Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
478.70
Total Return
378.70%
CAGR
55.90% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.12%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.64 Sortino 5.14
Current Holdings
1077
Transactions
10779 Avg 3056.6/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4851 Stop 41.6% · Warning 57.9% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
19
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IQ NASDAQ · iQIYI Inc
1.19 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAT NASDAQ · Mattel Inc
14.30 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
36
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 1077 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc
6 Jun 202515.51
23.11
49.00%
Buy
0.49
-
-
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
23 May 202511.11
13.94
25.47%
Buy
0.02
-
-
AMSF NASDAQ · AMERISAFE Inc
19 Jun 202631.32
33.90
8.24%
Buy
0.17
-
-
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
12 Jun 20261.26
1.08
-14.29%
Buy
0.28
-
-
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
8 May 20267.97
13.23
66.00%
Buy
1.34
-
-
ANF NYSE · Abercrombie & Fitch Company
6 Jun 202582.99
95.24
14.76%
Buy
0.22
-
-
ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc
26 Jun 20265.97
6.12
2.51%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc
24 Oct 202510.01
15.25
52.35%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc
12 Sep 20252.42
5.80
139.67%
Buy
0.33
-
-
ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20262.85
4.68
64.21%
Buy
0.07
-
-
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
10 Jul 202660.44
58.85
-2.63%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc
26 Dec 20258.28
13.89
67.75%
Buy
0.41
-
-
APOG NASDAQ · Apogee Enterprises Inc
5 Jun 202637.01
41.03
10.86%
Buy
0.04
-
-
APPF NASDAQ · Appfolio Inc
15 May 2026151.70
179.73
18.48%
Buy
0.02
-
-
APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp
5 Jun 202624.73
26.11
5.58%
Buy
0.08
-
-
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
6 Jun 202566.64
57.47
-13.76%
Buy
0.17
-
-
APXT NASDAQ · Apex Treasury Corporation
19 Jun 202610.06
10.08
0.20%
Buy
1.18
-
-
APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc
13 Jun 20251.75
4.28
144.57%
Buy
0.86
-
-
AQB NASDAQ · AquaBounty Technologies Inc
26 Jun 20261.10
0.97
-11.83%
Buy
0.87
-
-
ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
31 Oct 20257.05
8.23
16.77%
Buy
0.33
-
-
ARDT NYSE · Ardent Health Partners, Inc.
27 Feb 20269.39
10.15
8.09%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ARDX NASDAQ · Ardelyx Inc
18 Jul 20254.41
5.20
17.91%
Buy
0.03
-
-
ARES NYSE · Ares Management LP
22 May 2026122.41
125.68
2.67%
Buy
0.24
-
-
ARHS NASDAQ · Arhaus Inc
26 Jun 20268.41
7.69
-8.56%
Buy
0.42
-
-
ARKR NASDAQ · Ark Restaurants Corp
2 Jan 20266.61
5.85
-11.50%
Buy
0.11
-
-
ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc
30 May 202514.27
15.88
11.28%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ARQ NASDAQ · Arq Inc
22 May 20262.46
2.06
-16.26%
Buy
0.01
-
-
ARTV NASDAQ · Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
29 Aug 20253.15
9.76
209.84%
Buy
1.17
-
-
ASAN NYSE · Asana Inc
29 May 20267.70
7.69
-0.13%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
22 Aug 202510.96
15.40
40.49%
Buy
1.96
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 5041-5070 of 10779
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
6 Jun 2025
Entry
CIM NYSE · Chimera Investment Corporation
12.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
6 Jun 2025
Entry
CLS NYSE · Celestica Inc.
120.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
6 Jun 2025
Entry
CSIQ NASDAQ · Canadian Solar Inc
11.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.83
6 Jun 2025
Entry
CSTM NYSE · Constellium Nv
12.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.31
6 Jun 2025
Entry
CVV NASDAQ · CVD Equipment Corporation
3.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
6 Jun 2025
Entry
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
7.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.78
6 Jun 2025
Entry
DAIO NASDAQ · Data I/O Corporation
2.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
6 Jun 2025
Entry
DBI NYSE · Designer Brands Inc
3.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
6 Jun 2025
Entry
EAF NYSE · GrafTech International Ltd
11.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
6 Jun 2025
Entry
ENTA NASDAQ · Enanta Pharmaceuticals Inc
7.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
6 Jun 2025
Entry
ERO NYSE · Ero Copper Corp
15.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.30
6 Jun 2025
Entry
FIGS NYSE · Figs Inc
5.09
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
6 Jun 2025
Entry
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
10.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
6 Jun 2025
Exit
FTHY NYSE · First Trust High Yield Opportunities 2027 Term Fund
12.97
Reversal Risk Warning
27.56%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 10.16
6 Jun 2025
Entry
GEF NYSE · Greif Bros Corporation
63.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
6 Jun 2025
Entry
GERN NASDAQ · Geron Corporation
1.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
6 Jun 2025
Entry
GFS NASDAQ · Globalfoundries Inc
37.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
6 Jun 2025
Exit
GPCR NASDAQ · Structure Therapeutics Inc. American Depositary Shares
21.13
20% entry drawdown
-22.00%
Entry 2 May 2025 27.09
6 Jun 2025
Entry
GPMT NYSE · Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc
2.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
6 Jun 2025
Entry
GROW NASDAQ · US Global Investors Inc
2.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
6 Jun 2025
Entry
GRWG NASDAQ · GrowGeneration Corp
1.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
6 Jun 2025
Exit
GWRE NYSE · Guidewire Software Inc
255.77
Reversal Risk Warning
151.77%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 101.59
6 Jun 2025
Entry
HGV NYSE · Hilton Grand Vacations Inc
40.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
6 Jun 2025
Entry
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
19.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
6 Jun 2025
Entry
IBRX NASDAQ · Immunitybio Inc
3.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41
6 Jun 2025
Exit
IDT NYSE · IDT Corporation
68.21
Reversal Risk Warning
141.44%
Entry 13 Oct 2023 28.25
6 Jun 2025
Entry
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
2.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
6 Jun 2025
Entry
INVZ NASDAQ · Innoviz Technologies
0.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
6 Jun 2025
Exit
JFIN NASDAQ · Jiayin Group Inc
17.38
Reversal Risk Warning
272.33%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 4.67
6 Jun 2025
Entry
KRNT NASDAQ · Kornit Digital Ltd
22.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18