Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68 Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720 Avg 3056.5/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806 Stop 41.2% · Warning 58.2% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
29
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25 MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80 MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
37
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60 Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00 Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57 Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41 Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05 Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31 Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08 Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27 Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44 Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1081-1108 of 1108 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
XP NASDAQ · Xp Inc
14 Feb 202514.40
16.92
17.50%
Buy
0.18
-
-
XPEL NASDAQ · Xpel Inc
23 May 202534.49
44.49
28.99%
Buy
0.10
-
-
XPER NYSE · Xperi Corp
28 Nov 20255.79
7.79
34.54%
Buy
0.33
-
-
XPOF NYSE · Xponential Fitness Inc
6 Mar 20265.83
6.85
17.50%
Buy
0.20
-
-
XPRO NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
20 Jun 20259.17
15.46
68.59%
Buy
0.09
-
-
XRN NYSE · Chiron Real Estate Inc.
18 Jul 202533.47
36.32
8.53%
Buy
0.29
-
-
XRX NASDAQ · Xerox Corp
1 May 20262.68
2.82
5.28%
Buy
0.30
-
-
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
10 Jul 20262.91
2.91
New Entry week
Buy
0.77
-
-
YDKG NASDAQ · Yueda Digital Holding
29 May 20260.83
0.98
17.47%
Buy
1.46
-
-
YELP NYSE · Yelp Inc
22 May 202622.39
25.81
15.27%
Buy
0.55
-
-
YEXT NYSE · Yext Inc
12 Jun 20264.06
5.09
25.37%
Buy
0.01
-
-
YIBO NASDAQ · Planet Image International Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
22 May 20260.97
1.08
11.34%
Buy
0.65
-
-
YJ NASDAQ · Yunji Inc
20 Feb 20261.46
1.45
-0.68%
Buy
0.14
-
-
YORW NASDAQ · The York Water Company
14 Mar 202533.70
30.60
-9.19%
Buy
0.51
-
-
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
3 Jul 20263.47
3.62
4.32%
Buy
1.36
-
-
ZBH NYSE · Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202687.47
91.34
4.42%
Buy
0.13
-
-
ZBIO NASDAQ · Zenas BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock
16 Jan 202620.16
28.74
42.56%
Buy
0.19
-
-
ZBRA NASDAQ · Zebra Technologies Corporation
1 May 2026227.08
272.52
20.01%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ZD NASDAQ · Ziff Davis Inc
13 Mar 202639.46
52.18
32.24%
Buy
0.27
-
-
ZETA NYSE · Zeta Global Holdings Corp
20 Jun 202514.18
21.49
51.55%
Buy
0.11
-
-
ZGN NYSE · Ermenegildo Zegna NV
16 May 20258.52
13.44
57.81%
Buy
0.27
-
-
ZH NYSE · Zhihu Inc ADR
16 Aug 20243.08
3.26
5.84%
Buy
0.02
-
-
ZIP NYSE · Ziprecruiter Inc
1 May 20263.09
3.87
25.24%
Buy
0.31
-
-
ZLAB NASDAQ · Zai Lab Ltd
20 Feb 202620.04
20.49
2.25%
Buy
0.10
-
-
ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc
3 Jul 2026147.33
139.27
-5.47%
Buy
0.40
-
-
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
17 Jan 20259.27
8.56
-7.66%
Buy
2.15
-
-
ZTEK NASDAQ · ZEN Graphene Solutions Ltd
26 Jun 20260.49
0.48
-2.70%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ZVIA NYSE · Zevia Pbc
15 May 20261.33
1.72
29.32%
Buy
0.17
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2461-2490 of 10720
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
13 Feb 2026
Exit
IMKTA NASDAQ · Ingles Markets Incorporated
89.19
Reversal Risk Warning
22.40%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 72.87
13 Feb 2026
Entry
IMUX NASDAQ · Immunic Inc
9.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
13 Feb 2026
Exit
IPGP NASDAQ · IPG Photonics Corporation
153.91
Reversal Risk Warning
138.25%
Entry 23 May 2025 64.60
13 Feb 2026
Entry
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
22.96
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.17
13 Feb 2026
Exit
JELD NYSE · Jeld-Wen Holding Inc
2.24
20% entry drawdown
-23.55%
Entry 6 Feb 2026 2.93
13 Feb 2026
Exit
JNJ NYSE · Johnson & Johnson
240.77
Reversal Risk Warning
66.51%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 144.60
13 Feb 2026
Exit
KB NYSE · KB Financial Group Inc
112.88
Reversal Risk Warning
142.73%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 46.51
13 Feb 2026
Entry
KMB NASDAQ · Kimberly-Clark Corporation
106.71
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
13 Feb 2026
Exit
KMI NYSE · Kinder Morgan Inc
31.43
Reversal Risk Warning
83.13%
Entry 10 May 2024 17.16
13 Feb 2026
Entry
KOS NYSE · Kosmos Energy Ltd
1.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.03
13 Feb 2026
Exit
KT NYSE · KT Corporation
23.36
Reversal Risk Warning
91.94%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 12.17
13 Feb 2026
Entry
LEE NASDAQ · Lee Enterprises Incorporated
6.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.51
13 Feb 2026
Entry
LGVN NASDAQ · Longeveron LLC
0.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
13 Feb 2026
Exit
LMT NYSE · Lockheed Martin Corporation
644.96
Reversal Risk Warning
53.18%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 421.05
13 Feb 2026
Exit
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
1.36
20% entry drawdown
-35.55%
Entry 16 Jan 2026 2.11
13 Feb 2026
Exit
LSPD NYSE · Lightspeed Commerce Inc
8.99
20% entry drawdown
-21.83%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 11.50
13 Feb 2026
Exit
LTC NYSE · LTC Properties Inc
38.61
Reversal Risk Warning
40.53%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 27.47
13 Feb 2026
Exit
MAX NYSE · MediaAlpha Inc.
7.17
20% entry drawdown
-22.90%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 9.30
13 Feb 2026
Exit
MCRB NASDAQ · Seres Therapeutics Inc
8.47
20% entry drawdown
-32.62%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 12.57
13 Feb 2026
Exit
MEGI NYSE · MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Fund
14.91
Reversal Risk Warning
53.06%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 9.74
13 Feb 2026
Exit
MFG NYSE · Mizuho Financial Group Inc.
9.90
Reversal Risk Warning
147.59%
Entry 8 Mar 2024 4.00
13 Feb 2026
Exit
MGA NYSE · Magna International Inc
67.64
Reversal Risk Warning
88.02%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 35.98
13 Feb 2026
Exit
MIDD NASDAQ · Middleby Corp
105.36
Reversal Risk Warning
23.62%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 85.23
13 Feb 2026
Exit
MPLX NYSE · MPLX LP
55.72
Reversal Risk Warning
70.59%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 32.66
13 Feb 2026
Entry
MXL NASDAQ · MaxLinear Inc
19.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.73
13 Feb 2026
Exit
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
4.49
20% entry drawdown
-28.96%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 6.32
13 Feb 2026
Exit
NC NYSE · NACCO Industries Inc
54.98
Reversal Risk Warning
85.00%
Entry 24 May 2024 29.72
13 Feb 2026
Exit
NEE NYSE · Nextera Energy Inc
92.51
Reversal Risk Warning
61.90%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 57.14
13 Feb 2026
Exit
NGG NYSE · National Grid PLC ADR
90.00
Reversal Risk Warning
67.04%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 53.88
13 Feb 2026
Exit
NGVT NYSE · Ingevity Corp
76.57
Reversal Risk Warning
85.35%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 41.31