Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
487.74
Total Return
387.74%
CAGR
57.51% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+35.40%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.70 Sortino 5.25
Current Holdings
1105
Transactions
10675 Avg 3060.4/yr · 255.0/mo · 58.9/wk
Exit Mix
4785 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.5% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
47
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
95.40 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACET NASDAQ · Adicet Bio Inc
9.00 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
1.24 MD 0.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
2.27 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc
14.26 MD 0.88 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc
6.06 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AVXL NASDAQ · Anavex Life Sciences Corp
2.76 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
10.93 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
40.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
2.17 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
6.97 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CIGI NASDAQ · Colliers International Group Inc Bats
98.51 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
6.48 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRAC NASDAQ · Crown Reserve Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares
10.12 MD 1.89 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DEFT NASDAQ · DeFi Technologies Inc.
0.53 MD 0.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DNMX NASDAQ · Dynamix Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
0.94 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ELBM NASDAQ · Electra Battery Materials Corp
0.56 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
5.64 MD 0.68 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
2.90 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc
29.63 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
5.61 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
51.35 MD 0.87 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
5.96 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc
37.57 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HELP NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock
6.24 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INCR NASDAQ · InterCure Ltd.
1.09 MD 1.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNSL NYSE · Kinsale Capital Group Inc
354.85 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAB NASDAQ · Standard Biotools Inc
0.91 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
6.92 MD 0.38 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
178.54 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated
100.77 MD 0.01 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NKE NYSE · Nike Inc
44.09 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
9.79 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
5.76 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OXBR NASDAQ · Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd
1.28 MD 1.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
17.79 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.17 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
4.19 MD 0.43 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
1.04 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.06 MD 1.64 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc
8.27 MD 0.58 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WAY NASDAQ · Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
23.46 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
177.99 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
3.47 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZBH NYSE · Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc
87.47 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc
147.33 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
22
ABCL NASDAQ · Abcellera Biologics Inc
8.11 Reversal Risk Warning · 137.83%
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.60%
AIRT NASDAQ · Air T Inc
28.87 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.30%
ALAR NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
6.35 20% entry drawdown · -34.06%
ALGT NASDAQ · Allegiant Travel Company
118.67 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.01%
ASTL NASDAQ · Algoma Steel Group Inc
3.77 20% entry drawdown · -20.46%
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
7.45 20% entry drawdown · -30.18%
ENVX NASDAQ · Enovix Corp
5.36 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
FA NASDAQ · First Advantage Corp
20.53 Reversal Risk Warning · 58.29%
GCBC NASDAQ · Greene County Bancorp Inc
34.66 Reversal Risk Warning · 41.97%
ILMN NASDAQ · Illumina Inc
188.68 Reversal Risk Warning · 117.05%
LFVN NASDAQ · Lifevantage Corporation
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -20.55%
MB NASDAQ · MasterBeef Group Ordinary Shares
4.51 20% entry drawdown · -26.31%
MOVE NASDAQ · Movano Inc
17.37 20% entry drawdown · -24.12%
NEUP NASDAQ · Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc
3.38 20% entry drawdown · -32.94%
OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.
1.16 20% entry drawdown · -30.12%
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.34 20% entry drawdown · -25.56%
SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc
27.22 20% entry drawdown · -23.04%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
7.12 Reversal Risk Warning · 38.79%
USIO NASDAQ · Usio Inc
2.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 63.16%
VGAS NASDAQ · Verde Clean Fuels Inc.
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -34.21%
WXM NASDAQ · WF International Limited Ordinary Shares
4.29 20% entry drawdown · -23.38%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 1105 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
5 Sep 20253.04
4.49
47.70%
Buy
1.85
-
-
BOW NYSE · Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
1 May 202624.32
31.48
29.44%
Buy
0.29
-
-
BOX NYSE · Box Inc
8 May 202625.72
27.89
8.44%
Buy
0.36
-
-
BPAC NASDAQ · Bullpen Parlay Acquisition Co
12 Jun 202610.12
10.13
0.10%
Buy
0.59
-
-
BRAG NASDAQ · Bragg Gaming Group Inc
27 Mar 20261.84
1.75
-4.90%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BRCC NYSE · BRC Inc.
24 Apr 20261.16
1.21
4.31%
Buy
0.62
-
-
BRKR NASDAQ · Bruker Corporation
7 Nov 202539.83
61.64
54.76%
Buy
0.75
-
-
BRO NYSE · Brown & Brown Inc
26 Jun 202664.22
70.00
9.00%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BRSL NYSE · Brightstar Lottery PLC
18 Apr 202512.34
11.26
-8.72%
Buy
0.03
-
-
BSY NASDAQ · Bentley Systems Inc
8 May 202632.69
32.26
-1.32%
Buy
0.01
-
-
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
22 May 20261.99
1.65
-17.09%
Buy
0.88
-
-
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
3 Jul 20262.17
2.17
New Entry week
Buy
0.93
-
-
BWIN NASDAQ · The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.
3 Apr 202622.35
28.41
27.11%
Buy
0.40
-
-
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3 Jul 20266.97
6.97
New Entry week
Buy
0.51
-
-
BZ NASDAQ · Kanzhun Ltd ADR
5 Jun 202614.03
13.00
-7.34%
Buy
0.15
-
-
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
15 May 20261.49
1.50
0.67%
Buy
1.36
-
-
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
23 May 202520.73
28.07
35.41%
Buy
0.20
-
-
BZUN NASDAQ · Baozun Inc
1 Mar 20242.36
2.78
17.80%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
24 Apr 202613.48
11.71
-13.10%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CAPN NASDAQ · Cayson Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
17 Oct 202510.46
11.06
5.74%
Buy
0.74
-
-
CATO NYSE · Cato Corporation
13 Jun 20253.01
3.35
11.30%
Buy
0.32
-
-
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
26 Dec 202560.15
76.88
27.81%
Buy
0.07
-
-
CBC NASDAQ · Central Bancompany, Inc. Class A Common Stock
12 Jun 202628.79
31.46
9.27%
Buy
1.86
-
-
CBLL NASDAQ · CeriBell, Inc
7 Nov 202511.98
19.55
63.19%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
22 May 202632.39
53.50
65.17%
Buy
0.75
-
-
CBT NYSE · Cabot Corporation
9 Jan 202672.01
86.35
19.91%
Buy
0.01
-
-
CBZ NYSE · CBIZ Inc
29 May 202633.20
35.12
5.78%
Buy
0.50
-
-
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Jun 202511.47
19.01
65.79%
Buy
0.27
-
-
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
8 May 202613.18
13.20
0.15%
Buy
1.13
-
-
CCXI NASDAQ · Churchill Capital Corp XI
26 Jun 202613.86
19.10
37.81%
Buy
0.47
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 361-390 of 10675
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
19 Jun 2026
Exit
DQ NYSE · Daqo New Energy Corp ADR
14.18
20% entry drawdown
-25.29%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 18.98
19 Jun 2026
Exit
DTSS NASDAQ · Datasea Inc
0.76
20% entry drawdown
-23.44%
Entry 12 Jun 2026 0.99
19 Jun 2026
Exit
EDHL NASDAQ · Everbright Digital Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
5.58
20% entry drawdown
-35.42%
Entry 12 Jun 2026 8.64
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ENTG NASDAQ · Entegris Inc
178.77
Reversal Risk Warning
107.13%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 86.31
19 Jun 2026
Entry
ETD NYSE · Ethan Allen Interiors Inc
21.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
19 Jun 2026
Exit
EVTV NASDAQ · Envirotech Vehicles Inc
1.45
20% entry drawdown
-24.08%
Entry 10 Apr 2026 1.91
19 Jun 2026
Entry
EXFY NASDAQ · Expensify Inc
1.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.20
19 Jun 2026
Exit
FBLA NASDAQ · FB Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
14.49
Reversal Risk Warning
26.88%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 11.42
19 Jun 2026
Exit
FRD NASDAQ · Friedman Industries Inc. Common Stock
37.42
Reversal Risk Warning
151.36%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 14.89
19 Jun 2026
Exit
FTDR NASDAQ · Frontdoor Inc
71.56
Reversal Risk Warning
118.04%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 32.82
19 Jun 2026
Entry
FWRG NASDAQ · First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
11.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
19 Jun 2026
Exit
GE NYSE · GE Aerospace
357.64
Reversal Risk Warning
196.34%
Entry 23 Feb 2024 120.69
19 Jun 2026
Exit
GL NYSE · Globe Life Inc
170.76
Reversal Risk Warning
96.39%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 86.95
19 Jun 2026
Entry
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.00
19 Jun 2026
Exit
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
3.41
20% entry drawdown
-25.22%
Entry 10 Apr 2026 4.56
19 Jun 2026
Exit
HAIN NASDAQ · The Hain Celestial Group Inc
0.61
20% entry drawdown
-22.11%
Entry 15 May 2026 0.78
19 Jun 2026
Exit
HLIO NYSE · Helios Technologies Inc
90.49
Reversal Risk Warning
153.06%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 35.76
19 Jun 2026
Exit
HUMA NASDAQ · Humacyte Inc
0.92
20% entry drawdown
-28.89%
Entry 29 May 2026 1.30
19 Jun 2026
Exit
HWBK NASDAQ · Hawthorn Bancshares Inc
39.14
Reversal Risk Warning
97.81%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 19.79
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ICHR NASDAQ · Ichor Holdings Ltd
98.61
Reversal Risk Warning
231.13%
Entry 16 Jan 2026 29.78
19 Jun 2026
Exit
IEX NYSE · IDEX Corporation
224.93
Reversal Risk Warning
26.26%
Entry 30 May 2025 178.15
19 Jun 2026
Entry
ILAG NASDAQ · Intelligent Living Application Group Inc
3.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
19 Jun 2026
Exit
INTC NASDAQ · Intel Corporation
133.99
Reversal Risk Warning
263.81%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 36.83
19 Jun 2026
Exit
INVZ NASDAQ · Innoviz Technologies
0.58
20% entry drawdown
-23.73%
Entry 29 May 2026 0.76
19 Jun 2026
Entry
JFIN NASDAQ · Jiayin Group Inc
4.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
19 Jun 2026
Exit
JRSH NASDAQ · Jerash Holdings US Inc
4.47
Reversal Risk Warning
50.24%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 2.98
19 Jun 2026
Exit
KEEL NASDAQ · Bitfarms Ltd.
6.29
Reversal Risk Warning
182.06%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 2.23
19 Jun 2026
Exit
KLIC NASDAQ · Kulicke and Soffa Industries Inc
121.87
Reversal Risk Warning
153.66%
Entry 5 Dec 2025 48.04
19 Jun 2026
Exit
KLXE NASDAQ · KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc
2.31
20% entry drawdown
-31.19%
Entry 24 Apr 2026 3.35
19 Jun 2026
Entry
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
12.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.52