View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

479.75

Total Return

379.75%

CAGR

56.00% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16

Current Holdings

1081

Transactions

10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk

Exit Mix

4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated

237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc

30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc

32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock

71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc

2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc

49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc

62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc

41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc

10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc

78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC

4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc

9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ONT NYSE · Onterris

20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp

6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation

164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd

5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc

9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc

14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc

2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%

AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.

34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%

AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC

11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%

ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The

1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%

ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc

6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%

AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc

1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%

BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global

1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%

BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc

11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%

BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc

1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%

EIX NYSE · Edison International

77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%

EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc

1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%

EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR

1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%

GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock

1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%

GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares

1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%

HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc

51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%

INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.

3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%

JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%

LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation

3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%

LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.

7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%

MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated

4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%

OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.

2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%

OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc

2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%

PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc

62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%

PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc

2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%

PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc

0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%

PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares

0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%

QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc

12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%

RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.

10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%

RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc

2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%

SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc

384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%

SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited

1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%

VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc

2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%

WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc

142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%

WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock

14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%

ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.

5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 1081 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc

6 Jun 202515.51

23.11

49.00%

Buy

0.49

AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC

23 May 202511.11

13.94

25.47%

Buy

0.02

AMSF NASDAQ · AMERISAFE Inc

19 Jun 202631.32

33.90

8.24%

Buy

0.17

AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co

12 Jun 20261.26

1.08

-14.29%

Buy

0.28

AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp

8 May 20267.97

13.23

66.00%

Buy

1.34

ANF NYSE · Abercrombie & Fitch Company

6 Jun 202582.99

95.24

14.76%

Buy

0.22

ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc

3 Jul 20266.06

6.12

0.99%

Buy

0.09

ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc

24 Oct 202510.01

15.25

52.35%

Buy

0.89

ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc

12 Sep 20252.42

5.80

139.67%

Buy

0.33

ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc

6 Mar 20262.85

4.68

64.21%

Buy

0.07

AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation

10 Jul 202660.44

58.85

-2.63%

Buy

0.00

AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc

26 Dec 20258.28

13.89

67.75%

Buy

0.41

APOG NASDAQ · Apogee Enterprises Inc

5 Jun 202637.01

41.03

10.86%

Buy

0.04

APPF NASDAQ · Appfolio Inc

15 May 2026151.70

179.73

18.48%

Buy

0.02

APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp

5 Jun 202624.73

26.11

5.58%

Buy

0.08

APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC

6 Jun 202566.64

57.47

-13.76%

Buy

0.17

APXT NASDAQ · Apex Treasury Corporation

19 Jun 202610.06

10.08

0.20%

Buy

1.16

APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc

13 Jun 20251.75

4.28

144.57%

Buy

0.86

ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc

31 Oct 20257.05

8.23

16.77%

Buy

0.33

ARDT NYSE · Ardent Health Partners, Inc.

27 Feb 20269.39

10.15

8.09%

Buy

0.14

ARDX NASDAQ · Ardelyx Inc

18 Jul 20254.41

5.20

17.91%

Buy

0.03

ARES NYSE · Ares Management LP

22 May 2026122.41

125.68

2.67%

Buy

0.24

ARHS NASDAQ · Arhaus Inc

26 Jun 20268.41

7.69

-8.56%

Buy

0.42

ARKR NASDAQ · Ark Restaurants Corp

2 Jan 20266.61

5.85

-11.50%

Buy

0.11

ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc

30 May 202514.27

15.88

11.28%

Buy

0.29

ARQ NASDAQ · Arq Inc

22 May 20262.46

2.06

-16.26%

Buy

0.01

ARTV NASDAQ · Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock

29 Aug 20253.15

9.76

209.84%

Buy

1.17

ASAN NYSE · Asana Inc

29 May 20267.70

7.69

-0.13%

Buy

0.48

ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng

22 Aug 202510.96

15.40

40.49%

Buy

1.96

ASH NYSE · Ashland Global Holdings Inc

4 Jul 202552.18

68.64

31.54%

Buy

0.63

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3661-3690 of 10781

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

24 Oct 2025

Exit

GEOS NASDAQ · Geospace Technologies Corporation

25.92

Reversal Risk Warning

125.59%

Entry 20 Jun 2025 11.49

24 Oct 2025

Entry

GNLX NASDAQ · Genelux Corporation Common Stock

7.82

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.94

24 Oct 2025

Exit

GTLS NYSE · Chart Industries Inc

199.47

Reversal Risk Warning

38.32%

Entry 13 Jun 2025 144.21

24 Oct 2025

Exit

GURE NASDAQ · Gulf Resources, Inc. (NV) Common Stock

5.26

20% entry drawdown

-20.29%

Entry 17 Jan 2025 6.60

24 Oct 2025

Exit

HCI NYSE · HCI Group Inc

204.88

Reversal Risk Warning

180.69%

Entry 10 Nov 2023 72.99

24 Oct 2025

Exit

IBM NYSE · International Business Machines

301.83

Reversal Risk Warning

112.65%

Entry 17 Nov 2023 141.94

24 Oct 2025

Exit

IZM NASDAQ · ICZOOM Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares

1.97

20% entry drawdown

-21.83%

Entry 16 May 2025 2.52

24 Oct 2025

Exit

MEDP NASDAQ · Medpace Holdings Inc

605.20

Reversal Risk Warning

102.00%

Entry 15 Dec 2023 299.60

24 Oct 2025

Exit

MMM NYSE · 3M Company

166.16

Reversal Risk Warning

102.73%

Entry 8 Dec 2023 81.96

24 Oct 2025

Exit

MTDR NYSE · Matador Resources Company

38.40

20% entry drawdown

-22.97%

Entry 20 Jun 2025 49.85

24 Oct 2025

Entry

NMRA NASDAQ · Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.

2.63

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.73

24 Oct 2025

Entry

NOA NYSE · North American Construction Group Ltd

14.96

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03

24 Oct 2025

Exit

NRG NYSE · NRG Energy Inc.

168.87

Reversal Risk Warning

208.49%

Entry 1 Mar 2024 54.74

24 Oct 2025

Exit

OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp

21.68

Reversal Risk Warning

179.02%

Entry 14 Mar 2025 7.77

24 Oct 2025

Entry

OPTX NASDAQ · Syntec Optics Holdings Inc.

2.83

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33

24 Oct 2025

Exit

OPXS NASDAQ · Optex Systems Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

17.04

Reversal Risk Warning

184.71%

Entry 22 Dec 2023 5.99

24 Oct 2025

Exit

P NYSE · Everpure, Inc.

93.79

Reversal Risk Warning

147.34%

Entry 14 Jul 2023 37.92

24 Oct 2025

Exit

PEGA NASDAQ · Pegasystems Inc

66.19

Reversal Risk Warning

154.55%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 26.00

24 Oct 2025

Exit

PI NASDAQ · Impinj Inc

235.83

Reversal Risk Warning

88.59%

Entry 16 May 2025 125.05

24 Oct 2025

Exit

PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc

2.95

20% entry drawdown

-22.57%

Entry 3 Oct 2025 3.81

24 Oct 2025

Entry

PRLD NASDAQ · Prelude Therapeutics Inc

1.62

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.01

24 Oct 2025

Entry

PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc

6.41

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.68

24 Oct 2025

Entry

PUMP NYSE · ProPetro Holding Corp

6.31

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42

24 Oct 2025

Exit

RUN NASDAQ · Sunrun Inc

20.85

Reversal Risk Warning

178.37%

Entry 30 May 2025 7.49

24 Oct 2025

Entry

RVTY NYSE · Revvity Inc.

98.75

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22

24 Oct 2025

Entry

SABS NASDAQ · SAB Biotherapeutics Inc

3.03

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14

24 Oct 2025

Exit

SHOP NASDAQ · Shopify Inc

172.95

Reversal Risk Warning

131.99%

Entry 16 Aug 2024 74.55

24 Oct 2025

Exit

STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.

14.62

20% entry drawdown

-30.94%

Entry 17 Oct 2025 21.17

24 Oct 2025

Exit

SUPN NASDAQ · Supernus Pharmaceuticals Inc

52.83

Reversal Risk Warning

93.87%

Entry 15 Dec 2023 27.25

24 Oct 2025

Exit

TAC NYSE · TransAlta Corp

17.09

Reversal Risk Warning

119.74%

Entry 2 Aug 2024 7.78