View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 121-150 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
10 Jul 20268.32
8.56
2.88%
Buy
0.00
-
-
BBY NYSE · Best Buy Co. Inc
20 Jun 202563.97
85.41
33.51%
Buy
0.20
-
-
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
11 Jul 20258.37
10.29
22.96%
Buy
0.41
-
-
BCC NYSE · Boise Cascad Llc
19 Dec 202574.33
77.19
3.85%
Buy
0.21
-
-
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
7 Mar 202522.54
21.84
-3.09%
Buy
0.07
-
-
BDN NYSE · Brandywine Realty Trust
24 Apr 20263.06
3.14
2.61%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
23 Jan 202611.74
20.19
71.98%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BDTX NASDAQ · Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc
16 May 20251.95
1.79
-8.21%
Buy
0.19
-
-
BDX NYSE · Becton Dickinson and Company
25 Jul 2025142.21
158.17
11.23%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BF-A NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202629.48
26.13
-11.35%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BF-B NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202628.90
25.58
-11.48%
Buy
0.36
-
-
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
10 Jul 202673.31
76.58
4.46%
Buy
0.11
-
-
BGS NYSE · B&G Foods Inc
17 Oct 20254.28
3.71
-13.40%
Buy
0.55
-
-
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
23 May 20253.13
5.74
83.64%
Buy
0.12
-
-
BHFAP NASDAQ · Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
7 Nov 202515.72
14.57
-7.32%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BIIB NASDAQ · Biogen Inc
28 Feb 2025140.50
205.99
46.61%
Buy
0.13
-
-
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202640.48
44.71
10.45%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BIO-B NYSE · Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc
20 Jun 2025250.08
309.37
23.71%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
17 Jul 202630.29
30.29
New Entry week
Buy
0.18
-
-
BLCO NYSE · Bausch + Lomb Corp
4 Jul 202513.88
16.26
17.15%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BLIN NASDAQ · Bridgeline Digital Inc
6 Mar 20260.93
1.22
30.58%
Buy
0.08
-
-
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
17 Jul 202632.40
32.40
New Entry week
Buy
0.13
-
-
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
8 May 20268.12
8.54
5.17%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BLND NYSE · Blend Labs Inc
29 May 20261.79
1.81
1.12%
Buy
0.44
-
-
BMI NYSE · Badger Meter Inc
26 Jun 2026140.88
149.48
6.10%
Buy
0.35
-
-
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
22 May 202612.53
14.14
12.85%
Buy
0.04
-
-
BOLD NASDAQ · Boundless Bio, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 20262.56
2.48
-3.13%
Buy
0.96
-
-
BON NASDAQ · Bon Natural Life Ltd
5 Jun 20261.25
1.16
-7.20%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
5 Sep 20253.04
4.16
36.84%
Buy
1.85
-
-
BOW NYSE · Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
1 May 202624.32
30.70
26.23%
Buy
0.29
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4591-4620 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
11 Jul 2025
Entry
PENG NASDAQ · Penguin Solutions, Inc.
24.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.16
11 Jul 2025
Entry
PRAX NASDAQ · Praxis Precision Medicines Inc
50.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.52
11 Jul 2025
Entry
RCUS NYSE · Arcus Biosciences Inc
9.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
11 Jul 2025
Entry
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
4.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55
11 Jul 2025
Entry
RILYZ NASDAQ · B. Riley Financial Inc. 5.25% Senior Notes due 2028
8.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
11 Jul 2025
Entry
SAIA NASDAQ · Saia Inc
303.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
11 Jul 2025
Entry
SHFS NASDAQ · SHF Holdings Inc
3.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
11 Jul 2025
Entry
SLB NYSE · Schlumberger NV
36.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
11 Jul 2025
Entry
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
6.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33
11 Jul 2025
Entry
SLNH NASDAQ · Soluna Holdings Inc
1.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.89
11 Jul 2025
Entry
SQM NYSE · Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA ADR B
37.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
11 Jul 2025
Entry
TH NASDAQ · Target Hospitality Corp
8.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
11 Jul 2025
Entry
UONEK NASDAQ · Urban One Inc Class D
8.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.94
11 Jul 2025
Entry
VFC NYSE · VF Corporation
12.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
11 Jul 2025
Entry
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
4.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
11 Jul 2025
Entry
VREX NASDAQ · Varex Imaging Corp
8.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
11 Jul 2025
Entry
WST NYSE · West Pharmaceutical Services Inc
226.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
11 Jul 2025
Entry
ZEPP NYSE · Zepp Health Corp
10.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
4 Jul 2025
Entry
AA NYSE · Alcoa Corp
30.86
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41
4 Jul 2025
Entry
ALOT NASDAQ · AstroNova Inc
12.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
4 Jul 2025
Entry
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
8.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
4 Jul 2025
Entry
ANVS NYSE · Annovis Bio Inc
2.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.85
4 Jul 2025
Entry
APLE NYSE · Apple Hospitality REIT Inc
11.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
4 Jul 2025
Entry
ASH NYSE · Ashland Global Holdings Inc
52.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
4 Jul 2025
Entry
BEEP NASDAQ · Mobile Infrastructure Corporation
4.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
4 Jul 2025
Entry
BLCO NYSE · Bausch + Lomb Corp
13.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
4 Jul 2025
Entry
BZAI NASDAQ · Blaize Holdings, Inc.
2.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55
4 Jul 2025
Entry
CALC NASDAQ · CalciMedica, Inc. Common Stock
1.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
4 Jul 2025
Entry
CAN NASDAQ · Canaan Inc
0.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
4 Jul 2025
Exit
CBNK NASDAQ · Capital Bancorp
34.98
Reversal Risk Warning
73.49%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 20.16