Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
19 Sep 2025166.10
142.94
-13.94%
Buy
1.61
-
-
AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc
6 Jun 202515.51
21.75
40.23%
Buy
0.49
-
-
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
23 May 202511.11
13.55
21.96%
Buy
0.02
-
-
AMSF NASDAQ · AMERISAFE Inc
19 Jun 202631.32
30.41
-2.91%
Buy
0.17
-
-
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
8 May 20267.97
10.81
35.63%
Buy
1.34
-
-
ANF NYSE · Abercrombie & Fitch Company
6 Jun 202582.99
93.81
13.04%
Buy
0.22
-
-
ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc
26 Jun 20265.97
5.53
-7.37%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc
24 Oct 202510.01
14.95
49.35%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc
12 Sep 20252.42
5.22
115.70%
Buy
0.33
-
-
ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20262.85
4.92
72.63%
Buy
0.07
-
-
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
10 Jul 202660.44
60.78
0.56%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc
26 Dec 20258.28
12.95
56.40%
Buy
0.41
-
-
APOG NASDAQ · Apogee Enterprises Inc
5 Jun 202637.01
40.74
10.08%
Buy
0.04
-
-
APPF NASDAQ · Appfolio Inc
15 May 2026151.70
165.05
8.80%
Buy
0.02
-
-
APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp
5 Jun 202624.73
23.75
-3.96%
Buy
0.08
-
-
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
6 Jun 202566.64
56.55
-15.14%
Buy
0.17
-
-
APXT NASDAQ · Apex Treasury Corporation
19 Jun 202610.06
10.13
0.69%
Buy
1.18
-
-
APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc
13 Jun 20251.75
3.92
124.00%
Buy
0.86
-
-
AQB NASDAQ · AquaBounty Technologies Inc
26 Jun 20261.10
0.91
-17.27%
Buy
0.87
-
-
ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
31 Oct 20257.05
8.22
16.63%
Buy
0.33
-
-
ARDT NYSE · Ardent Health Partners, Inc.
27 Feb 20269.39
10.64
13.31%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ARDX NASDAQ · Ardelyx Inc
18 Jul 20254.41
5.03
14.06%
Buy
0.03
-
-
ARES NYSE · Ares Management LP
22 May 2026122.41
126.51
3.35%
Buy
0.24
-
-
ARHS NASDAQ · Arhaus Inc
26 Jun 20268.41
7.91
-5.95%
Buy
0.42
-
-
ARKR NASDAQ · Ark Restaurants Corp
2 Jan 20266.61
5.94
-10.14%
Buy
0.11
-
-
ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc
30 May 202514.27
14.79
3.64%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ARQ NASDAQ · Arq Inc
22 May 20262.46
2.03
-17.68%
Buy
0.01
-
-
ARTV NASDAQ · Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
29 Aug 20253.15
10.03
218.41%
Buy
1.17
-
-
ASAN NYSE · Asana Inc
29 May 20267.70
6.86
-10.91%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
22 Aug 202510.96
16.61
51.53%
Buy
1.96
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8191-8220 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
3 May 2024
Exit
SCLX NASDAQ · Scilex Holding Company
18.74
20% entry drawdown
-21.82%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 23.97
3 May 2024
Entry
SE NYSE · Sea Ltd
66.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.60
3 May 2024
Exit
SIGA NASDAQ · SIGA Technologies Inc
8.12
Reversal Risk Warning
96.73%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 4.13
3 May 2024
Exit
SOGP NASDAQ · Sound Group Inc.
2.35
20% entry drawdown
-21.30%
Entry 23 Feb 2024 2.98
3 May 2024
Entry
STEX NASDAQ · Streamex Corp
1.71
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.82
3 May 2024
Entry
TDAY NYSE · USA TODAY Co., Inc.
3.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.24
3 May 2024
Entry
TLSA NASDAQ · Tiziana Life Sciences Ltd
0.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.72
3 May 2024
Exit
TOI NASDAQ · Oncology Institute Inc
1.07
20% entry drawdown
-20.74%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 1.35
3 May 2024
Exit
ULBI NASDAQ · Ultralife Corporation
12.55
Reversal Risk Warning
62.56%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 7.72
3 May 2024
Entry
UTHR NASDAQ · United Therapeutics Corporation
262.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.15
3 May 2024
Entry
VMI NYSE · Valmont Industries Inc
242.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
26 Apr 2024
Exit
ARQ NASDAQ · Arq Inc
7.87
Reversal Risk Warning
214.80%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 2.50
26 Apr 2024
Entry
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
15.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.55
26 Apr 2024
Exit
BVS NASDAQ · Bioventus Inc
3.98
20% entry drawdown
-26.84%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 5.44
26 Apr 2024
Entry
BWLP NYSE · BW LPG Limited
9.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
26 Apr 2024
Exit
CDNA NASDAQ · CareDx Inc
7.56
20% entry drawdown
-20.67%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 9.53
26 Apr 2024
Entry
CECO NASDAQ · CECO Environmental Corp.
25.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.01
26 Apr 2024
Exit
DOGZ NASDAQ · Dogness International Corp Class A
6.16
20% entry drawdown
-23.48%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 8.05
26 Apr 2024
Exit
GBDC NASDAQ · Golub Capital BDC Inc
13.51
Reversal Risk Warning
28.54%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 10.51
26 Apr 2024
Exit
GILT NASDAQ · Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd
5.14
20% entry drawdown
-20.43%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 6.46
26 Apr 2024
Entry
GOOG NASDAQ · Alphabet Inc Class C
172.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.85
26 Apr 2024
Entry
GOOGL NASDAQ · Alphabet Inc Class A
170.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.87
26 Apr 2024
Exit
GOSS NASDAQ · Gossamer Bio Inc
0.67
20% entry drawdown
-21.04%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 0.85
26 Apr 2024
Entry
GSL NYSE · Global Ship Lease Inc
19.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
26 Apr 2024
Exit
HE NYSE · Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc
9.88
20% entry drawdown
-23.47%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 12.91
26 Apr 2024
Entry
HURA NASDAQ · TuHURA Biosciences Inc
5.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.85
26 Apr 2024
Exit
IMMX NASDAQ · Immix Biopharma Inc
2.13
20% entry drawdown
-20.22%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 2.67
26 Apr 2024
Entry
MCRB NASDAQ · Seres Therapeutics Inc
16.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
26 Apr 2024
Entry
MOG-A NYSE · Moog Inc
166.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.69
26 Apr 2024
Entry
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
9.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07