Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68 Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720 Avg 3056.5/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806 Stop 41.2% · Warning 58.2% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
29
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25 MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80 MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
37
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60 Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00 Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57 Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41 Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05 Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31 Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08 Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27 Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44 Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1021-1050 of 1108 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
VFC NYSE · VF Corporation
11 Jul 202512.07
16.77
38.96%
Buy
0.01
-
-
VHI NYSE · Valhi Inc
6 Feb 202615.34
13.58
-11.45%
Buy
1.25
-
-
VIR NASDAQ · Vir Biotechnology Inc
24 Oct 20255.98
9.96
66.56%
Buy
1.41
-
-
VIRC NASDAQ · Virco Manufacturing Corporation
27 Mar 20266.20
6.36
2.50%
Buy
0.24
-
-
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
11 Jul 20254.93
8.34
69.17%
Buy
0.20
-
-
VLTO NYSE · Veralto Corporation
26 Jun 202689.61
92.70
3.45%
Buy
0.02
-
-
VOC NYSE · VOC Energy Trust
27 Feb 20263.17
3.04
-4.10%
Buy
1.30
-
-
VOR NASDAQ · Vor Biopharma Inc
13 Feb 202612.78
19.14
49.77%
Buy
0.02
-
-
VOYG NYSE · Voyager Technologies, Inc.
3 Apr 202626.82
31.16
16.18%
Buy
0.19
-
-
VRA NASDAQ · Vera Bradley Inc
13 Feb 20262.68
4.03
50.37%
Buy
0.18
-
-
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
10 Jul 202619.74
19.74
New Entry week
Buy
0.12
-
-
VREX NASDAQ · Varex Imaging Corp
11 Jul 20258.17
11.05
35.25%
Buy
0.15
-
-
VRNS NASDAQ · Varonis Systems
1 May 202626.50
44.53
68.04%
Buy
0.12
-
-
VRSK NASDAQ · Verisk Analytics Inc
12 Jun 2026183.29
185.39
1.14%
Buy
0.23
-
-
VRTS NYSE · Virtus Investment Partners, Inc.
8 May 2026143.93
160.21
11.31%
Buy
0.08
-
-
VSTM NASDAQ · Verastem Inc
1 Nov 20243.92
5.53
41.07%
Buy
0.90
-
-
VTEX NYSE · VTEX
13 Mar 20263.79
4.06
7.12%
Buy
0.54
-
-
VVV NYSE · Valvoline Inc
30 Jan 202632.72
38.64
18.09%
Buy
0.18
-
-
VYGR NASDAQ · Voyager Therapeutics Inc
15 Aug 20253.73
3.44
-7.77%
Buy
0.97
-
-
VYNE NASDAQ · Vyne Therapeutics Inc
8 May 20260.66
0.64
-3.48%
Buy
0.46
-
-
VYX NYSE · NCR Voyix Corporation
29 May 20267.19
8.06
12.10%
Buy
0.25
-
-
WALD NASDAQ · Waldencast Acquisition Corp
22 May 20261.30
1.73
33.08%
Buy
0.04
-
-
WAY NASDAQ · Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
3 Jul 202623.46
22.43
-4.39%
Buy
0.10
-
-
WBTN NASDAQ · WEBTOON Entertainment Inc. Common stock
16 May 20258.97
11.54
28.65%
Buy
0.00
-
-
WD NYSE · Walker & Dunlop Inc
15 May 202650.42
50.23
-0.38%
Buy
0.21
-
-
WDAY NASDAQ · Workday Inc
22 May 2026128.14
138.95
8.44%
Buy
0.14
-
-
WEAV NYSE · Weave Communications Inc
8 May 20265.94
6.93
16.67%
Buy
0.11
-
-
WEN NASDAQ · The Wendy’s Co
15 May 20267.88
7.55
-4.18%
Buy
0.34
-
-
WENN NASDAQ · Wen Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Shares
20 Mar 202610.20
10.30
0.98%
Buy
0.79
-
-
WEST NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
30 Jan 20264.83
7.43
53.83%
Buy
0.47
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2521-2550 of 10720
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
13 Feb 2026
Exit
TBLD NASDAQ · Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust Common Stock
21.66
Reversal Risk Warning
64.12%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 13.20
13 Feb 2026
Exit
TEX NYSE · Terex Corporation
68.85
Reversal Risk Warning
56.89%
Entry 23 May 2025 43.89
13 Feb 2026
Exit
THC NYSE · Tenet Healthcare Corporation
231.10
Reversal Risk Warning
184.82%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 81.14
13 Feb 2026
Entry
TXO NYSE · MorningStar Partners, L.P.
11.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
13 Feb 2026
Exit
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
2.24
20% entry drawdown
-22.22%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 2.88
13 Feb 2026
Exit
UNP NYSE · Union Pacific Corporation
257.97
Reversal Risk Warning
30.73%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 197.33
13 Feb 2026
Exit
USFD NYSE · US Foods Holding Corp
99.93
Reversal Risk Warning
131.16%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 43.23
13 Feb 2026
Exit
VOD NASDAQ · Vodafone Group PLC ADR
15.28
Reversal Risk Warning
87.19%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 8.16
13 Feb 2026
Entry
VOR NASDAQ · Vor Biopharma Inc
12.78
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
13 Feb 2026
Entry
VRA NASDAQ · Vera Bradley Inc
2.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
13 Feb 2026
Exit
VRME NASDAQ · VerifyMe Inc
1.01
20% entry drawdown
-20.47%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 1.27
13 Feb 2026
Exit
VTR NYSE · Ventas Inc
84.70
Reversal Risk Warning
102.71%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 41.78
13 Feb 2026
Exit
VZ NYSE · Verizon Communications Inc
48.27
Reversal Risk Warning
57.85%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 30.58
13 Feb 2026
Exit
WF NYSE · Woori Financial Group Inc
80.79
Reversal Risk Warning
184.19%
Entry 23 Feb 2024 28.43
13 Feb 2026
Entry
WFF NASDAQ · WF Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
2.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.50
13 Feb 2026
Exit
WPC NYSE · W P Carey Inc
73.20
Reversal Risk Warning
33.31%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 54.91
13 Feb 2026
Exit
WSBK NASDAQ · Winchester Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
12.70
Reversal Risk Warning
21.65%
Entry 19 Dec 2025 10.44
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ACNT NASDAQ · Synalloy Corporation
17.20
Reversal Risk Warning
79.92%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 9.56
6 Feb 2026
Exit
AFCG NASDAQ · AFC Gamma Inc
2.13
20% entry drawdown
-23.86%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 2.80
6 Feb 2026
Entry
ALM NASDAQ · Almonty Industries Inc. Common Shares
14.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.65
6 Feb 2026
Entry
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
6 Feb 2026
Exit
AMBP NYSE · Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
4.56
Reversal Risk Warning
76.44%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 2.59
6 Feb 2026
Exit
AME NYSE · Ametek Inc
231.20
Reversal Risk Warning
49.57%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 154.57
6 Feb 2026
Exit
AMGN NASDAQ · Amgen Inc
378.79
Reversal Risk Warning
70.75%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 221.84
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ASR NYSE · Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste SAB de CV ADR
361.12
Reversal Risk Warning
46.75%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 246.08
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ASRV NASDAQ · AmeriServ Financial Inc
3.79
Reversal Risk Warning
59.71%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 2.37
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ATMU NYSE · Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.
61.34
Reversal Risk Warning
92.12%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 31.93
6 Feb 2026
Exit
AUB NYSE · Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp
41.00
Reversal Risk Warning
38.91%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 29.51
6 Feb 2026
Entry
AVNS NYSE · Avanos Medical Inc
14.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.06
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BBT NYSE · Beacon Financial Corporation
30.88
Reversal Risk Warning
58.92%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 19.43