Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 961-990 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
TVA NASDAQ · Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp
12 Jun 202610.44
10.52
0.77%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TVAI NASDAQ · Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation II Class A Ordinary Shares
23 Jan 202610.20
10.34
1.37%
Buy
1.95
-
-
TWI NYSE · Titan International Inc
19 Dec 20257.85
7.66
-2.42%
Buy
0.14
-
-
TXG NASDAQ · 10X Genomics Inc
25 Jul 202514.11
43.74
209.99%
Buy
1.16
-
-
TXMD NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc
18 Apr 20251.01
2.06
103.96%
Buy
0.25
-
-
TXO NYSE · MorningStar Partners, L.P.
13 Feb 202611.98
12.80
6.84%
Buy
0.18
-
-
TYL NYSE · Tyler Technologies Inc
1 May 2026335.50
319.51
-4.77%
Buy
0.13
-
-
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
24 Apr 20269.70
10.94
12.78%
Buy
1.12
-
-
UA NYSE · Under Armour Inc C
2 Jan 20265.07
7.28
43.59%
Buy
0.43
-
-
UAA NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
2 Jan 20265.29
7.43
40.45%
Buy
0.54
-
-
UEIC NASDAQ · Universal Electronics Inc
16 Jan 20263.96
4.66
17.55%
Buy
0.27
-
-
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
23 Jan 20263.87
6.32
63.31%
Buy
0.21
-
-
UG NASDAQ · United-Guardian Inc
30 Jan 20266.96
7.55
8.45%
Buy
0.32
-
-
UHAL NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company
24 Apr 202652.59
71.30
35.58%
Buy
0.01
-
-
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
1 May 20262.66
3.64
36.84%
Buy
0.41
-
-
ULBI NASDAQ · Ultralife Corporation
30 Jan 20266.38
5.51
-13.64%
Buy
0.30
-
-
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
24 Oct 20255.13
5.38
4.87%
Buy
0.28
-
-
UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
29 Aug 2025301.69
426.09
41.23%
Buy
0.23
-
-
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
19 Jun 202618.32
22.16
20.96%
Buy
0.09
-
-
UPS NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
15 Aug 202582.73
117.72
42.29%
Buy
0.22
-
-
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
29 May 202633.79
29.51
-12.67%
Buy
0.55
-
-
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
17 Jul 20269.06
9.06
New Entry week
Buy
0.10
-
-
USNA NYSE · USANA Health Sciences Inc
22 May 202618.74
21.82
16.44%
Buy
0.04
-
-
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
10 Jul 202672.54
73.56
1.41%
Buy
0.07
-
-
UTMD NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc
13 Jun 202553.78
69.80
29.78%
Buy
0.14
-
-
UTSI NASDAQ · UTStarcom Holdings Corp
9 Jan 20262.45
2.54
3.67%
Buy
0.26
-
-
UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc
3 Jul 20268.27
7.21
-12.82%
Buy
0.58
-
-
UYSC NASDAQ · UY Scuti Acquisition Corp.
13 Mar 202610.37
10.78
3.95%
Buy
2.71
-
-
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
16 Jan 202658.62
99.98
70.55%
Buy
0.04
-
-
VALN NASDAQ · Valneva SE ADR
24 Jan 20254.90
5.00
2.04%
Buy
0.13
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2581-2610 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
13 Feb 2026
Entry
TACO NASDAQ · Berto Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
10.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
13 Feb 2026
Exit
TBLD NASDAQ · Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust Common Stock
21.66
Reversal Risk Warning
64.12%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 13.20
13 Feb 2026
Exit
TEX NYSE · Terex Corporation
68.85
Reversal Risk Warning
56.89%
Entry 23 May 2025 43.89
13 Feb 2026
Exit
THC NYSE · Tenet Healthcare Corporation
231.10
Reversal Risk Warning
184.82%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 81.14
13 Feb 2026
Entry
TXO NYSE · MorningStar Partners, L.P.
11.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
13 Feb 2026
Exit
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
2.24
20% entry drawdown
-22.22%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 2.88
13 Feb 2026
Exit
UNP NYSE · Union Pacific Corporation
257.97
Reversal Risk Warning
30.73%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 197.33
13 Feb 2026
Exit
USFD NYSE · US Foods Holding Corp
99.93
Reversal Risk Warning
131.16%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 43.23
13 Feb 2026
Exit
VOD NASDAQ · Vodafone Group PLC ADR
15.28
Reversal Risk Warning
87.19%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 8.16
13 Feb 2026
Entry
VOR NASDAQ · Vor Biopharma Inc
12.78
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
13 Feb 2026
Entry
VRA NASDAQ · Vera Bradley Inc
2.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
13 Feb 2026
Exit
VRME NASDAQ · VerifyMe Inc
1.01
20% entry drawdown
-20.47%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 1.27
13 Feb 2026
Exit
VTR NYSE · Ventas Inc
84.70
Reversal Risk Warning
102.71%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 41.78
13 Feb 2026
Exit
VZ NYSE · Verizon Communications Inc
48.27
Reversal Risk Warning
57.85%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 30.58
13 Feb 2026
Exit
WF NYSE · Woori Financial Group Inc
80.79
Reversal Risk Warning
184.19%
Entry 23 Feb 2024 28.43
13 Feb 2026
Entry
WFF NASDAQ · WF Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
2.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.50
13 Feb 2026
Exit
WPC NYSE · W P Carey Inc
73.20
Reversal Risk Warning
33.31%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 54.91
13 Feb 2026
Exit
WSBK NASDAQ · Winchester Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
12.70
Reversal Risk Warning
21.65%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 10.44
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ACNT NASDAQ · Synalloy Corporation
17.20
Reversal Risk Warning
79.92%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 9.56
6 Feb 2026
Exit
AFCG NASDAQ · AFC Gamma Inc
2.13
20% entry drawdown
-23.86%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 2.80
6 Feb 2026
Entry
ALM NASDAQ · Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares
14.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.65
6 Feb 2026
Entry
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
6 Feb 2026
Exit
AMBP NYSE · Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
4.56
Reversal Risk Warning
76.44%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 2.59
6 Feb 2026
Exit
AME NYSE · Ametek Inc
231.20
Reversal Risk Warning
49.57%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 154.57
6 Feb 2026
Exit
AMGN NASDAQ · Amgen Inc
378.79
Reversal Risk Warning
70.75%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 221.84
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ASR NYSE · Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste SAB de CV ADR
361.12
Reversal Risk Warning
46.75%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 246.08
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ASRV NASDAQ · AmeriServ Financial Inc
3.79
Reversal Risk Warning
59.71%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 2.37
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ATMU NYSE · Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.
61.34
Reversal Risk Warning
92.12%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 31.93
6 Feb 2026
Exit
AUB NYSE · Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp
41.00
Reversal Risk Warning
38.91%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 29.51
6 Feb 2026
Entry
AVNS NYSE · Avanos Medical Inc
14.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.06