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Weekly closes ยท USD
Market context
Stage
4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining, as of 11 Sep 2026
Sentiment
52 ยท As of 16 Sep 2026
RS
-21.76
Dynamics
-0.08
Fair value gap
-9.8%
Week range
133.61โ141.08
Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
NYSE ยท Equity ยท United States
HLI
Houlihan Lokey Inc
Financial ServicesCapital Markets
Houlihan Lokey, Inc., an investment banking firm, provides valuation and financial advisory services, capital markets, mergers and acquisitions (M&A) globally. The company is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
Last updated
11 Sep 2026
Exchange
NYSE ยท NYSE
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Capital Markets
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
9,461,933,192
Fair value reference
151.49
Next-week expectancy
Undecided ยท 54.19%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-11, HLI fell 1.40%, moving from 138.55 to 136.61. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -21.76 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.08 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 54.19% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
11 Sep 2026
Latest Close
136.61
12-Week Change
-1.40%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 54.19%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Weekly Chart Terminal
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Weekly Trend
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Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
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Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-11
Price remains unsettled
Price and PSI remain weak or inconsistent. An improvement in the bars would be the first sign of recovery.
PSI score
36/100
4 completed weeks
Recent support
-23
Building
Readings pointing the same way
100%
Little clear activity
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
The navy line is price. Green and red bars show support. The coloured trend lines show positive, negative or possible change.
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together63/100
Broad pressure high ยท more together
Ticker and market
Ticker weakness matches broad market weakness
PSI is weak and the wider market is moving together under pressure.
PSI
-29.0
Market togetherness
63/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Ticker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Ticker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Ticker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Current context
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
The two readings are mixed
Neither reading gives a clear direction.
Current reading
-0.08
Four-week change
+0.76
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-11
Price is below the adaptive centre
The completed weekly close is on the lower side of the envelope. A centre recovery and improving confirmation would be the first signs of repair.
Rolling market memory and the nearest established acceptance above and below the current price.
Is market memory moving?
Accepted-value migration
Each column is a rolling one-year auction. Brighter areas show stronger price acceptance.
Where is the next market memory?
Auction runway
The next established shelf is materially farther below than above.
Above138.88Established market memory sits 1.7% above the latest close.
Below129.01Established market memory sits 5.6% below the latest close.
Decision map
What would confirm or challenge the current interpretation?
Sustained weekly closes above177.14
Higher-value acceptance
Holding above this boundary while the acceptance centre rises would strengthen the higher-value interpretation.
Primary market-memory magnet138.88
Rotation toward value
This is the centre of the three-year auction and the principal reference if price rotates back through value.
Sustained weekly closes below115.43
Lower-value acceptance
Holding below this boundary while the acceptance centre falls would strengthen the lower-value interpretation.
Decision context
Structural references and cross-signal agreement
The closest market-memory levels, the evidence that agrees or disagrees, and the limits of the current interpretation.
Market memory
Nearest structural nodes
These are historical acceptance references, not live resting orders.
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
138.88
1.7%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
129.01
-5.6%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
151.22
10.7%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
106.79
-21.8%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
175.91
28.8%
Cross-signal agreement
Does the wider Sharemaestro picture agree?
Agreement strengthens context; disagreement identifies where the thesis is vulnerable.
Auction locationShows where the latest close sits relative to established accepted value.Within accepted value
Accepted-value migrationCompares the recent acceptance centre with the preceding one-year auction.Lower
30-week trendThe latest close is 4.2% below the trend line.Price below
Fair-value positionMarket price is 9.8% below the current fair-value reference.Below
Point & Figure structureConfirms whether reversal structure agrees with the current auction direction.Upside breakout
Earnings repricingShows whether accepted market value is developing with or against the earnings relationship.Earnings ahead
Accepted value migrating lower
Price remains within the broader value area while the recent acceptance centre moves lower.
More room below
The next established shelf is materially farther below than above.
Established market memory
The three-year acceptance centre at 138.88 remains the dominant rotational reference.
Security-specific analogues
How comparable auction states resolved
Fewer than four non-overlapping comparable episodes exist in the visible history.
0 comparable non-overlapping episodes are visible; at least four are required before outcomes are summarised.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationRange-bound structure with indecisive week
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence. Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Full context ยท Unstable
Current structureRange-bound structure
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
Trend relationshipBelow a falling trend
Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 134.24 ยท Resistance 146.40
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityNormal participation
Participation was broadly consistent with the market's completed recent history.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-0.36%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterIndecisive week
The open and close finished close together, showing limited control by either side.
Where the week closedMiddle of the range
The close finished at 40% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityUnstable
Frequent recent changes in direction reduce confidence in the current price path.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below a falling trend; participation is normal participation, and path quality is unstable.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history58% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-33.8%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+231.6%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical0.1ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
6 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
18 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
33 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
52-week position
25.1%
Low to high
Accepted price
140.12
Latest versus accepted: -2.51%
Fitted direction
Falling
-1.07% per week
Range pressure
60/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Normal
0.91ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support126.79
From price
-7.2%
Evidence
42/100
Touches
1
Support134.55
From price
-1.5%
Evidence
84/100
Touches
4
Resistance140.12
From price
2.6%
Evidence
96/100
Touches
4
Resistance178.70
From price
30.8%
Evidence
82/100
Touches
4
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 25.1% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionFalling
The fitted centre line is moving -1.07% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 60/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level134.55
Support is 1.5% from the latest close with 84/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money support is weak
The current completed-week evidence is not providing dependable confirmation for price.
Momentum 0.10 ยท Weakening
Trend qualityWeak alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 44 completed weeks; visible confirmation is weak alignment.
Momentum pathWeak ยท Weakening
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
There is limited positive confirmation; the chart should be read cautiously until support improves.
What would improve it
A turn higher in the momentum path, followed by steadier trend confirmation, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
34 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
45 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
46 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
46 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
47 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Price and Market Dynamics are confirming each other
Price changed +6.7% and Market Dynamics changed +0.76 over the latest 4 completed weeks. The price move currently has improving support beneath it.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-06-26Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
67% across the current zone span
The model estimates a 47% chance of confirming accumulation within 52 completed weeks and a 21% chance of returning to the source zone first.
Current journey
Distribution to accumulation ยท Progressing
Activated
2025-10-10
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. HLI is 67% across its current move from distribution back toward accumulation. The journey remains open because neither the target nor a return to the source has been confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Current zone-span position 67%
Distribution to Accumulation ยท 48 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 36%
Confirm the current accumulation zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 47%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 21%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 ยท Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 ยท What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks19%
26 weeks36%
52 weeks47%
Accumulation zone
109.43 / deep 95.81
Current close
136.61
Distribution zone
191.14 / deep 204.76
Source-zone dwell
16 completed weeks
Market Dynamics -0.08Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change -0.06Change in underlying supportTrend position -4%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 1.12รRecent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyAccumulation to Distribution ยท Confirmed distribution
2023-12-08โ2025-07-25 ยท 86 completed weeks ยท price move +75.8%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 1 reached distribution and 0 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2023-12-08โ2025-07-25 ยท journey 86w ยท source dwell 11w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+75.8%
Time to confirm
86w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 86 completed weeks. Price moved +75.8% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Earnings and Price Index
Earnings and Price Index
A three-year index of the relationship between earnings power and market price.
Current stateEarnings ahead
Earnings power is leading market price; the spread is closing and has persisted through 3 updates.
Spread
Closing
Persistence
3 quarters
Confirmation
Mixed support
Repricing pressure
Low โ earnings-led
Market move32.5%
Three-year change
Earnings move56.1%
Three-year change
Repricing spread23.6 pts
closing
Current valuation20.2ร
Price relative to earnings power
Earnings power is leading market price; the spread is closing and has persisted through 3 updates.
Market price
Earnings power
Repricing spread
Earnings update
Persistent earnings lead
Earnings power has led market price across several updates.
Supporting evidence
Attribution, business confirmation and horizon robustness
The components behind the repricing relationship and the independent evidence that supports or challenges it.
What drove the move?
Earnings and relative valuation contributions
Shows how the earnings move and relative valuation combine into the total market move.
What supports the earnings picture?
Business confirmation
2 of 6 available business-quality checks are supportive.
EarningsRevenueCash generation
Cash conversionWhether reported profit is supported by free cash generation.Supportive
Revenue directionWhether top-line progress supports the earnings direction.Mixed
Free-cash-flow directionWhether free cash flow is improving with earnings.Caution
Accrual pressureLower accrual pressure is a cleaner confirmation of earnings.Supportive
A completed close above 26-week VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area139.41
26-week VWAP at 139.41, 2.0% above the latest close.
Weakening level133.78
A completed close below 13-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
26-week VWAP139.41
+2.05% from close
13-week VWAP133.78
-2.07% from close
High-activity anchor129.88
-4.93% from close
Swing high129.88
-4.93% from close
Latest earnings VWAP129.88
-4.93% from close
Year VWAP145.83
+6.75% from close
52-week VWAP153.80
+12.58% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 17%Above price 83%
34%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท SPYWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -48.9 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 81/100
Sector ยท Financial ServicesWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -41.3 points.
Buyer control developing ยท 74/100
Industry ยท Capital MarketsWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -15.5 points.
Control is contested ยท 48/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim50% favourable
Events
2
Median 4w
-5.27%
Median 13w
-2.59%
Typical best
+5.60%
Typical worst
-13.85%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss67% favourable
Events
3
Median 4w
-4.70%
Median 13w
-5.68%
Typical best
+5.95%
Typical worst
-14.22%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states18 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
50%
Median 4w
+0.02%
Positive after 13w
33%
Median 13w
-6.93%
Best / worst 13w
+27.2% / -22.0%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains weak, with an early improvement
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.11 ยท Weak
Current stateWeak ยท 0.11
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
37 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.11 ยท Weak
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 10 comparable completed observations, 80.0% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +6.4%.
Comparable observations
10
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
80.0%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+6.4%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+16.3 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
11 Sep 2026
Latest Close
136.61
12-Week Change
-1.40%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 54.19%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Below
Relative Strength
-21.76
Market Dynamics
-0.08
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-11, HLI fell 1.40%, moving from 138.55 to 136.61. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -21.76 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.08 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 54.19% based on similar historical setup states.
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