View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

487.74

Total Return

387.74%

CAGR

57.51% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+35.40%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.70 Sortino 5.25

Current Holdings

1105

Transactions

10675 Avg 3060.4/yr · 255.0/mo · 58.9/wk

Exit Mix

4785 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.5% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories

95.40 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ACET NASDAQ · Adicet Bio Inc

9.00 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther

1.24 MD 0.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The

2.27 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc

14.26 MD 0.88 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc

6.06 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

AVXL NASDAQ · Anavex Life Sciences Corp

2.76 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.

10.93 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc

40.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp

2.17 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc

6.97 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CIGI NASDAQ · Colliers International Group Inc Bats

98.51 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc

6.48 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CRAC NASDAQ · Crown Reserve Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares

10.12 MD 1.89 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

DEFT NASDAQ · DeFi Technologies Inc.

0.53 MD 0.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

DNMX NASDAQ · Dynamix Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares

10.01 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc

0.94 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ELBM NASDAQ · Electra Battery Materials Corp

0.56 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES

5.64 MD 0.68 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR

2.90 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc

29.63 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250

5.61 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc

51.35 MD 0.87 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP

5.96 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc

37.57 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HELP NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock

6.24 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

INCR NASDAQ · InterCure Ltd.

1.09 MD 1.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

KNSL NYSE · Kinsale Capital Group Inc

354.85 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LAB NASDAQ · Standard Biotools Inc

0.91 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc

6.92 MD 0.38 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.

178.54 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated

100.77 MD 0.01 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

NKE NYSE · Nike Inc

44.09 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc

9.79 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc

5.76 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

OXBR NASDAQ · Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd

1.28 MD 1.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.

17.79 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc

2.17 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc

4.19 MD 0.43 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.

1.04 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares

10.06 MD 1.64 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc

8.27 MD 0.58 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WAY NASDAQ · Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock

23.46 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc

177.99 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding

3.47 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ZBH NYSE · Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc

87.47 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc

147.33 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

ABCL NASDAQ · Abcellera Biologics Inc

8.11 Reversal Risk Warning · 137.83%

ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.

11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.60%

AIRT NASDAQ · Air T Inc

28.87 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.30%

ALAR NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.

6.35 20% entry drawdown · -34.06%

ALGT NASDAQ · Allegiant Travel Company

118.67 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.01%

ASTL NASDAQ · Algoma Steel Group Inc

3.77 20% entry drawdown · -20.46%

BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.

7.45 20% entry drawdown · -30.18%

ENVX NASDAQ · Enovix Corp

5.36 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%

FA NASDAQ · First Advantage Corp

20.53 Reversal Risk Warning · 58.29%

GCBC NASDAQ · Greene County Bancorp Inc

34.66 Reversal Risk Warning · 41.97%

ILMN NASDAQ · Illumina Inc

188.68 Reversal Risk Warning · 117.05%

LFVN NASDAQ · Lifevantage Corporation

6.22 20% entry drawdown · -20.55%

MB NASDAQ · MasterBeef Group Ordinary Shares

4.51 20% entry drawdown · -26.31%

MOVE NASDAQ · Movano Inc

17.37 20% entry drawdown · -24.12%

NEUP NASDAQ · Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc

3.38 20% entry drawdown · -32.94%

OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.

1.16 20% entry drawdown · -30.12%

RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.

1.34 20% entry drawdown · -25.56%

SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc

27.22 20% entry drawdown · -23.04%

TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock

7.12 Reversal Risk Warning · 38.79%

USIO NASDAQ · Usio Inc

2.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 63.16%

VGAS NASDAQ · Verde Clean Fuels Inc.

1.00 20% entry drawdown · -34.21%

WXM NASDAQ · WF International Limited Ordinary Shares

4.29 20% entry drawdown · -23.38%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 1105 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

19 Sep 2025166.10

160.00

-3.67%

Buy

1.61

AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc

6 Jun 202515.51

25.40

63.77%

Buy

0.49

AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC

23 May 202511.11

16.37

47.34%

Buy

0.02

AMSF NASDAQ · AMERISAFE Inc

19 Jun 202631.32

34.99

11.72%

Buy

0.17

AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co

12 Jun 20261.26

1.18

-6.35%

Buy

0.28

AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp

8 May 20267.97

9.25

16.06%

Buy

1.34

ANF NYSE · Abercrombie & Fitch Company

6 Jun 202582.99

92.42

11.36%

Buy

0.22

ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc

3 Jul 20266.06

6.06

New Entry week

Buy

0.09

ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc

24 Oct 202510.01

15.36

53.45%

Buy

0.89

ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc

12 Sep 20252.42

5.46

125.62%

Buy

0.33

ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc

6 Mar 20262.85

4.42

55.09%

Buy

0.07

AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc

26 Dec 20258.28

13.37

61.47%

Buy

0.41

APOG NASDAQ · Apogee Enterprises Inc

5 Jun 202637.01

40.57

9.62%

Buy

0.04

APPF NASDAQ · Appfolio Inc

15 May 2026151.70

170.90

12.66%

Buy

0.02

APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp

5 Jun 202624.73

24.40

-1.33%

Buy

0.08

APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC

6 Jun 202566.64

58.89

-11.63%

Buy

0.17

APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd

19 Jun 20261.99

1.60

-19.60%

Buy

0.39

APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc

13 Jun 20251.75

4.30

145.71%

Buy

0.86

ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc

31 Oct 20257.05

8.23

16.77%

Buy

0.33

ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc

27 Feb 20268.23

7.28

-11.54%

Buy

0.18

ARDT NYSE · Ardent Health Partners, Inc.

27 Feb 20269.39

10.76

14.59%

Buy

0.14

ARDX NASDAQ · Ardelyx Inc

18 Jul 20254.41

5.27

19.50%

Buy

0.03

ARES NYSE · Ares Management LP

22 May 2026122.41

116.90

-4.51%

Buy

0.24

ARHS NASDAQ · Arhaus Inc

26 Jun 20268.41

8.62

2.50%

Buy

0.42

ARKR NASDAQ · Ark Restaurants Corp

2 Jan 20266.61

5.85

-11.50%

Buy

0.11

ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc

30 May 202514.27

21.22

48.70%

Buy

0.29

ARQ NASDAQ · Arq Inc

22 May 20262.46

2.27

-7.72%

Buy

0.01

ARTV NASDAQ · Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock

29 Aug 20253.15

9.61

205.08%

Buy

1.17

ASAN NYSE · Asana Inc

29 May 20267.70

7.34

-4.68%

Buy

0.48

ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng

22 Aug 202510.96

14.86

35.56%

Buy

1.96

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 31-60 of 10675

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

3 Jul 2026

Entry

FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250

5.61

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63

3 Jul 2026

Entry

FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc

51.35

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.87

3 Jul 2026

Exit

GCBC NASDAQ · Greene County Bancorp Inc

34.66

Reversal Risk Warning

41.97%

Entry 4 Jul 2025 24.41

3 Jul 2026

Entry

GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP

5.96

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27

3 Jul 2026

Entry

GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc

37.57

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41

3 Jul 2026

Entry

HELP NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock

6.24

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.51

3 Jul 2026

Exit

ILMN NASDAQ · Illumina Inc

188.68

Reversal Risk Warning

117.05%

Entry 13 Jun 2025 86.93

3 Jul 2026

Entry

INCR NASDAQ · InterCure Ltd.

1.09

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.06

3 Jul 2026

Entry

KNSL NYSE · Kinsale Capital Group Inc

354.85

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09

3 Jul 2026

Entry

LAB NASDAQ · Standard Biotools Inc

0.91

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26

3 Jul 2026

Exit

LFVN NASDAQ · Lifevantage Corporation

6.22

20% entry drawdown

-20.55%

Entry 29 May 2026 7.83

3 Jul 2026

Entry

LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc

6.92

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38

3 Jul 2026

Exit

MB NASDAQ · MasterBeef Group Ordinary Shares

4.51

20% entry drawdown

-26.31%

Entry 17 Apr 2026 6.12

3 Jul 2026

Exit

MOVE NASDAQ · Movano Inc

17.37

20% entry drawdown

-24.12%

Entry 22 May 2026 22.89

3 Jul 2026

Entry

MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.

178.54

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32

3 Jul 2026

Entry

MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated

100.77

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01

3 Jul 2026

Exit

NEUP NASDAQ · Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc

3.38

20% entry drawdown

-32.94%

Entry 24 Apr 2026 5.04

3 Jul 2026

Entry

NKE NYSE · Nike Inc

44.09

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29

3 Jul 2026

Entry

OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc

9.79

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11

3 Jul 2026

Exit

OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.

1.16

20% entry drawdown

-30.12%

Entry 26 Jun 2026 1.66

3 Jul 2026

Entry

OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc

5.76

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26

3 Jul 2026

Entry

OXBR NASDAQ · Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd

1.28

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.07

3 Jul 2026

Entry

PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.

17.79

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.04

3 Jul 2026

Exit

RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.

1.34

20% entry drawdown

-25.56%

Entry 8 May 2026 1.80

3 Jul 2026

Entry

REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc

2.17

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08

3 Jul 2026

Entry

SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc

4.19

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43

3 Jul 2026

Exit

SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc

27.22

20% entry drawdown

-23.04%

Entry 8 May 2026 35.37

3 Jul 2026

Entry

SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.

1.04

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.50

3 Jul 2026

Entry

TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares

10.06

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.64

3 Jul 2026

Exit

TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock

7.12

Reversal Risk Warning

38.79%

Entry 22 May 2026 5.13