Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
487.74
Total Return
387.74%
CAGR
57.51% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+35.40%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.70 Sortino 5.25
Current Holdings
1105
Transactions
10675 Avg 3060.4/yr · 255.0/mo · 58.9/wk
Exit Mix
4785 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.5% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
47
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
95.40 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACET NASDAQ · Adicet Bio Inc
9.00 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
1.24 MD 0.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
2.27 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc
14.26 MD 0.88 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc
6.06 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AVXL NASDAQ · Anavex Life Sciences Corp
2.76 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
10.93 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
40.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
2.17 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
6.97 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CIGI NASDAQ · Colliers International Group Inc Bats
98.51 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
6.48 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRAC NASDAQ · Crown Reserve Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares
10.12 MD 1.89 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DEFT NASDAQ · DeFi Technologies Inc.
0.53 MD 0.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DNMX NASDAQ · Dynamix Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
0.94 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ELBM NASDAQ · Electra Battery Materials Corp
0.56 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
5.64 MD 0.68 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
2.90 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc
29.63 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
5.61 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
51.35 MD 0.87 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
5.96 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc
37.57 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HELP NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock
6.24 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INCR NASDAQ · InterCure Ltd.
1.09 MD 1.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNSL NYSE · Kinsale Capital Group Inc
354.85 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAB NASDAQ · Standard Biotools Inc
0.91 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
6.92 MD 0.38 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
178.54 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated
100.77 MD 0.01 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NKE NYSE · Nike Inc
44.09 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
9.79 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
5.76 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OXBR NASDAQ · Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd
1.28 MD 1.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
17.79 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.17 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
4.19 MD 0.43 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
1.04 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.06 MD 1.64 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc
8.27 MD 0.58 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WAY NASDAQ · Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
23.46 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
177.99 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
3.47 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZBH NYSE · Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc
87.47 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc
147.33 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
22
ABCL NASDAQ · Abcellera Biologics Inc
8.11 Reversal Risk Warning · 137.83%
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.60%
AIRT NASDAQ · Air T Inc
28.87 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.30%
ALAR NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
6.35 20% entry drawdown · -34.06%
ALGT NASDAQ · Allegiant Travel Company
118.67 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.01%
ASTL NASDAQ · Algoma Steel Group Inc
3.77 20% entry drawdown · -20.46%
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
7.45 20% entry drawdown · -30.18%
ENVX NASDAQ · Enovix Corp
5.36 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
FA NASDAQ · First Advantage Corp
20.53 Reversal Risk Warning · 58.29%
GCBC NASDAQ · Greene County Bancorp Inc
34.66 Reversal Risk Warning · 41.97%
ILMN NASDAQ · Illumina Inc
188.68 Reversal Risk Warning · 117.05%
LFVN NASDAQ · Lifevantage Corporation
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -20.55%
MB NASDAQ · MasterBeef Group Ordinary Shares
4.51 20% entry drawdown · -26.31%
MOVE NASDAQ · Movano Inc
17.37 20% entry drawdown · -24.12%
NEUP NASDAQ · Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc
3.38 20% entry drawdown · -32.94%
OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.
1.16 20% entry drawdown · -30.12%
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.34 20% entry drawdown · -25.56%
SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc
27.22 20% entry drawdown · -23.04%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
7.12 Reversal Risk Warning · 38.79%
USIO NASDAQ · Usio Inc
2.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 63.16%
VGAS NASDAQ · Verde Clean Fuels Inc.
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -34.21%
WXM NASDAQ · WF International Limited Ordinary Shares
4.29 20% entry drawdown · -23.38%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 121-150 of 1105 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
3 Jul 202610.93
10.93
New Entry week
Buy
0.02
-
-
BBNX NASDAQ · Beta Bionics, Inc. Common Stock
5 Jun 202613.89
16.76
20.66%
Buy
0.22
-
-
BBY NYSE · Best Buy Co. Inc
20 Jun 202563.97
77.99
21.92%
Buy
0.20
-
-
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
11 Jul 20258.37
10.28
22.84%
Buy
0.41
-
-
BCC NYSE · Boise Cascad Llc
19 Dec 202574.33
75.93
2.16%
Buy
0.21
-
-
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
7 Mar 202522.54
21.42
-4.95%
Buy
0.07
-
-
BDN NYSE · Brandywine Realty Trust
24 Apr 20263.06
3.24
5.88%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
23 Jan 202611.74
21.99
87.31%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BDTX NASDAQ · Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc
16 May 20251.95
2.01
3.08%
Buy
0.19
-
-
BDX NYSE · Becton Dickinson and Company
25 Jul 2025142.21
158.08
11.16%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
19 Jun 20261.37
1.29
-5.84%
Buy
0.01
-
-
BF-A NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202629.48
26.76
-9.22%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BF-B NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202628.90
26.16
-9.48%
Buy
0.36
-
-
BGS NYSE · B&G Foods Inc
17 Oct 20254.28
4.08
-4.76%
Buy
0.55
-
-
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
23 May 20253.13
5.70
82.36%
Buy
0.12
-
-
BHFAP NASDAQ · Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
7 Nov 202515.72
14.75
-6.17%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BIIB NASDAQ · Biogen Inc
28 Feb 2025140.50
216.12
53.82%
Buy
0.13
-
-
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202640.48
40.48
New Entry week
Buy
0.02
-
-
BIO-B NYSE · Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc
20 Jun 2025250.08
296.49
18.56%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
19 Jun 20264.68
3.85
-17.77%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BLCO NYSE · Bausch + Lomb Corp
4 Jul 202513.88
17.16
23.63%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BLIN NASDAQ · Bridgeline Digital Inc
6 Mar 20260.93
1.19
27.37%
Buy
0.08
-
-
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
29 May 202698.99
120.35
21.58%
Buy
0.97
-
-
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
8 May 20268.12
8.70
7.14%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BLND NYSE · Blend Labs Inc
29 May 20261.79
1.81
1.12%
Buy
0.44
-
-
BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
15 Mar 202410.60
10.60
0.00%
Buy
0.05
-
-
BMI NYSE · Badger Meter Inc
26 Jun 2026140.88
145.87
3.54%
Buy
0.35
-
-
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
23 Jan 202616.48
17.19
4.31%
Buy
0.41
-
-
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
22 May 202612.53
15.09
20.43%
Buy
0.04
-
-
BOLD NASDAQ · Boundless Bio, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 20262.56
2.50
-2.34%
Buy
0.95
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 511-540 of 10675
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CDRO NASDAQ · Codere Online US Corp
9.77
Reversal Risk Warning
136.56%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 4.13
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CECO NASDAQ · CECO Environmental Corp.
96.74
Reversal Risk Warning
254.23%
Entry 23 May 2025 27.31
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CFR NYSE · Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc
148.00
Reversal Risk Warning
62.80%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 90.91
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CGCT NASDAQ · Cartesian Growth Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares
15.33
Reversal Risk Warning
47.69%
Entry 8 May 2026 10.38
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CHEF NASDAQ · The Chefs Warehouse Inc
90.75
Reversal Risk Warning
186.46%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 31.68
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CHMG NASDAQ · Chemung Financial Corp
72.16
Reversal Risk Warning
76.63%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 40.85
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CIVB NASDAQ · Civista Bancshares Inc
27.21
Reversal Risk Warning
79.15%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 15.19
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CLDT NYSE · Chatham Lodging Trust REIT
12.76
Reversal Risk Warning
70.75%
Entry 6 Feb 2026 7.48
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CNO NYSE · CNO Financial Group Inc
50.36
Reversal Risk Warning
102.15%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 24.91
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CNOB NASDAQ · ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.
32.77
Reversal Risk Warning
111.95%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 15.46
12 Jun 2026
Exit
COCO NASDAQ · Vita Coco Company Inc
80.90
Reversal Risk Warning
173.40%
Entry 14 Jun 2024 29.59
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CORZ NASDAQ · Core Scientific, Inc. Common Stock
27.60
Reversal Risk Warning
159.15%
Entry 30 May 2025 10.65
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CPF NYSE · Central Pacific Financial Corp
36.60
Reversal Risk Warning
119.87%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 16.65
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CRS NYSE · Carpenter Technology Corporation
561.49
Reversal Risk Warning
301.82%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 139.74
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CTBI NASDAQ · Community Trust Bancorp Inc
70.64
Reversal Risk Warning
104.91%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 34.47
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CTO NYSE · CTO Realty Growth Inc
20.93
Reversal Risk Warning
51.23%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 13.84
12 Jun 2026
Entry
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
3.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.10
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CURB NYSE · Curbline Properties Corp.
30.78
Reversal Risk Warning
37.87%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 22.33
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CVS NYSE · CVS Health Corp
101.96
Reversal Risk Warning
97.57%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 51.61
12 Jun 2026
Exit
CWBC NASDAQ · Community West Bancshares
25.75
Reversal Risk Warning
64.69%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 15.64
12 Jun 2026
Entry
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
7.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
12 Jun 2026
Exit
DCOM NYSE · Dime Community Bancshares, Inc.
40.08
Reversal Risk Warning
97.04%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 20.34
12 Jun 2026
Exit
DHC NASDAQ · Diversified Healthcare Trust
9.03
Reversal Risk Warning
201.56%
Entry 9 May 2025 2.99
12 Jun 2026
Exit
DOMO NASDAQ · Domo Inc
3.02
20% entry drawdown
-27.58%
Entry 29 May 2026 4.17
12 Jun 2026
Exit
DRH NASDAQ · Diamondrock Hospitality Company Common Stock
11.83
Reversal Risk Warning
60.17%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 7.39
12 Jun 2026
Entry
DSGR NASDAQ · Distribution Solutions Group Inc
27.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
12 Jun 2026
Entry
DTSS NASDAQ · Datasea Inc
0.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
12 Jun 2026
Exit
DUO NASDAQ · Fangdd Network Group Ltd
0.88
20% entry drawdown
-26.46%
Entry 10 Apr 2026 1.20
12 Jun 2026
Entry
DUOL NASDAQ · Duolingo Inc
122.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.00
12 Jun 2026
Exit
DVA NYSE · DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc
208.66
Reversal Risk Warning
93.96%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 107.58