View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

479.75

Total Return

379.75%

CAGR

56.00% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16

Current Holdings

1081

Transactions

10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk

Exit Mix

4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated

237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc

30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc

32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock

71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc

2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc

49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc

62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc

41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc

10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc

78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC

4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc

9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ONT NYSE · Onterris

20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp

6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation

164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd

5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc

9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc

14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc

2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%

AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.

34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%

AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC

11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%

ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The

1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%

ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc

6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%

AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc

1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%

BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global

1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%

BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc

11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%

BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc

1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%

EIX NYSE · Edison International

77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%

EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc

1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%

EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR

1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%

GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock

1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%

GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares

1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%

HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc

51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%

INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.

3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%

JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%

LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation

3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%

LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.

7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%

MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated

4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%

OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.

2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%

OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc

2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%

PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc

62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%

PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc

2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%

PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc

0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%

PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares

0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%

QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc

12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%

RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.

10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%

RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc

2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%

SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc

384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%

SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited

1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%

VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc

2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%

WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc

142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%

WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock

14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%

ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.

5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 961-990 of 1081 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

TVA NASDAQ · Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp

12 Jun 202610.44

10.52

0.77%

Buy

0.05

TVAI NASDAQ · Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation II Class A Ordinary Shares

23 Jan 202610.20

10.34

1.37%

Buy

1.95

TWI NYSE · Titan International Inc

19 Dec 20257.85

7.66

-2.42%

Buy

0.14

TXG NASDAQ · 10X Genomics Inc

25 Jul 202514.11

43.74

209.99%

Buy

1.16

TXMD NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc

18 Apr 20251.01

2.06

103.96%

Buy

0.25

TXO NYSE · MorningStar Partners, L.P.

13 Feb 202611.98

12.80

6.84%

Buy

0.18

TYL NYSE · Tyler Technologies Inc

1 May 2026335.50

319.51

-4.77%

Buy

0.13

TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo

24 Apr 20269.70

10.94

12.78%

Buy

1.12

UA NYSE · Under Armour Inc C

2 Jan 20265.07

7.28

43.59%

Buy

0.43

UAA NYSE · Under Armour Inc A

2 Jan 20265.29

7.43

40.45%

Buy

0.54

UEIC NASDAQ · Universal Electronics Inc

16 Jan 20263.96

4.66

17.55%

Buy

0.27

UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc

23 Jan 20263.87

6.32

63.31%

Buy

0.21

UG NASDAQ · United-Guardian Inc

30 Jan 20266.96

7.55

8.45%

Buy

0.32

UHAL NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company

24 Apr 202652.59

71.30

35.58%

Buy

0.01

UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation

1 May 20262.66

3.64

36.84%

Buy

0.41

ULBI NASDAQ · Ultralife Corporation

30 Jan 20266.38

5.51

-13.64%

Buy

0.30

UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc

24 Oct 20255.13

5.38

4.87%

Buy

0.28

UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

29 Aug 2025301.69

426.09

41.23%

Buy

0.23

UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.

19 Jun 202618.32

22.16

20.96%

Buy

0.09

UPS NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc

15 Aug 202582.73

117.72

42.29%

Buy

0.22

UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc

29 May 202633.79

29.51

-12.67%

Buy

0.55

UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc

17 Jul 20269.06

9.06

New Entry week

Buy

0.10

USNA NYSE · USANA Health Sciences Inc

22 May 202618.74

21.82

16.44%

Buy

0.04

USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

10 Jul 202672.54

73.56

1.41%

Buy

0.07

UTMD NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc

13 Jun 202553.78

69.80

29.78%

Buy

0.14

UTSI NASDAQ · UTStarcom Holdings Corp

9 Jan 20262.45

2.54

3.67%

Buy

0.26

UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc

3 Jul 20268.27

7.21

-12.82%

Buy

0.58

UYSC NASDAQ · UY Scuti Acquisition Corp.

13 Mar 202610.37

10.78

3.95%

Buy

2.71

VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide

16 Jan 202658.62

99.98

70.55%

Buy

0.04

VALN NASDAQ · Valneva SE ADR

24 Jan 20254.90

5.00

2.04%

Buy

0.13

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2611-2640 of 10781

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

6 Feb 2026

Exit

BBT NYSE · Beacon Financial Corporation

30.88

Reversal Risk Warning

58.92%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 19.43

6 Feb 2026

Exit

BFC NASDAQ · Bank First National Corp

150.94

Reversal Risk Warning

92.99%

Entry 24 Nov 2023 78.21

6 Feb 2026

Exit

BFST NASDAQ · Business First Bancshares Inc

29.52

Reversal Risk Warning

51.10%

Entry 28 Jul 2023 19.54

6 Feb 2026

Exit

BIP NYSE · Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP

36.44

Reversal Risk Warning

40.22%

Entry 15 Dec 2023 25.98

6 Feb 2026

Exit

BKD NYSE · Brookdale Senior Living Inc

16.12

Reversal Risk Warning

165.13%

Entry 14 Mar 2025 6.08

6 Feb 2026

Exit

BKU NYSE · BankUnited Inc

50.57

Reversal Risk Warning

111.70%

Entry 21 Jul 2023 23.89

6 Feb 2026

Exit

BLTE NASDAQ · Belite Bio Inc ADR

187.86

Reversal Risk Warning

283.78%

Entry 31 May 2024 48.95

6 Feb 2026

Exit

BMY NYSE · Bristol-Myers Squibb Company

61.34

Reversal Risk Warning

36.53%

Entry 2 Aug 2024 44.93

6 Feb 2026

Exit

BOKF NASDAQ · BOK Financial Corporation

135.26

Reversal Risk Warning

68.36%

Entry 15 Dec 2023 80.34

6 Feb 2026

Exit

BRC NYSE · Brady Corporation

92.01

Reversal Risk Warning

72.89%

Entry 8 Sep 2023 53.22

6 Feb 2026

Exit

BSM NYSE · Black Stone Minerals LP

14.38

Reversal Risk Warning

14.75%

Entry 26 Sep 2025 12.53

6 Feb 2026

Exit

BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc

1.80

20% entry drawdown

-23.73%

Entry 30 May 2025 2.36

6 Feb 2026

Exit

BTI NYSE · British American Tobacco p.l.c.

61.91

Reversal Risk Warning

97.81%

Entry 26 Jul 2024 31.30

6 Feb 2026

Exit

BWB NASDAQ · Bridgewater Bancshares Inc

19.97

Reversal Risk Warning

81.88%

Entry 21 Jul 2023 10.98

6 Feb 2026

Exit

CAH NYSE · Cardinal Health Inc

225.78

Reversal Risk Warning

134.10%

Entry 3 Nov 2023 96.44

6 Feb 2026

Exit

CB NYSE · Chubb Ltd

328.97

Reversal Risk Warning

60.76%

Entry 15 Sep 2023 204.64

6 Feb 2026

Exit

CBAN NYSE · Colony Bankcorp Inc.

20.82

Reversal Risk Warning

105.64%

Entry 4 Aug 2023 10.12

6 Feb 2026

Entry

CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store

33.51

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.50

6 Feb 2026

Exit

CCK NYSE · Crown Holdings Inc

112.11

Reversal Risk Warning

36.98%

Entry 10 May 2024 81.84

6 Feb 2026

Exit

CFBK NASDAQ · CF Bankshares Inc

33.21

Reversal Risk Warning

96.36%

Entry 21 Jul 2023 16.91

6 Feb 2026

Exit

CFG NYSE · Citizens Financial Group, Inc.

67.64

Reversal Risk Warning

161.04%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 25.91

6 Feb 2026

Entry

CLDT NYSE · Chatham Lodging Trust REIT

7.48

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.12

6 Feb 2026

Exit

CMC NYSE · Commercial Metals Company

82.72

Reversal Risk Warning

70.81%

Entry 29 Dec 2023 48.43

6 Feb 2026

Exit

CME NASDAQ · CME Group Inc

293.60

Reversal Risk Warning

62.06%

Entry 8 Sep 2023 181.16

6 Feb 2026

Entry

CNMD NYSE · CONMED Corporation

41.52

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27

6 Feb 2026

Exit

COLB NASDAQ · Columbia Banking System Inc

31.27

Reversal Risk Warning

73.30%

Entry 14 Jul 2023 18.04

6 Feb 2026

Exit

CPA NYSE · Copa Holdings SA

150.41

Reversal Risk Warning

72.56%

Entry 15 Dec 2023 87.16

6 Feb 2026

Exit

CZNC NASDAQ · Citizens & Northern Corp

23.19

Reversal Risk Warning

30.92%

Entry 17 Nov 2023 17.71

6 Feb 2026

Exit

DCI NYSE · Donaldson Company Inc

108.33

Reversal Risk Warning

66.73%

Entry 2 Feb 2024 64.98

6 Feb 2026

Entry

DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc

19.57

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15