View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

483.76

Total Return

383.76%

CAGR

56.75% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20

Current Holdings

1117

Transactions

10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk

Exit Mix

4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC

13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc

161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings

2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation

60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.

0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc

125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc

73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd

4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GIB NYSE · CGI Inc

67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares

1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share

10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share

10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated

50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share

10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd

1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.

2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc

11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock

0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co

0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp

1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc

1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc

30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc

19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc

2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc

2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR

2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd

1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%

BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc

3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%

BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock

126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%

BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc

3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%

CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation

46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%

CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc

0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%

CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc

6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%

GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.

0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%

GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp

152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%

JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares

0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%

KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc

23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%

LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc

5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%

NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.

14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%

OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc

0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%

TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.

1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%

WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation

17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 1117 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

AMPH NASDAQ · Amphastar P

26 Jun 202621.78

18.72

-14.05%

Buy

0.46

AMPL NASDAQ · Amplitude Inc

22 May 20266.70

9.18

37.01%

Buy

0.34

AMPY NYSE · Amplify Energy Corp

13 Jun 20253.56

3.94

10.67%

Buy

0.03

AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

19 Sep 2025166.10

146.69

-11.69%

Buy

1.61

AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc

6 Jun 202515.51

24.94

60.80%

Buy

0.49

AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC

23 May 202511.11

14.88

33.93%

Buy

0.02

AMSF NASDAQ · AMERISAFE Inc

19 Jun 202631.32

34.46

10.03%

Buy

0.17

AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co

12 Jun 20261.26

1.14

-9.52%

Buy

0.28

AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp

8 May 20267.97

9.91

24.34%

Buy

1.34

ANF NYSE · Abercrombie & Fitch Company

6 Jun 202582.99

93.07

12.15%

Buy

0.22

ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc

3 Jul 20266.06

6.24

2.97%

Buy

0.09

ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc

24 Oct 202510.01

15.60

55.84%

Buy

0.89

ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc

12 Sep 20252.42

5.80

139.67%

Buy

0.33

ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc

6 Mar 20262.85

4.50

57.89%

Buy

0.07

AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation

10 Jul 202660.44

60.44

New Entry week

Buy

0.00

AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc

26 Dec 20258.28

14.34

73.19%

Buy

0.41

APOG NASDAQ · Apogee Enterprises Inc

5 Jun 202637.01

38.82

4.89%

Buy

0.04

APPF NASDAQ · Appfolio Inc

15 May 2026151.70

175.58

15.74%

Buy

0.02

APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp

5 Jun 202624.73

25.36

2.55%

Buy

0.08

APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC

6 Jun 202566.64

60.57

-9.11%

Buy

0.17

APXT NASDAQ · Apex Treasury Corporation

19 Jun 202610.06

10.07

0.10%

Buy

1.12

APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc

13 Jun 20251.75

4.38

150.29%

Buy

0.86

ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.

10 Jul 20260.42

0.42

New Entry week

Buy

0.40

ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc

31 Oct 20257.05

8.46

20.03%

Buy

0.33

ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc

27 Feb 20268.23

6.97

-15.31%

Buy

0.18

ARDT NYSE · Ardent Health Partners, Inc.

27 Feb 20269.39

10.08

7.35%

Buy

0.14

ARDX NASDAQ · Ardelyx Inc

18 Jul 20254.41

5.28

19.73%

Buy

0.03

ARES NYSE · Ares Management LP

22 May 2026122.41

121.81

-0.49%

Buy

0.24

ARHS NASDAQ · Arhaus Inc

26 Jun 20268.41

7.86

-6.54%

Buy

0.42

ARKR NASDAQ · Ark Restaurants Corp

2 Jan 20266.61

5.85

-11.50%

Buy

0.11

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2971-3000 of 10719

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

9 Jan 2026

Exit

AFL NYSE · Aflac Incorporated

108.09

Reversal Risk Warning

42.84%

Entry 13 Oct 2023 75.67

9 Jan 2026

Exit

AGNC NASDAQ · AGNC Investment Corp.

10.80

Reversal Risk Warning

59.45%

Entry 15 Dec 2023 6.77

9 Jan 2026

Entry

ALLO NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc

1.71

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.42

9 Jan 2026

Entry

ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc

18.20

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14

9 Jan 2026

Exit

AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc

5.09

20% entry drawdown

-20.72%

Entry 13 Jun 2025 6.42

9 Jan 2026

Exit

BANC NYSE · Banc of California, Inc.

19.81

Reversal Risk Warning

67.96%

Entry 21 Jul 2023 11.79

9 Jan 2026

Exit

BCO NYSE · Brinks Company

126.37

Reversal Risk Warning

78.04%

Entry 4 Aug 2023 70.98

9 Jan 2026

Exit

CAE NYSE · CAE Inc.

33.03

Reversal Risk Warning

78.64%

Entry 27 Sep 2024 18.49

9 Jan 2026

Entry

CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc

13.73

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42

9 Jan 2026

Entry

CBT NYSE · Cabot Corporation

72.01

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01

9 Jan 2026

Entry

CENTA NASDAQ · Central Garden & Pet Company A

29.68

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06

9 Jan 2026

Entry

CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc

85.24

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02

9 Jan 2026

Entry

CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation

19.53

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.65

9 Jan 2026

Exit

COMP NYSE · Compass Inc

12.84

Reversal Risk Warning

267.91%

Entry 22 Dec 2023 3.49

9 Jan 2026

Exit

CUBI NYSE · Customers Bancorp, Inc.

78.02

Reversal Risk Warning

119.07%

Entry 14 Jul 2023 35.61

9 Jan 2026

Exit

CVCO NASDAQ · Cavco Industries Inc

667.70

Reversal Risk Warning

129.06%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 291.49

9 Jan 2026

Exit

CX NYSE · Cemex SAB de CV ADR

12.36

Reversal Risk Warning

82.69%

Entry 16 May 2025 6.77

9 Jan 2026

Entry

DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc

39.08

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.76

9 Jan 2026

Exit

DWTX NASDAQ · Dogwood Therapeutics, Inc.

2.85

20% entry drawdown

-41.24%

Entry 1 Aug 2025 4.85

9 Jan 2026

Entry

EEX NYSE · Emerald Expositions Events Inc

4.73

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17

9 Jan 2026

Exit

ELME NYSE · Elme Communities

2.95

Reversal Risk Warning

40.62%

Entry 15 Dec 2023 2.10

9 Jan 2026

Entry

ELUT NASDAQ · Elutia Inc.

0.72

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29

9 Jan 2026

Entry

ERAS NASDAQ · Erasca Inc

6.76

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.17

9 Jan 2026

Exit

EVR NYSE · Evercore Partners Inc

367.05

Reversal Risk Warning

129.99%

Entry 15 Dec 2023 159.59

9 Jan 2026

Exit

EXPD NYSE · Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

158.09

Reversal Risk Warning

35.54%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 116.64

9 Jan 2026

Entry

FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc

4.30

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.54

9 Jan 2026

Entry

GBLI NASDAQ · Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock

27.90

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01

9 Jan 2026

Exit

GLUE NASDAQ · Monte Rosa Therapeutics Inc

24.28

Reversal Risk Warning

370.54%

Entry 11 Jul 2025 5.16

9 Jan 2026

Exit

HBAN NASDAQ · Huntington Bancshares Incorporated

17.89

Reversal Risk Warning

80.78%

Entry 14 Jul 2023 9.90

9 Jan 2026

Exit

HCC NYSE · Warrior Met Coal Inc

96.79

Reversal Risk Warning

93.84%

Entry 29 Sep 2023 49.93