View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
CGBD NASDAQ · Carlyle Secured Lending Inc
1 May 202611.58
10.04
-13.26%
Buy
0.15
-
-
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
31 Oct 20258.66
17.10
97.46%
Buy
1.01
-
-
CHA NASDAQ · Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
13 Mar 202611.16
11.20
0.36%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CHAR NASDAQ · Charlton Aria Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
7 Nov 202510.39
10.90
4.91%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
14 Nov 202513.98
18.79
34.39%
Buy
0.26
-
-
CHDN NASDAQ · Churchill Downs Incorporated
1 May 202698.65
86.50
-12.32%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CHEC NASDAQ · Chenghe Acquisition III Co. Class A Ordinary Share
5 Jun 202610.15
10.19
0.39%
Buy
1.09
-
-
CHH NYSE · Choice Hotels International Inc
2 Jan 202695.83
110.52
15.33%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CHKP NASDAQ · Check Point Software Technologies Ltd
26 Jun 2026130.05
130.57
0.40%
Buy
0.05
-
-
CHRD NASDAQ · Chord Energy Corp
20 Jun 202599.38
138.36
39.22%
Buy
0.44
-
-
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
5 Sep 20254.04
21.50
432.18%
Buy
0.75
-
-
CHRS NASDAQ · Coherus BioSciences Inc
18 Jul 20250.88
1.41
60.08%
Buy
0.18
-
-
CI NYSE · Cigna Corp
7 Nov 2025260.20
289.57
11.29%
Buy
0.02
-
-
CIGI NASDAQ · Colliers International Group Inc Bats
3 Jul 202698.51
97.49
-1.04%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
24 Jul 20262.55
2.55
New Entry week
Buy
0.41
-
-
CLAR NASDAQ · Clarus Corp
19 Jun 20263.13
3.26
4.15%
Buy
0.66
-
-
CLB NYSE · Core Laboratories NV
5 Sep 202512.60
11.67
-7.35%
Buy
0.52
-
-
CLDX NASDAQ · Celldex Therapeutics Inc
16 May 202520.45
35.28
72.52%
Buy
0.37
-
-
CLF NYSE · Cleveland-Cliffs Inc
4 Jul 20258.82
11.93
35.26%
Buy
0.38
-
-
CLNN NASDAQ · Clene Inc.
13 Jun 20254.10
5.39
31.46%
Buy
0.17
-
-
CLPR NYSE · Clipper Realty Inc
1 May 20263.24
2.88
-11.09%
Buy
0.05
-
-
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
3 Jul 20266.48
5.34
-17.59%
Buy
0.65
-
-
CLW NYSE · Clearwater Paper Corporation
29 May 202616.30
16.82
3.19%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CMCSA NASDAQ · Comcast Corp
2 Jan 202625.57
22.30
-12.82%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CMG NYSE · Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
26 Jun 202633.34
31.79
-4.65%
Buy
0.32
-
-
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
20 Sep 202411.34
29.44
159.61%
Buy
0.54
-
-
CNC NYSE · Centene Corp
3 Oct 202538.70
63.41
63.85%
Buy
0.11
-
-
CNH NYSE · CNH Industrial N.V.
16 Jan 202610.81
11.15
3.11%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CNMD NYSE · CONMED Corporation
26 Jun 202635.95
42.68
18.72%
Buy
0.19
-
-
CNNE NYSE · Cannae Holdings Inc
1 May 202613.53
14.73
8.91%
Buy
0.15
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 6061-6090 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
21 Feb 2025
Entry
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
3.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
21 Feb 2025
Entry
MRX NASDAQ · Marex Group plc Ordinary Shares
36.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.30
21 Feb 2025
Exit
MYRG NASDAQ · MYR Group Inc
120.50
20% entry drawdown
-23.69%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 157.90
21 Feb 2025
Exit
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
1.82
20% entry drawdown
-21.21%
Entry 31 Jan 2025 2.31
21 Feb 2025
Entry
NUE NYSE · Nucor Corp
132.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
21 Feb 2025
Exit
ONT NYSE · Onterris
17.74
20% entry drawdown
-21.61%
Entry 17 Jan 2025 22.63
21 Feb 2025
Exit
RAND NASDAQ · Rand Capital Corp
24.19
Reversal Risk Warning
146.76%
Entry 10 May 2024 9.81
21 Feb 2025
Exit
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.09
20% entry drawdown
-21.01%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 1.38
21 Feb 2025
Exit
SAP NYSE · SAP SE ADR
275.84
Reversal Risk Warning
85.83%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 148.44
21 Feb 2025
Entry
STM NYSE · STMicroelectronics NV ADR
27.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.78
21 Feb 2025
Exit
TUYA NYSE · Tuya Inc ADR
3.89
Reversal Risk Warning
120.65%
Entry 4 Oct 2024 1.76
21 Feb 2025
Entry
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
1.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
21 Feb 2025
Exit
TXG NASDAQ · 10X Genomics Inc
10.90
20% entry drawdown
-27.72%
Entry 17 Jan 2025 15.08
21 Feb 2025
Entry
ULS NYSE · UL Solutions Inc.
52.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
21 Feb 2025
Exit
VNET NASDAQ · VNET Group Inc DRC
14.59
Reversal Risk Warning
268.43%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 3.96
21 Feb 2025
Entry
YI NASDAQ · 111 Inc
8.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
14 Feb 2025
Exit
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
127.39
Reversal Risk Warning
27.71%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 99.75
14 Feb 2025
Exit
AIOT NASDAQ · PowerFleet, Inc.
8.10
Reversal Risk Warning
243.95%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 2.36
14 Feb 2025
Exit
ALAB NASDAQ · Astera Labs, Inc.
87.85
20% entry drawdown
-27.03%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 120.40
14 Feb 2025
Entry
AQN NYSE · Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp
4.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
14 Feb 2025
Exit
AUR NASDAQ · Aurora Innovation Inc
10.19
Reversal Risk Warning
175.41%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 3.70
14 Feb 2025
Entry
BAK NYSE · Braskem SA Class A
4.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
14 Feb 2025
Entry
BBD NYSE · Banco Bradesco SA ADR
1.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
14 Feb 2025
Exit
BBDC NYSE · Barings BDC Inc
8.46
Reversal Risk Warning
43.00%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 5.92
14 Feb 2025
Entry
BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
2.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.27
14 Feb 2025
Exit
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
32.80
Reversal Risk Warning
443.05%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 6.04
14 Feb 2025
Entry
CCIX NASDAQ · Churchill Capital Corp IX
10.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.40
14 Feb 2025
Exit
COSM NASDAQ · Cosmos Health Inc.
0.62
20% entry drawdown
-20.97%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 0.78
14 Feb 2025
Entry
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
2.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.47
14 Feb 2025
Exit
CVLT NASDAQ · CommVault Systems Inc
184.91
Reversal Risk Warning
131.37%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 79.92