Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1122
Transactions
10714 Avg 3054.8/yr · 254.6/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4796 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
11
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 1122 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AMPH NASDAQ · Amphastar P
26 Jun 202621.78
18.72
-14.05%
Buy
0.46
-
-
AMPL NASDAQ · Amplitude Inc
22 May 20266.70
9.18
37.01%
Buy
0.34
-
-
AMPY NYSE · Amplify Energy Corp
13 Jun 20253.56
3.94
10.67%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
19 Sep 2025166.10
146.69
-11.69%
Buy
1.61
-
-
AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc
6 Jun 202515.51
24.94
60.80%
Buy
0.49
-
-
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
23 May 202511.11
14.88
33.93%
Buy
0.02
-
-
AMSF NASDAQ · AMERISAFE Inc
19 Jun 202631.32
34.46
10.03%
Buy
0.17
-
-
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
12 Jun 20261.26
1.14
-9.52%
Buy
0.28
-
-
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
8 May 20267.97
9.91
24.34%
Buy
1.34
-
-
ANF NYSE · Abercrombie & Fitch Company
6 Jun 202582.99
93.07
12.15%
Buy
0.22
-
-
ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc
3 Jul 20266.06
6.24
2.97%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc
24 Oct 202510.01
15.60
55.84%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc
12 Sep 20252.42
5.80
139.67%
Buy
0.33
-
-
ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20262.85
4.50
57.89%
Buy
0.07
-
-
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
10 Jul 202660.44
60.44
New Entry week
Buy
0.00
-
-
AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc
26 Dec 20258.28
14.34
73.19%
Buy
0.41
-
-
APOG NASDAQ · Apogee Enterprises Inc
5 Jun 202637.01
38.82
4.89%
Buy
0.04
-
-
APPF NASDAQ · Appfolio Inc
15 May 2026151.70
175.58
15.74%
Buy
0.02
-
-
APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp
5 Jun 202624.73
25.36
2.55%
Buy
0.08
-
-
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
6 Jun 202566.64
60.57
-9.11%
Buy
0.17
-
-
APXT NASDAQ · Apex Treasury Corporation
19 Jun 202610.06
10.07
0.10%
Buy
1.12
-
-
APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc
13 Jun 20251.75
4.38
150.29%
Buy
0.86
-
-
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
10 Jul 20260.42
0.42
New Entry week
Buy
0.40
-
-
ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
31 Oct 20257.05
8.46
20.03%
Buy
0.33
-
-
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
27 Feb 20268.23
6.97
-15.31%
Buy
0.18
-
-
ARDT NYSE · Ardent Health Partners, Inc.
27 Feb 20269.39
10.08
7.35%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ARDX NASDAQ · Ardelyx Inc
18 Jul 20254.41
5.28
19.73%
Buy
0.03
-
-
ARES NYSE · Ares Management LP
22 May 2026122.41
121.81
-0.49%
Buy
0.24
-
-
ARHS NASDAQ · Arhaus Inc
26 Jun 20268.41
7.86
-6.54%
Buy
0.42
-
-
ARKR NASDAQ · Ark Restaurants Corp
2 Jan 20266.61
5.85
-11.50%
Buy
0.11
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 511-540 of 10714
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
12 Jun 2026
Entry
ALK NYSE · Alaska Air Group Inc
47.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ALRS NASDAQ · Alerus Financial Corp
30.09
Reversal Risk Warning
82.03%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 16.53
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ALX NYSE · Alexanders Inc
262.60
Reversal Risk Warning
79.81%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 146.04
12 Jun 2026
Exit
AMAL NASDAQ · Amalgamated Bank
44.65
Reversal Risk Warning
121.66%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 20.14
12 Jun 2026
Entry
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
1.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
12 Jun 2026
Entry
ANGH NASDAQ · Anghami De Inc
5.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
12 Jun 2026
Exit
APLE NYSE · Apple Hospitality REIT Inc
16.14
Reversal Risk Warning
43.10%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 11.28
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ARCB NASDAQ · ArcBest Corp
173.04
Reversal Risk Warning
153.02%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 68.39
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ARKO NASDAQ · Arko Corp
8.63
Reversal Risk Warning
100.18%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 4.31
12 Jun 2026
Exit
AROW NASDAQ · Arrow Financial Corporation
39.86
Reversal Risk Warning
119.05%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 18.20
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ARW NYSE · Arrow Electronics Inc
226.78
Reversal Risk Warning
96.94%
Entry 2 May 2025 115.15
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ASML NASDAQ · ASML Holding NV ADR
1863.55
Reversal Risk Warning
153.82%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 734.21
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ASYS NASDAQ · Amtech Systems Inc
23.99
Reversal Risk Warning
96.64%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 12.20
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ATI NYSE · Allegheny Technologies Incorporated
198.48
Reversal Risk Warning
177.75%
Entry 9 May 2025 71.46
12 Jun 2026
Exit
AUC NASDAQ · ATIF Holdings Limited
6.10
20% entry drawdown
-20.78%
Entry 29 May 2026 7.70
12 Jun 2026
Exit
AVAL NYSE · Grupo Aval
5.53
Reversal Risk Warning
108.20%
Entry 31 Jan 2025 2.66
12 Jun 2026
Entry
AVTR NYSE · Avantor Inc
9.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.99
12 Jun 2026
Exit
AXSM NASDAQ · Axsome Therapeutics Inc
255.17
Reversal Risk Warning
232.19%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 76.82
12 Jun 2026
Entry
AZTA NASDAQ · Azenta Inc
22.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
12 Jun 2026
Exit
AZZ NYSE · AZZ Incorporated
150.63
Reversal Risk Warning
169.54%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 55.89
12 Jun 2026
Exit
BAFN NASDAQ · Bayfirst Financial Corp
5.07
20% entry drawdown
-20.03%
Entry 27 Mar 2026 6.34
12 Jun 2026
Exit
BAP NYSE · Credicorp Ltd
369.55
Reversal Risk Warning
149.59%
Entry 8 Mar 2024 148.06
12 Jun 2026
Exit
BBCP NASDAQ · Concrete Pumping Holdings Class A
11.12
Reversal Risk Warning
95.88%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 5.68
12 Jun 2026
Exit
BFH NYSE · Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.
101.71
Reversal Risk Warning
198.25%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 34.10
12 Jun 2026
Exit
BHE NYSE · Benchmark Electronics Inc
89.78
Reversal Risk Warning
154.44%
Entry 3 May 2024 35.28
12 Jun 2026
Exit
BLX NYSE · Foreign Trade Bank of Latin America Inc
60.46
Reversal Risk Warning
123.97%
Entry 3 May 2024 27.00
12 Jun 2026
Exit
BMO NYSE · Bank of Montreal
168.30
Reversal Risk Warning
115.26%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 78.19
12 Jun 2026
Exit
BNS NYSE · Bank of Nova Scotia
83.21
Reversal Risk Warning
102.43%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 41.11
12 Jun 2026
Exit
BOTJ NASDAQ · Bank of the James Financial Group
24.76
Reversal Risk Warning
143.34%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 10.18
12 Jun 2026
Entry
BPAC NASDAQ · Bullpen Parlay Acquisition Co
10.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.59