Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60
Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830
Avg 3054.5/yr ·
254.5/mo ·
58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880
Stop 41.8% ·
Warning 57.6%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ALC
NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI
NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01
MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR
NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG
NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77
MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB
NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55
MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST
NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL
NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51
MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI
NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65
MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA
NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11
MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU
NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW
NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58
MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO
NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP
NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX
NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25
MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS
NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY
NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT
NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48
MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN
NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73
MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM
NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD
NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04
MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN
NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13
MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
AMST
NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99
20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER
NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40
20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK
NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51
20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD
NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH
NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19
Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK
NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26
20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR
NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50
Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC
NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51
20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC
NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58
20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS
NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89
20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC
NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51
20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR
NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33
20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD
NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71
20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL
NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06
20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX
NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX
NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33
20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI
NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98
20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC
NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47
20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX
NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41
20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG
NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60
20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP
NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38
20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG
NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31
20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ
NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54
20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST
NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93
20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO
NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69
Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70
20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB
NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23
20% entry drawdown · -21.15%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
BOW
NYSE · Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
1 May 202624.32
31.11
27.92%
Buy
0.29
-
-
BOX
NYSE · Box Inc
8 May 202625.72
29.01
12.79%
Buy
0.36
-
-
BPAC
NASDAQ · Bullpen Parlay Acquisition Co
12 Jun 202610.12
10.15
0.30%
Buy
0.59
-
-
BRAG
NASDAQ · Bragg Gaming Group Inc
27 Mar 20261.84
1.63
-11.42%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BRCC
NYSE · BRC Inc.
24 Apr 20261.16
1.08
-6.90%
Buy
0.62
-
-
BRKR
NASDAQ · Bruker Corporation
7 Nov 202539.83
60.45
51.77%
Buy
0.75
-
-
BRO
NYSE · Brown & Brown Inc
26 Jun 202664.22
67.66
5.36%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BRSL
NYSE · Brightstar Lottery PLC
18 Apr 202512.34
10.41
-15.61%
Buy
0.03
-
-
BSY
NASDAQ · Bentley Systems Inc
8 May 202632.69
31.40
-3.95%
Buy
0.01
-
-
BTMD
NASDAQ · biote Corp
3 Jul 20262.17
2.28
5.07%
Buy
0.94
-
-
BUR
NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
24 Jul 20264.14
4.14
New
Entry week
Buy
0.19
-
-
BWIN
NASDAQ · The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.
3 Apr 202622.35
26.47
18.43%
Buy
0.40
-
-
BZ
NASDAQ · Kanzhun Ltd ADR
5 Jun 202614.03
15.42
9.91%
Buy
0.15
-
-
BZUN
NASDAQ · Baozun Inc
1 Mar 20242.36
2.48
5.08%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CAG
NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
24 Jul 202614.77
14.77
New
Entry week
Buy
0.57
-
-
CAL
NYSE · Caleres Inc
24 Apr 202613.48
11.78
-12.59%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CAPN
NASDAQ · Cayson Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
17 Oct 202510.46
11.10
6.12%
Buy
0.74
-
-
CATO
NYSE · Cato Corporation
13 Jun 20253.01
3.30
9.63%
Buy
0.32
-
-
CAVA
NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
26 Dec 202560.15
62.01
3.09%
Buy
0.07
-
-
CBLL
NASDAQ · CeriBell, Inc
7 Nov 202511.98
16.91
41.15%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CBRL
NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
22 May 202632.39
53.71
65.82%
Buy
0.75
-
-
CBT
NYSE · Cabot Corporation
9 Jan 202672.01
90.15
25.19%
Buy
0.01
-
-
CBZ
NYSE · CBIZ Inc
29 May 202633.20
42.63
28.40%
Buy
0.50
-
-
CC
NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Jun 202511.47
17.22
50.18%
Buy
0.27
-
-
CCRN
NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
8 May 202613.18
13.25
0.53%
Buy
1.13
-
-
CCXI
NASDAQ · Churchill Capital Corp XI
26 Jun 202613.86
13.68
-1.30%
Buy
0.47
-
-
CDW
NASDAQ · CDW Corp
22 May 2026110.82
133.82
20.75%
Buy
0.13
-
-
CDXS
NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
13 Mar 20261.61
1.48
-8.07%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CELH
NASDAQ · Celsius Holdings Inc
21 Mar 202532.93
27.12
-17.64%
Buy
1.29
-
-
CERT
NASDAQ · Certara Inc
19 Jun 20265.54
7.51
35.56%
Buy
0.37
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
13 Dec 2024
Exit
SLS
NASDAQ · Sellas Life Sciences Group Inc
0.87
20% entry drawdown
-30.79%
Entry 8 Mar 2024
1.26
13 Dec 2024
Exit
SWAG
NASDAQ · Software Acquisition Group III Inc
0.97
20% entry drawdown
-24.22%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
1.28
13 Dec 2024
Entry
SYPR
NASDAQ · Sypris Solutions Inc
1.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.03
13 Dec 2024
Entry
TSAT
NASDAQ · Telesat Corp
16.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.65
13 Dec 2024
Entry
UCL
NASDAQ · Ucloudlink Group Inc
1.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.68
13 Dec 2024
Exit
VHC
NASDAQ · VirnetX Holding Corp Common Stock
4.44
20% entry drawdown
-27.21%
Entry 5 Jul 2024
6.10
13 Dec 2024
Entry
WBD
NASDAQ · Warner Bros Discovery Inc
12.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 2.04
13 Dec 2024
Exit
WH
NYSE · Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc
100.21
Reversal Risk Warning
41.82%
Entry 21 Jul 2023
70.66
13 Dec 2024
Exit
WIT
NYSE · Wipro Limited ADR
3.44
Reversal Risk Warning
35.46%
Entry 22 Dec 2023
2.54
13 Dec 2024
Entry
WKEY
NASDAQ · Wisekey International Holding AG
7.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.37
13 Dec 2024
Entry
ZEO
NASDAQ · Zeo Energy Corp.
2.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.20
13 Dec 2024
Exit
ZURA
NASDAQ · Zura Bio Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.28
20% entry drawdown
-31.12%
Entry 19 Apr 2024
3.31
6 Dec 2024
Exit
AAL
NASDAQ · American Airlines Group
17.40
Reversal Risk Warning
58.04%
Entry 20 Sep 2024
11.01
6 Dec 2024
Exit
AIIO
NASDAQ · Robo.ai Inc.
22.40
20% entry drawdown
-23.29%
Entry 22 Nov 2024
29.20
6 Dec 2024
Entry
ALAB
NASDAQ · Astera Labs, Inc.
120.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.42
6 Dec 2024
Entry
ALAR
NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
12.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.02
6 Dec 2024
Entry
ALNT
NASDAQ · Allient Inc.
26.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.32
6 Dec 2024
Exit
AOSL
NASDAQ · Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd
48.43
Reversal Risk Warning
77.86%
Entry 17 May 2024
27.23
6 Dec 2024
Entry
ATHE
NASDAQ · Alterity Therapeutics Ltd
2.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.64
6 Dec 2024
Entry
BLDP
NASDAQ · Ballard Power Systems Inc
1.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.18
6 Dec 2024
Entry
BNR
NASDAQ · Burning Rock Biotech Ltd
7.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.78
6 Dec 2024
Exit
BZFD
NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
5.36
Reversal Risk Warning
306.06%
Entry 23 Feb 2024
1.32
6 Dec 2024
Entry
CDIO
NASDAQ · Cardio Diagnostics Holdings Inc
16.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.27
6 Dec 2024
Entry
CLBR
NYSE · Colombier Acquisition Corp. II
11.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.61
6 Dec 2024
Entry
CPIX
NASDAQ · Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.15
6 Dec 2024
Entry
CTRN
NASDAQ · Citi Trends Inc
25.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.94
6 Dec 2024
Entry
CVV
NASDAQ · CVD Equipment Corporation
3.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.27
6 Dec 2024
Entry
DAN
NYSE · Dana Inc
12.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.06
6 Dec 2024
Entry
DLTR
NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
71.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.30
6 Dec 2024
Exit
DOCU
NASDAQ · DocuSign Inc
106.99
Reversal Risk Warning
115.14%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
49.73