Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 241-270 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
CTKB NASDAQ · Cytek Biosciences Inc
27 Jun 20253.55
4.62
30.14%
Buy
0.28
-
-
CTNM NASDAQ · Contineum Therapeutics, Inc. Class A Common Stock
15 Aug 20257.38
14.23
92.82%
Buy
1.36
-
-
CTRM NASDAQ · Castor Maritime Inc
3 Oct 20252.14
1.98
-7.48%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CUB NASDAQ · Lionheart Holdings
23 May 202510.41
10.79
3.65%
Buy
3.47
-
-
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
17 Apr 202618.19
31.16
71.34%
Buy
0.68
-
-
CULP NASDAQ · Culp, Inc. Common Stock
8 May 20263.61
3.70
2.49%
Buy
0.29
-
-
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
12 Jun 20263.97
3.97
0.00%
Buy
1.10
-
-
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
17 Jul 20262.33
2.33
New Entry week
Buy
0.16
-
-
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
13 Mar 20262.90
4.53
56.21%
Buy
0.95
-
-
CVLT NASDAQ · CommVault Systems Inc
24 Apr 202693.92
147.81
57.38%
Buy
0.14
-
-
CWAN NYSE · Clearwater Analytics Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202519.25
24.56
27.58%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CXM NYSE · Sprinklr Inc
29 May 20265.58
5.83
4.48%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CXT NYSE · Crane NXT Co
19 Jun 202646.93
51.27
9.25%
Buy
0.26
-
-
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
6 Jun 20257.00
16.51
135.86%
Buy
0.78
-
-
CYTK NASDAQ · Cytokinetics Inc
15 Aug 202538.67
80.18
107.34%
Buy
0.65
-
-
CZR NASDAQ · Caesars Entertainment Corporation
20 Feb 202621.23
29.86
40.65%
Buy
0.04
-
-
DAAQ NASDAQ · Digital Asset Acquisition Corp.
20 Feb 202610.24
10.40
1.51%
Buy
0.27
-
-
DAIO NASDAQ · Data I/O Corporation
6 Jun 20252.76
3.35
21.38%
Buy
0.10
-
-
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
9 Jan 202639.08
63.10
61.46%
Buy
0.76
-
-
DBI NYSE · Designer Brands Inc
22 Aug 20253.46
5.72
65.10%
Buy
0.71
-
-
DBRG NYSE · Digitalbridge Group Inc
23 May 202511.15
15.80
41.77%
Buy
0.48
-
-
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
8 May 202628.90
30.62
5.95%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DCBO NASDAQ · Docebo Inc
1 May 202620.67
20.38
-1.40%
Buy
0.33
-
-
DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation
23 May 20254.28
5.44
27.10%
Buy
0.05
-
-
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
22 Aug 20252.10
2.69
28.10%
Buy
0.55
-
-
DEA NYSE · Eerly Govt Ppty Inc
27 Jun 202520.55
25.56
24.37%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DECK NYSE · Deckers Outdoor Corporation
17 Oct 202599.82
106.49
6.68%
Buy
0.27
-
-
DEI NYSE · Douglas Emmett Inc
24 Apr 202610.70
12.51
16.92%
Buy
0.39
-
-
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
26 Jun 202617.20
15.84
-7.91%
Buy
0.78
-
-
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
17 Jul 202649.95
49.95
New Entry week
Buy
0.06
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4861-4890 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
20 Jun 2025
Entry
FLNC NASDAQ · Fluence Energy Inc
5.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
20 Jun 2025
Entry
FWRD NASDAQ · Forward Air Corporation
22.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.36
20 Jun 2025
Entry
GCO NYSE · Genesco Inc
22.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
20 Jun 2025
Entry
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
1.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
20 Jun 2025
Entry
GEOS NASDAQ · Geospace Technologies Corporation
11.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41
20 Jun 2025
Entry
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
5.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.81
20 Jun 2025
Entry
GPRK NYSE · GeoPark Ltd
7.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
20 Jun 2025
Entry
GPRO NASDAQ · GoPro Inc
0.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.05
20 Jun 2025
Exit
GRPN NASDAQ · Groupon Inc
36.44
Reversal Risk Warning
205.45%
Entry 27 Dec 2024 11.93
20 Jun 2025
Entry
GSBD NYSE · Goldman Sachs BDC Inc
9.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
20 Jun 2025
Exit
HERE NASDAQ · Here Group Limited
11.70
Reversal Risk Warning
327.01%
Entry 21 Mar 2025 2.74
20 Jun 2025
Entry
HTLD NASDAQ · Heartland Express Inc
8.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
20 Jun 2025
Entry
HXL NYSE · Hexcel Corporation
53.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
20 Jun 2025
Entry
ILPT NASDAQ · Industrial Logistics Properties Trust
4.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
20 Jun 2025
Entry
INN NYSE · Summit Hotel Properties Inc
4.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
20 Jun 2025
Exit
IONR NASDAQ · ioneer Ltd American Depositary Shares
2.67
20% entry drawdown
-20.06%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 3.34
20 Jun 2025
Entry
KNX NYSE · Knight Transportation Inc
42.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
20 Jun 2025
Entry
LCII NYSE · LCI Industries
85.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
20 Jun 2025
Exit
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
14.76
Reversal Risk Warning
247.29%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 4.25
20 Jun 2025
Entry
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
3.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.83
20 Jun 2025
Exit
MBAV NASDAQ · M3-Brigade Acquisition V Corp. Class A Ordinary shares
13.53
Reversal Risk Warning
14.66%
Entry 30 May 2025 11.80
20 Jun 2025
Entry
MEOH NASDAQ · Methanex Corporation
36.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
20 Jun 2025
Entry
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
42.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
20 Jun 2025
Entry
MTCH NASDAQ · Match Group Inc
29.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
20 Jun 2025
Entry
MTDR NYSE · Matador Resources Company
49.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
20 Jun 2025
Entry
MTLS NASDAQ · Materialise NV
5.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
20 Jun 2025
Entry
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
23.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
20 Jun 2025
Entry
NGVT NYSE · Ingevity Corp
41.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
20 Jun 2025
Entry
NUE NYSE · Nucor Corp
122.45
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
20 Jun 2025
Exit
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
10.34
20% entry drawdown
-23.33%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 13.48