Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AMPH NASDAQ · Amphastar P
26 Jun 202621.78
18.72
-14.05%
Buy
0.46
-
-
AMPL NASDAQ · Amplitude Inc
22 May 20266.70
9.18
37.01%
Buy
0.34
-
-
AMPY NYSE · Amplify Energy Corp
13 Jun 20253.56
3.94
10.67%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
19 Sep 2025166.10
146.69
-11.69%
Buy
1.61
-
-
AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc
6 Jun 202515.51
24.94
60.80%
Buy
0.49
-
-
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
23 May 202511.11
14.88
33.93%
Buy
0.02
-
-
AMSF NASDAQ · AMERISAFE Inc
19 Jun 202631.32
34.46
10.03%
Buy
0.17
-
-
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
12 Jun 20261.26
1.14
-9.52%
Buy
0.28
-
-
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
8 May 20267.97
9.91
24.34%
Buy
1.34
-
-
ANF NYSE · Abercrombie & Fitch Company
6 Jun 202582.99
93.07
12.15%
Buy
0.22
-
-
ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc
3 Jul 20266.06
6.24
2.97%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc
24 Oct 202510.01
15.60
55.84%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc
12 Sep 20252.42
5.80
139.67%
Buy
0.33
-
-
ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20262.85
4.50
57.89%
Buy
0.07
-
-
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
10 Jul 202660.44
60.44
New Entry week
Buy
0.00
-
-
AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc
26 Dec 20258.28
14.34
73.19%
Buy
0.41
-
-
APOG NASDAQ · Apogee Enterprises Inc
5 Jun 202637.01
38.82
4.89%
Buy
0.04
-
-
APPF NASDAQ · Appfolio Inc
15 May 2026151.70
175.58
15.74%
Buy
0.02
-
-
APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp
5 Jun 202624.73
25.36
2.55%
Buy
0.08
-
-
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
6 Jun 202566.64
60.57
-9.11%
Buy
0.17
-
-
APXT NASDAQ · Apex Treasury Corporation
19 Jun 202610.06
10.07
0.10%
Buy
1.12
-
-
APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc
13 Jun 20251.75
4.38
150.29%
Buy
0.86
-
-
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
10 Jul 20260.42
0.42
New Entry week
Buy
0.40
-
-
ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
31 Oct 20257.05
8.46
20.03%
Buy
0.33
-
-
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
27 Feb 20268.23
6.97
-15.31%
Buy
0.18
-
-
ARDT NYSE · Ardent Health Partners, Inc.
27 Feb 20269.39
10.08
7.35%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ARDX NASDAQ · Ardelyx Inc
18 Jul 20254.41
5.28
19.73%
Buy
0.03
-
-
ARES NYSE · Ares Management LP
22 May 2026122.41
121.81
-0.49%
Buy
0.24
-
-
ARHS NASDAQ · Arhaus Inc
26 Jun 20268.41
7.86
-6.54%
Buy
0.42
-
-
ARKR NASDAQ · Ark Restaurants Corp
2 Jan 20266.61
5.85
-11.50%
Buy
0.11
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2731-2760 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
30 Jan 2026
Entry
FIZZ NASDAQ · National Beverage Corp
34.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
30 Jan 2026
Exit
FLNC NASDAQ · Fluence Energy Inc
30.77
Reversal Risk Warning
427.79%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 5.83
30 Jan 2026
Exit
GLSI NASDAQ · Greenwich Lifesciences Inc
30.07
Reversal Risk Warning
45.37%
Entry 26 Dec 2025 20.69
30 Jan 2026
Exit
GROW NASDAQ · US Global Investors Inc
3.28
Reversal Risk Warning
40.59%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 2.33
30 Jan 2026
Exit
GUG NYSE · Guggenheim Active Allocation Fund
15.24
Reversal Risk Warning
38.37%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 11.01
30 Jan 2026
Exit
HOVNP NASDAQ · Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. PFD DEP1/1000A
20.22
Reversal Risk Warning
44.06%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 14.04
30 Jan 2026
Exit
IBIO NASDAQ · iBio, Inc. Common Stock
2.10
20% entry drawdown
-22.22%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 2.70
30 Jan 2026
Exit
JBDI NASDAQ · JBDI Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
1.20
20% entry drawdown
-20.14%
Entry 21 Mar 2025 1.50
30 Jan 2026
Entry
KELYA NASDAQ · Kelly Services A Inc
10.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
30 Jan 2026
Entry
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
13.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
30 Jan 2026
Entry
KPRX NASDAQ · Kiora Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
30 Jan 2026
Entry
LCCC NASDAQ · Lakeshore Acquisition III Corp. Ordinary Shares
10.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.02
30 Jan 2026
Exit
LCUT NASDAQ · Lifetime Brands Inc
3.13
20% entry drawdown
-27.44%
Entry 5 Dec 2025 4.31
30 Jan 2026
Entry
LGO NASDAQ · Largo Resources Ltd
1.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.40
30 Jan 2026
Exit
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
4.74
20% entry drawdown
-31.99%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 6.97
30 Jan 2026
Exit
LYG NYSE · Lloyds Banking Group PLC ADR
5.83
Reversal Risk Warning
166.98%
Entry 8 Mar 2024 2.18
30 Jan 2026
Entry
MDLZ NASDAQ · Mondelez International Inc
57.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
30 Jan 2026
Entry
MED NYSE · MEDIFAST INC
11.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
30 Jan 2026
Exit
MERC NASDAQ · Mercer International Inc
2.03
20% entry drawdown
-20.39%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 2.55
30 Jan 2026
Exit
MLI NYSE · Mueller Industries Inc
67.68
Reversal Risk Warning
212.30%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 21.67
30 Jan 2026
Entry
MTEK NASDAQ · Maris Tech Ltd
1.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
30 Jan 2026
Exit
NBBK NASDAQ · NB Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
21.58
Reversal Risk Warning
15.35%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 18.71
30 Jan 2026
Exit
NCEW NASDAQ · New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares
6.34
20% entry drawdown
-24.52%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 8.40
30 Jan 2026
Entry
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
1.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
30 Jan 2026
Entry
NSYS NASDAQ · Nortech Systems Incorporated
8.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
30 Jan 2026
Exit
OMH NASDAQ · Ohmyhome Limited Ordinary Shares
1.01
20% entry drawdown
-35.26%
Entry 16 Jan 2026 1.56
30 Jan 2026
Entry
ORKT NASDAQ · Orangekloud Technology Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
1.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
30 Jan 2026
Entry
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
2.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
30 Jan 2026
Entry
PMN NASDAQ · ProMIS Neurosciences Inc.
14.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
30 Jan 2026
Entry
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
33.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.26