Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60
Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830
Avg 3054.5/yr ·
254.5/mo ·
58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880
Stop 41.8% ·
Warning 57.6%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ALC
NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI
NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01
MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR
NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG
NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77
MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB
NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55
MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST
NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL
NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51
MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI
NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65
MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA
NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11
MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU
NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW
NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58
MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO
NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP
NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX
NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25
MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS
NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY
NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT
NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48
MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN
NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73
MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM
NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD
NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04
MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN
NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13
MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
AMST
NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99
20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER
NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40
20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK
NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51
20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD
NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH
NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19
Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK
NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26
20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR
NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50
Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC
NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51
20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC
NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58
20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS
NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89
20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC
NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51
20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR
NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33
20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD
NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71
20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL
NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06
20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX
NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX
NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33
20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI
NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98
20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC
NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47
20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX
NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41
20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG
NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60
20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP
NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38
20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG
NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31
20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ
NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54
20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST
NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93
20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO
NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69
Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70
20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB
NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23
20% entry drawdown · -21.15%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
UA
NYSE · Under Armour Inc C
2 Jan 20265.07
6.86
35.31%
Buy
0.43
-
-
UAA
NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
2 Jan 20265.29
7.03
32.89%
Buy
0.54
-
-
UEIC
NASDAQ · Universal Electronics Inc
16 Jan 20263.96
4.53
14.27%
Buy
0.27
-
-
UFI
NYSE · Unifi Inc
23 Jan 20263.87
6.29
62.53%
Buy
0.21
-
-
UG
NASDAQ · United-Guardian Inc
30 Jan 20266.96
7.62
9.46%
Buy
0.32
-
-
UHAL
NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company
24 Apr 202652.59
71.43
35.82%
Buy
0.01
-
-
UIS
NYSE · Unisys Corporation
1 May 20262.66
3.12
17.29%
Buy
0.41
-
-
ULBI
NASDAQ · Ultralife Corporation
30 Jan 20266.38
5.30
-16.93%
Buy
0.30
-
-
UNCY
NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
24 Oct 20255.13
5.40
5.26%
Buy
0.28
-
-
UNH
NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
29 Aug 2025301.69
420.74
39.46%
Buy
0.23
-
-
UPBD
NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
19 Jun 202618.32
20.46
11.68%
Buy
0.09
-
-
UPS
NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
15 Aug 202582.73
114.79
38.75%
Buy
0.22
-
-
UPWK
NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
17 Jul 20269.06
8.83
-2.54%
Buy
0.10
-
-
USNA
NYSE · USANA Health Sciences Inc
22 May 202618.74
21.32
13.77%
Buy
0.04
-
-
USPH
NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
10 Jul 202672.54
74.58
2.81%
Buy
0.07
-
-
UTMD
NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc
13 Jun 202553.78
67.14
24.83%
Buy
0.14
-
-
UTSI
NASDAQ · UTStarcom Holdings Corp
9 Jan 20262.45
2.39
-2.45%
Buy
0.26
-
-
UTZ
NYSE · Utz Brands Inc
3 Jul 20268.27
14.10
70.50%
Buy
0.58
-
-
UYSC
NASDAQ · UY Scuti Acquisition Corp.
13 Mar 202610.37
10.78
3.95%
Buy
2.71
-
-
VAC
NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
16 Jan 202658.62
94.39
61.01%
Buy
0.04
-
-
VALN
NASDAQ · Valneva SE ADR
24 Jan 20254.90
4.78
-2.45%
Buy
0.13
-
-
VALU
NASDAQ · Value Line Inc
9 May 202537.98
38.15
0.45%
Buy
0.02
-
-
VANI
NASDAQ · Vivani Medical Inc.
30 May 20251.26
1.28
1.59%
Buy
0.19
-
-
VC
NASDAQ · Visteon Corp
16 May 202585.81
103.75
20.91%
Buy
0.47
-
-
VCEL
NASDAQ · Vericel Corp Ord
31 Oct 202535.06
45.05
28.49%
Buy
0.01
-
-
VEEV
NYSE · Veeva Systems Inc Class A
29 May 2026174.34
186.24
6.83%
Buy
0.39
-
-
VFC
NYSE · VF Corporation
11 Jul 202512.07
17.03
41.11%
Buy
0.01
-
-
VHI
NYSE · Valhi Inc
6 Feb 202615.34
13.62
-11.19%
Buy
1.25
-
-
VIR
NASDAQ · Vir Biotechnology Inc
24 Oct 20255.98
8.69
45.32%
Buy
1.41
-
-
VIRC
NASDAQ · Virco Manufacturing Corporation
27 Mar 20266.20
6.00
-3.30%
Buy
0.24
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
27 Jun 2025
Exit
FWDI
NASDAQ · Forward Industries, Inc.
6.06
20% entry drawdown
-22.90%
Entry 9 May 2025
7.86
27 Jun 2025
Exit
GNE
NYSE · Genie Energy Ltd
27.22
Reversal Risk Warning
72.66%
Entry 12 Jul 2024
15.77
27 Jun 2025
Exit
GREE
NASDAQ · Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc
1.15
20% entry drawdown
-27.67%
Entry 23 May 2025
1.59
27 Jun 2025
Exit
GRWG
NASDAQ · GrowGeneration Corp
0.87
20% entry drawdown
-26.27%
Entry 6 Jun 2025
1.18
27 Jun 2025
Entry
HBM
NYSE · Hudbay Minerals Inc.
10.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.40
27 Jun 2025
Exit
HEI-A
NYSE · HEICO Corporation
258.14
Reversal Risk Warning
74.16%
Entry 9 Feb 2024
148.22
27 Jun 2025
Entry
HLIT
NASDAQ · Harmonic Inc
9.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.30
27 Jun 2025
Entry
HOFT
NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
11.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.06
27 Jun 2025
Entry
HRI
NYSE · Herc Holdings Inc
128.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.16
27 Jun 2025
Entry
HURC
NASDAQ · Hurco Companies Inc
18.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.37
27 Jun 2025
Exit
IIIN
NYSE · Insteel Industries Inc
36.42
Reversal Risk Warning
31.84%
Entry 31 Jan 2025
27.62
27 Jun 2025
Entry
INGM
NYSE · Ingram Micro Holding Corporation
20.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.69
27 Jun 2025
Entry
IQV
NYSE · IQVIA Holdings Inc
157.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.21
27 Jun 2025
Entry
IREN
NASDAQ · IREN Ltd
14.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.15
27 Jun 2025
Exit
ITRI
NASDAQ · Itron Inc
132.46
Reversal Risk Warning
91.86%
Entry 1 Dec 2023
69.04
27 Jun 2025
Entry
JBHT
NASDAQ · JB Hunt Transport Services Inc
143.96
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.16
27 Jun 2025
Entry
JKS
NYSE · JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited
20.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.28
27 Jun 2025
Entry
KN
NYSE · Knowles Cor
17.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.49
27 Jun 2025
Entry
KWR
NYSE · Quaker Chemical Corporation
113.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.38
27 Jun 2025
Entry
LAND
NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
9.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.35
27 Jun 2025
Entry
LASR
NASDAQ · nLIGHT Inc
19.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.68
27 Jun 2025
Entry
LILAK
NASDAQ · Liberty Latin America Ltd Class C
3.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.05
27 Jun 2025
Entry
LPRO
NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
2.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.10
27 Jun 2025
Entry
LTRX
NASDAQ · Lantronix Inc
3.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.70
27 Jun 2025
Entry
LXRX
NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
0.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.36
27 Jun 2025
Entry
MAT
NASDAQ · Mattel Inc
19.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.05
27 Jun 2025
Entry
MATW
NASDAQ · Matthews International Corporation
23.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.33
27 Jun 2025
Exit
MSFT
NASDAQ · Microsoft Corporation
491.99
Reversal Risk Warning
45.87%
Entry 14 Jul 2023
337.27
27 Jun 2025
Exit
NFLX
NASDAQ · Netflix Inc
132.31
Reversal Risk Warning
171.82%
Entry 22 Dec 2023
48.68
27 Jun 2025
Entry
NKTR
NASDAQ · Nektar Therapeutics
25.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.10