Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68 Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720 Avg 3056.5/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806 Stop 41.2% · Warning 58.2% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
29
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25 MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80 MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
37
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60 Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00 Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57 Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41 Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05 Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31 Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08 Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27 Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44 Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 871-900 of 1108 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
SAFE NYSE · Safehold Inc
18 Apr 202514.56
16.11
10.61%
Buy
0.20
-
-
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
10 Jul 20260.55
0.55
New Entry week
Buy
0.24
-
-
SAIA NASDAQ · Saia Inc
11 Jul 2025303.28
420.82
38.76%
Buy
0.13
-
-
SANA NASDAQ · Sana Biotechnology Inc
6 Jun 20252.84
3.85
35.56%
Buy
0.21
-
-
SARO NYSE · StandardAero, Inc.
19 Jun 202627.75
27.93
0.65%
Buy
0.16
-
-
SBAC NASDAQ · SBA Communications Corp
3 Apr 2026202.81
190.03
-6.30%
Buy
0.20
-
-
SCL NYSE · Stepan Company
19 Dec 202546.82
56.57
20.82%
Buy
0.41
-
-
SCM NYSE · Stellus Capital Investment
26 Jun 20268.32
8.32
0.02%
Buy
0.20
-
-
SCOR NASDAQ · Comscore Inc
11 Apr 20255.63
7.45
32.33%
Buy
0.05
-
-
SDGR NASDAQ · Schrodinger Inc
26 Jun 202616.86
16.49
-2.19%
Buy
1.10
-
-
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
15 May 202661.76
55.18
-10.65%
Buy
0.67
-
-
SEED NASDAQ · Origin Agritech Ltd
22 Aug 20251.10
1.01
-8.47%
Buy
0.59
-
-
SEER NASDAQ · Seer Inc
22 Dec 20231.82
2.17
19.23%
Buy
0.27
-
-
SEG NYSE · Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.
20 Jun 202519.46
25.60
31.55%
Buy
0.21
-
-
SEM NYSE · Select Medical Holdings
17 Oct 202513.22
16.51
24.86%
Buy
0.15
-
-
SGML NASDAQ · Sigma Lithium Resources Corp
15 Aug 20256.40
11.91
86.09%
Buy
0.92
-
-
SGMT NASDAQ · Sagimet Biosciences Inc. Series A Common Stock
6 Jun 20255.56
7.37
32.55%
Buy
0.25
-
-
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
22 May 20260.72
0.87
21.34%
Buy
0.46
-
-
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
21 Mar 202512.65
12.71
0.46%
Buy
0.44
-
-
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
15 Aug 20255.19
10.02
93.06%
Buy
0.54
-
-
SIBN NASDAQ · Si-Bone Inc
29 May 202614.10
17.56
24.54%
Buy
0.09
-
-
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
27 Feb 20265.50
5.70
3.68%
Buy
0.06
-
-
SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
4 Jul 202523.18
30.42
31.25%
Buy
0.57
-
-
SJ NASDAQ · Scienjoy Holding Corp
9 Jan 20260.80
1.06
33.18%
Buy
0.81
-
-
SJM NYSE · The J. M. Smucker Company
12 Jun 2026116.49
111.60
-4.20%
Buy
0.15
-
-
SKIL NYSE · Skillsoft Corp.
24 Apr 20266.43
7.12
10.73%
Buy
0.09
-
-
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
10 Jul 20260.91
0.91
New Entry week
Buy
0.21
-
-
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
15 May 20264.77
4.73
-0.84%
Buy
0.39
-
-
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
10 Jul 20261.27
1.27
New Entry week
Buy
0.09
-
-
SLGN NYSE · Silgan Holdings Inc
26 Jun 202646.23
44.98
-2.70%
Buy
0.38
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2641-2670 of 10720
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MTB NYSE · M&T Bank Corporation
234.73
Reversal Risk Warning
98.80%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 118.07
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MWA NYSE · Mueller Water Products
29.03
Reversal Risk Warning
106.76%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 14.04
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NATR NASDAQ · Natures Sunshine Products Inc
26.33
Reversal Risk Warning
70.31%
Entry 30 May 2025 15.46
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
4.46
20% entry drawdown
-24.78%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 5.93
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NDSN NASDAQ · Nordson Corporation
288.49
Reversal Risk Warning
38.35%
Entry 30 May 2025 208.52
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NKSH NASDAQ · National Bankshares Inc
38.13
Reversal Risk Warning
60.96%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 23.69
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NSC NYSE · Norfolk Southern Corporation
305.16
Reversal Risk Warning
41.90%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 215.06
6 Feb 2026
Entry
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
89.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
10.14
20% entry drawdown
-25.22%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 13.56
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NWFL NASDAQ · Norwood Financial Corp
31.56
Reversal Risk Warning
36.48%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 23.13
6 Feb 2026
Entry
OFAL NASDAQ · OFAL
0.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.61
6 Feb 2026
Entry
OFLX NASDAQ · Omega Flex Inc
36.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.18
6 Feb 2026
Entry
OMH NASDAQ · Ohmyhome Limited Ordinary Shares
1.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.00
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ONB NASDAQ · Old National Bancorp
25.41
Reversal Risk Warning
98.29%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 12.81
6 Feb 2026
Exit
OPAD NYSE · Offerpad Solutions Inc
9.30
20% entry drawdown
-25.60%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 12.50
6 Feb 2026
Exit
OSK NYSE · Oshkosh Corporation
170.38
Reversal Risk Warning
71.57%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 99.31
6 Feb 2026
Exit
OVLY NASDAQ · Oak Valley Bancorp
33.62
Reversal Risk Warning
35.90%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 24.74
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PACB NASDAQ · Pacific Biosciences of California
1.82
20% entry drawdown
-29.46%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 2.58
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PATK NASDAQ · Patrick Industries Inc
139.63
Reversal Risk Warning
148.98%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 56.08
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PDSB NASDAQ · PDS Biotechnology Corp
0.72
20% entry drawdown
-20.92%
Entry 26 Dec 2025 0.90
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PEP NASDAQ · PepsiCo Inc
166.98
Reversal Risk Warning
21.36%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 137.59
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PERF NYSE · Perfect Corp.
1.37
20% entry drawdown
-24.73%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 1.82
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PFS NYSE · Provident Financial Services Inc
23.28
Reversal Risk Warning
59.35%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 14.61
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.74
20% entry drawdown
-20.98%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 0.94
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PNC NYSE · PNC Financial Services Group Inc
240.63
Reversal Risk Warning
98.66%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 121.13
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PRQR NASDAQ · ProQR Therapeutics BV
1.50
20% entry drawdown
-20.21%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 1.88
6 Feb 2026
Exit
QCRH NASDAQ · QCR Holdings Inc
95.18
Reversal Risk Warning
106.21%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 46.16
6 Feb 2026
Entry
QXL NASDAQ · Quantum X Labs Inc.
1.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
6 Feb 2026
Exit
RF NYSE · Regions Financial Corporation
30.35
Reversal Risk Warning
75.56%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 17.29
6 Feb 2026
Exit
RNST NYSE · Renasant Corporation
41.29
Reversal Risk Warning
53.93%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 26.83