20% entry drawdown
-21.44%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 9.64
6 Feb 2026
Entry
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
4.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.47
6 Feb 2026
Exit
YUMC NYSE · Yum China Holdings Inc
57.25
Reversal Risk Warning
75.62%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 32.60
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ZWS NYSE · Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation
52.55
Reversal Risk Warning
77.67%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 29.57
30 Jan 2026
Entry
AEHR NASDAQ · Aehr Test Systems
25.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
30 Jan 2026
Exit
AMTM NYSE · Amentum Holdings Inc.
35.78
Reversal Risk Warning
68.69%
Entry 9 May 2025 21.21
30 Jan 2026
Exit
ARI NYSE · Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc
10.56
Reversal Risk Warning
29.67%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 8.14
30 Jan 2026
Exit
ASPS NASDAQ · Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA
5.37
20% entry drawdown
-21.95%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 6.88
30 Jan 2026
Exit
AX NYSE · Axos Financial Inc
98.99
Reversal Risk Warning
134.68%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 42.18
30 Jan 2026
Exit
BBD NYSE · Banco Bradesco SA ADR
3.97
Reversal Risk Warning
103.46%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 1.95
30 Jan 2026
Entry
BLNE NASDAQ · Beeline Holdings, Inc.
3.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
30 Jan 2026
Exit
CHRW NASDAQ · CH Robinson Worldwide Inc
193.61
Reversal Risk Warning
104.37%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 94.73
30 Jan 2026
Entry
CLX NYSE · The Clorox Company
111.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.57
30 Jan 2026
Exit
CMPX NASDAQ · Compass Therapeutics Inc.
6.40
Reversal Risk Warning
305.06%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 1.58