View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 841-870 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
RZLT NASDAQ · Rezolute Inc
3 Apr 20263.12
4.99
59.94%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RZLV NASDAQ · Rezolve AI Limited Ordinary Shares
15 May 20262.55
2.24
-12.16%
Buy
0.03
-
-
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
20 Mar 202614.17
18.14
28.02%
Buy
0.18
-
-
SABS NASDAQ · SAB Biotherapeutics Inc
24 Oct 20253.03
3.51
15.84%
Buy
0.14
-
-
SAFE NYSE · Safehold Inc
18 Apr 202514.56
16.56
13.70%
Buy
0.20
-
-
SAIA NASDAQ · Saia Inc
11 Jul 2025303.28
423.68
39.70%
Buy
0.13
-
-
SANA NASDAQ · Sana Biotechnology Inc
6 Jun 20252.84
3.18
11.97%
Buy
0.21
-
-
SARO NYSE · StandardAero, Inc.
19 Jun 202627.75
28.70
3.42%
Buy
0.16
-
-
SBAC NASDAQ · SBA Communications Corp
3 Apr 2026202.81
173.57
-14.42%
Buy
0.20
-
-
SCL NYSE · Stepan Company
19 Dec 202546.82
57.57
22.96%
Buy
0.41
-
-
SCOR NASDAQ · Comscore Inc
11 Apr 20255.63
7.27
29.13%
Buy
0.05
-
-
SDGR NASDAQ · Schrodinger Inc
19 Jun 202615.76
14.97
-5.01%
Buy
0.98
-
-
SEED NASDAQ · Origin Agritech Ltd
22 Aug 20251.10
1.01
-8.45%
Buy
0.59
-
-
SEER NASDAQ · Seer Inc
22 Dec 20231.82
1.97
8.24%
Buy
0.27
-
-
SEG NYSE · Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.
20 Jun 202519.46
26.04
33.81%
Buy
0.21
-
-
SEM NYSE · Select Medical Holdings
17 Oct 202513.22
16.51
24.86%
Buy
0.15
-
-
SGML NASDAQ · Sigma Lithium Resources Corp
15 Aug 20256.40
9.63
50.47%
Buy
0.92
-
-
SGMT NASDAQ · Sagimet Biosciences Inc. Series A Common Stock
6 Jun 20255.56
7.07
27.16%
Buy
0.25
-
-
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
21 Mar 202512.65
11.42
-9.74%
Buy
0.44
-
-
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
15 Aug 20255.19
9.39
80.92%
Buy
0.54
-
-
SIBN NASDAQ · Si-Bone Inc
29 May 202614.10
16.62
17.87%
Buy
0.09
-
-
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
27 Feb 20265.50
4.47
-18.69%
Buy
0.06
-
-
SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
4 Jul 202523.18
29.80
28.58%
Buy
0.57
-
-
SJ NASDAQ · Scienjoy Holding Corp
9 Jan 20260.80
0.81
2.02%
Buy
0.81
-
-
SJM NYSE · The J. M. Smucker Company
12 Jun 2026116.49
118.32
1.57%
Buy
0.15
-
-
SKIL NYSE · Skillsoft Corp.
24 Apr 20266.43
6.35
-1.24%
Buy
0.09
-
-
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
10 Jul 20260.91
0.73
-19.50%
Buy
0.21
-
-
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
15 May 20264.77
4.91
2.94%
Buy
0.39
-
-
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
10 Jul 20261.27
1.15
-9.45%
Buy
0.09
-
-
SLGN NYSE · Silgan Holdings Inc
26 Jun 202646.23
46.43
0.43%
Buy
0.38
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4141-4170 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
5 Sep 2025
Exit
ZEPP NYSE · Zepp Health Corp
49.98
Reversal Risk Warning
384.30%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 10.32
29 Aug 2025
Exit
AFRM NASDAQ · Affirm Holdings Inc
88.46
Reversal Risk Warning
101.00%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 44.01
29 Aug 2025
Exit
ANIP NASDAQ · ANI Pharmaceuticals Inc
93.50
Reversal Risk Warning
58.13%
Entry 23 Feb 2024 59.13
29 Aug 2025
Exit
ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc
2.06
20% entry drawdown
-20.77%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 2.60
29 Aug 2025
Entry
AQB NASDAQ · AquaBounty Technologies Inc
1.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
29 Aug 2025
Entry
ARTV NASDAQ · Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
3.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.17
29 Aug 2025
Entry
BLNK NASDAQ · Blink Charging Co
1.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.11
29 Aug 2025
Exit
BWMN NASDAQ · Bowman Consulting Group Ltd
42.73
Reversal Risk Warning
71.81%
Entry 9 May 2025 24.87
29 Aug 2025
Exit
BZ NASDAQ · Kanzhun Ltd ADR
23.46
Reversal Risk Warning
74.96%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 13.41
29 Aug 2025
Exit
CCB NASDAQ · Coastal Financial Corp
114.50
Reversal Risk Warning
139.44%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 47.82
29 Aug 2025
Entry
DAVA NYSE · Endava Ltd
14.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
29 Aug 2025
Entry
DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
0.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
29 Aug 2025
Entry
ECO NYSE · Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.
25.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.71
29 Aug 2025
Entry
FBGL NASDAQ · FBS Global Limited Ordinary Shares
0.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
29 Aug 2025
Exit
FSHP NASDAQ · Flag Ship Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
10.56
Reversal Risk Warning
0.57%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 10.50
29 Aug 2025
Entry
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
10.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
29 Aug 2025
Exit
GWH NYSE · ESS Tech Inc
1.45
20% entry drawdown
-25.26%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 1.94
29 Aug 2025
Exit
HITI NASDAQ · High Tide Inc
3.60
Reversal Risk Warning
103.11%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 1.77
29 Aug 2025
Entry
HL NYSE · Hecla Mining Company
8.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.85
29 Aug 2025
Exit
HLI NYSE · Houlihan Lokey Inc
196.26
Reversal Risk Warning
87.12%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 104.88
29 Aug 2025
Entry
INTG NASDAQ · The Intergroup Corporation
16.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33
29 Aug 2025
Entry
IPDN NASDAQ · Professional Diversity Network Inc
6.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.24
29 Aug 2025
Entry
IVVD NASDAQ · Invivyd Inc.
0.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
29 Aug 2025
Entry
KYNB NASDAQ · Kyntra Bio, Inc.
11.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.39
29 Aug 2025
Exit
LASE NASDAQ · Laser Photonics Corporation Common Stock
4.02
20% entry drawdown
-20.71%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 5.07
29 Aug 2025
Entry
LFST NASDAQ · Lifestance Health Group Inc
5.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.36
29 Aug 2025
Entry
LWLG NASDAQ · Lightwave Logic Inc
3.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.56
29 Aug 2025
Entry
NEO NASDAQ · NeoGenomics Inc
8.78
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.47
29 Aug 2025
Exit
NEU NYSE · NewMarket Corporation
813.86
Reversal Risk Warning
66.69%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 488.23
29 Aug 2025
Exit
NOTV NASDAQ · Inotiv Inc
1.69
20% entry drawdown
-23.87%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 2.22