Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 871-900 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
4 Jul 202523.18
30.59
31.99%
Buy
0.57
-
-
SJ NASDAQ · Scienjoy Holding Corp
9 Jan 20260.80
0.79
-0.46%
Buy
0.81
-
-
SJM NYSE · The J. M. Smucker Company
12 Jun 2026116.49
112.01
-3.85%
Buy
0.15
-
-
SKIL NYSE · Skillsoft Corp.
24 Apr 20266.43
6.44
0.16%
Buy
0.09
-
-
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
10 Jul 20260.91
0.84
-7.23%
Buy
0.21
-
-
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
15 May 20264.77
4.87
1.99%
Buy
0.39
-
-
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
10 Jul 20261.27
1.18
-7.09%
Buy
0.09
-
-
SLGN NYSE · Silgan Holdings Inc
26 Jun 202646.23
47.18
2.05%
Buy
0.38
-
-
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
17 Apr 20267.53
10.50
39.44%
Buy
0.62
-
-
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
3 Jul 20264.19
3.79
-9.55%
Buy
0.43
-
-
SLVM NYSE · Sylvamo Corp
5 Sep 202544.03
38.34
-12.92%
Buy
0.17
-
-
SM NYSE · SM Energy Co
6 Feb 202620.76
31.32
50.85%
Buy
0.69
-
-
SMC NYSE · Summit Midstream Corporation
14 Nov 202523.76
29.44
23.91%
Buy
0.89
-
-
SMHI NYSE · SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc
30 May 20255.34
7.91
48.13%
Buy
0.10
-
-
SMPL NASDAQ · Simply Good Foods Co
12 Jun 202612.57
11.08
-11.85%
Buy
0.01
-
-
SMRT NYSE · SmartRent Inc
4 Jul 20251.11
0.96
-13.13%
Buy
0.68
-
-
SMTI NASDAQ · Sanara Medtech Inc
8 May 202618.40
25.00
35.87%
Buy
0.24
-
-
SMWB NYSE · SimilarWeb Ltd
19 Jun 20264.99
6.96
39.48%
Buy
1.21
-
-
SNDL NASDAQ · SNDL Inc.
1 May 20261.41
1.28
-9.22%
Buy
0.06
-
-
SOCA NASDAQ · Solarius Capital Acquisition Corp.
27 Mar 202610.14
10.28
1.38%
Buy
0.20
-
-
SOTK NASDAQ · Sono-Tek Corp
2 May 20254.01
5.50
37.33%
Buy
0.05
-
-
SPEG NASDAQ · Silver Pegasus Acquisition Corp.
24 Apr 202610.22
10.31
0.83%
Buy
2.94
-
-
SPMC NYSE · Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.
15 May 202610.76
10.20
-5.24%
Buy
0.30
-
-
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20263.92
3.19
-18.62%
Buy
1.23
-
-
SPRU NYSE · Spruce Power Holding Corp
19 Sep 20251.76
2.40
36.36%
Buy
0.07
-
-
SPT NASDAQ · Sprout Social Inc
8 May 20267.40
8.62
16.49%
Buy
0.05
-
-
SQFT NASDAQ · Presidio Property Trust
19 Jun 20262.68
2.32
-13.43%
Buy
0.02
-
-
SRAD NASDAQ · Sportradar Group AG
26 Jun 202614.85
14.38
-3.16%
Buy
0.23
-
-
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
20 Jun 20252.97
2.64
-11.11%
Buy
0.22
-
-
SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
6 Jun 20255.65
6.96
23.19%
Buy
1.27
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2701-2730 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MSA NYSE · MSA Safety
192.02
Reversal Risk Warning
21.88%
Entry 16 May 2025 157.54
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MTB NYSE · M&T Bank Corporation
234.73
Reversal Risk Warning
98.80%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 118.07
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MWA NYSE · Mueller Water Products
29.03
Reversal Risk Warning
106.76%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 14.04
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NATR NASDAQ · Natures Sunshine Products Inc
26.33
Reversal Risk Warning
70.31%
Entry 30 May 2025 15.46
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
4.46
20% entry drawdown
-24.78%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 5.93
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NDSN NASDAQ · Nordson Corporation
288.49
Reversal Risk Warning
38.35%
Entry 30 May 2025 208.52
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NKSH NASDAQ · National Bankshares Inc
38.13
Reversal Risk Warning
60.96%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 23.69
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NSC NYSE · Norfolk Southern Corporation
305.16
Reversal Risk Warning
41.90%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 215.06
6 Feb 2026
Entry
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
89.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
10.14
20% entry drawdown
-25.22%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 13.56
6 Feb 2026
Exit
NWFL NASDAQ · Norwood Financial Corp
31.56
Reversal Risk Warning
36.48%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 23.13
6 Feb 2026
Entry
OFAL NASDAQ · OFAL
0.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.61
6 Feb 2026
Entry
OFLX NASDAQ · Omega Flex Inc
36.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.18
6 Feb 2026
Entry
OMH NASDAQ · Ohmyhome Limited Ordinary Shares
1.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.00
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ONB NASDAQ · Old National Bancorp
25.41
Reversal Risk Warning
98.29%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 12.81
6 Feb 2026
Exit
OPAD NYSE · Offerpad Solutions Inc
9.30
20% entry drawdown
-25.60%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 12.50
6 Feb 2026
Exit
OSK NYSE · Oshkosh Corporation
170.38
Reversal Risk Warning
71.57%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 99.31
6 Feb 2026
Exit
OVLY NASDAQ · Oak Valley Bancorp
33.62
Reversal Risk Warning
35.90%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 24.74
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PACB NASDAQ · Pacific Biosciences of California
1.82
20% entry drawdown
-29.46%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 2.58
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PATK NASDAQ · Patrick Industries Inc
139.63
Reversal Risk Warning
148.98%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 56.08
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PDSB NASDAQ · PDS Biotechnology Corp
0.72
20% entry drawdown
-20.92%
Entry 26 Dec 2025 0.90
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PEP NASDAQ · PepsiCo Inc
166.98
Reversal Risk Warning
21.36%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 137.59
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PERF NYSE · Perfect Corp.
1.37
20% entry drawdown
-24.73%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 1.82
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PFS NYSE · Provident Financial Services Inc
23.28
Reversal Risk Warning
59.35%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 14.61
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.74
20% entry drawdown
-20.98%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 0.94
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PNC NYSE · PNC Financial Services Group Inc
240.63
Reversal Risk Warning
98.66%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 121.13
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PRQR NASDAQ · ProQR Therapeutics BV
1.50
20% entry drawdown
-20.21%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 1.88
6 Feb 2026
Exit
QCRH NASDAQ · QCR Holdings Inc
95.18
Reversal Risk Warning
106.21%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 46.16
6 Feb 2026
Entry
QXL NASDAQ · Quantum X Labs Inc.
1.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
6 Feb 2026
Exit
RF NYSE · Regions Financial Corporation
30.35
Reversal Risk Warning
75.56%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 17.29