View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

469.57

Total Return

369.57%

CAGR

54.68% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04

Current Holdings

1070

Transactions

10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk

Exit Mix

4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

ALC NYSE · Alcon AG

67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares

10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd

4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.

14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock

2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock

1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares

0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc

0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share

10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc

19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc

49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock

0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences

1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc

11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp

71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR

13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc

53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp

58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.

0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares

10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp

10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR

2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co

0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%

ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc

0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%

BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.

8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%

BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc

1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%

BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc

33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%

COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc

61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%

DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc

62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%

DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.

1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%

GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.

60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%

GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc

8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%

GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp

0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%

LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.

4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%

LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc

3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%

LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp

1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%

NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.

0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%

NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc

2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%

PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.

2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%

PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.

2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%

RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp

1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%

REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc

1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%

SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock

0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%

SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc

42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%

SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc

0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%

SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties

2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%

TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc

1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%

UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc

26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%

WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares

0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%

WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc

1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%

XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc

1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 1070 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

19 Sep 2025166.10

142.94

-13.94%

Buy

1.61

AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc

6 Jun 202515.51

21.75

40.23%

Buy

0.49

AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC

23 May 202511.11

13.55

21.96%

Buy

0.02

AMSF NASDAQ · AMERISAFE Inc

19 Jun 202631.32

30.41

-2.91%

Buy

0.17

AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp

8 May 20267.97

10.81

35.63%

Buy

1.34

ANF NYSE · Abercrombie & Fitch Company

6 Jun 202582.99

93.81

13.04%

Buy

0.22

ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc

26 Jun 20265.97

5.53

-7.37%

Buy

0.04

ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc

24 Oct 202510.01

14.95

49.35%

Buy

0.89

ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc

12 Sep 20252.42

5.22

115.70%

Buy

0.33

ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc

6 Mar 20262.85

4.92

72.63%

Buy

0.07

AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation

10 Jul 202660.44

60.78

0.56%

Buy

0.00

AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc

26 Dec 20258.28

12.95

56.40%

Buy

0.41

APOG NASDAQ · Apogee Enterprises Inc

5 Jun 202637.01

40.74

10.08%

Buy

0.04

APPF NASDAQ · Appfolio Inc

15 May 2026151.70

165.05

8.80%

Buy

0.02

APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp

5 Jun 202624.73

23.75

-3.96%

Buy

0.08

APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC

6 Jun 202566.64

56.55

-15.14%

Buy

0.17

APXT NASDAQ · Apex Treasury Corporation

19 Jun 202610.06

10.13

0.69%

Buy

1.18

APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc

13 Jun 20251.75

3.92

124.00%

Buy

0.86

AQB NASDAQ · AquaBounty Technologies Inc

26 Jun 20261.10

0.91

-17.27%

Buy

0.87

ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc

31 Oct 20257.05

8.22

16.63%

Buy

0.33

ARDT NYSE · Ardent Health Partners, Inc.

27 Feb 20269.39

10.64

13.31%

Buy

0.14

ARDX NASDAQ · Ardelyx Inc

18 Jul 20254.41

5.03

14.06%

Buy

0.03

ARES NYSE · Ares Management LP

22 May 2026122.41

126.51

3.35%

Buy

0.24

ARHS NASDAQ · Arhaus Inc

26 Jun 20268.41

7.91

-5.95%

Buy

0.42

ARKR NASDAQ · Ark Restaurants Corp

2 Jan 20266.61

5.94

-10.14%

Buy

0.11

ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc

30 May 202514.27

14.79

3.64%

Buy

0.29

ARQ NASDAQ · Arq Inc

22 May 20262.46

2.03

-17.68%

Buy

0.01

ARTV NASDAQ · Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock

29 Aug 20253.15

10.03

218.41%

Buy

1.17

ASAN NYSE · Asana Inc

29 May 20267.70

6.86

-10.91%

Buy

0.48

ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng

22 Aug 202510.96

16.61

51.53%

Buy

1.96

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8131-8160 of 10830

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

10 May 2024

Entry

MO NYSE · Altria Group

38.20

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33

10 May 2024

Exit

MTD NYSE · Mettler-Toledo International Inc

1510.25

Reversal Risk Warning

38.49%

Entry 8 Dec 2023 1090.52

10 May 2024

Entry

MYSE NASDAQ · Myseum, Inc.

1.69

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.08

10 May 2024

Entry

NATL NASDAQ · NCR Atleos Corporation

22.71

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15

10 May 2024

Entry

NVAX NASDAQ · Novavax Inc

8.88

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.75

10 May 2024

Exit

OBDC NYSE · Blue Owl Capital Corporation

13.15

Reversal Risk Warning

29.82%

Entry 14 Jul 2023 10.13

10 May 2024

Entry

ONC NASDAQ · BeiGene, Ltd.

161.13

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24

10 May 2024

Entry

OPRT NASDAQ · Oportun Financial Corp

4.42

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13

10 May 2024

Entry

OPY NYSE · Oppenheimer Holdings Inc

42.30

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46

10 May 2024

Entry

PBI NYSE · Pitney Bowes Inc

4.73

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41

10 May 2024

Entry

PRE NASDAQ · Prenetics Global Ltd

5.92

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.53

10 May 2024

Entry

QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation

10.90

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10

10 May 2024

Entry

RAND NASDAQ · Rand Capital Corp

9.81

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.06

10 May 2024

Entry

REAL NASDAQ · TheRealReal Inc

4.13

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.81

10 May 2024

Entry

REBN NASDAQ · Reborn Coffee Inc

3.39

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04

10 May 2024

Exit

RIGL NASDAQ · Rigel Pharmaceuticals Inc

9.84

20% entry drawdown

-25.71%

Entry 8 Dec 2023 13.25

10 May 2024

Entry

SELF NASDAQ · Global Self Storage Inc

4.54

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35

10 May 2024

Entry

SGU NYSE · Star Gas Partners LP

9.51

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37

10 May 2024

Exit

STEX NASDAQ · Streamex Corp

1.25

20% entry drawdown

-26.90%

Entry 3 May 2024 1.71

10 May 2024

Entry

WELL NYSE · Welltower Inc

95.43

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.36

10 May 2024

Entry

WWW NYSE · Wolverine World Wide Inc

12.89

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.62

10 May 2024

Exit

XCUR NASDAQ · Exicure Inc

2.28

20% entry drawdown

-25.18%

Entry 23 Feb 2024 3.05

10 May 2024

Exit

YOU NYSE · Clear Secure Inc

16.12

20% entry drawdown

-21.29%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 20.48

10 May 2024

Entry

ZETA NYSE · Zeta Global Holdings Corp

15.80

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.25

10 May 2024

Entry

ZUMZ NASDAQ · Zumiez Inc

18.02

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14

3 May 2024

Entry

ADMA NASDAQ · ADMA Biologics Inc

6.81

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.10

3 May 2024

Entry

ATEN NYSE · A10 Network

14.70

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08

3 May 2024

Entry

ATI NYSE · Allegheny Technologies Incorporated

58.16

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.31

3 May 2024

Entry

AUR NASDAQ · Aurora Innovation Inc

3.29

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03

3 May 2024

Entry

BABA NYSE · Alibaba Group Holding Ltd

77.52

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.61