Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
478.70
Total Return
378.70%
CAGR
55.90%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.12%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.64
Sortino 5.14
Current Holdings
1077
Transactions
10779
Avg 3056.6/yr ·
254.7/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4851
Stop 41.6% ·
Warning 57.9%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ADBE
NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25
MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL
NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB
NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV
NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33
MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN
NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO
NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS
NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT
NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI
NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86
MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IQ
NASDAQ · iQIYI Inc
1.19
MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW
NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAT
NASDAQ · Mattel Inc
14.30
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS
NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT
NYSE · Onterris
20.93
MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX
NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69
MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD
NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06
MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL
NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10
MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK
NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06
MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY
NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05
MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACB
NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63
20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU
NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52
20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01
20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX
NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT
NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05
20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE
NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM
NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03
20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI
NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62
20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT
NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX
NYSE · Edison International
77.63
Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO
NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO
NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96
20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK
NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77
20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05
20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
GRDX
NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82
20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
HUBG
NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22
Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35
20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS
NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA
NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22
20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX
NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25
20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI
NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12
20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI
NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG
NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17
20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63
20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC
NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52
20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN
NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73
20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT
NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89
20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX
NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95
20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS
NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28
20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA
NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73
20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU
NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38
20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING
NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33
20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW
NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57
20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR
NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06
20% entry drawdown · -45.47%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
CTEV
NYSE · Claritev Corporation
22 May 202621.67
30.39
40.24%
Buy
0.62
-
-
CTKB
NASDAQ · Cytek Biosciences Inc
27 Jun 20253.55
4.62
30.14%
Buy
0.28
-
-
CTNM
NASDAQ · Contineum Therapeutics, Inc. Class A Common Stock
15 Aug 20257.38
14.23
92.82%
Buy
1.36
-
-
CTRM
NASDAQ · Castor Maritime Inc
3 Oct 20252.14
1.98
-7.48%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CUB
NASDAQ · Lionheart Holdings
23 May 202510.41
10.79
3.65%
Buy
3.47
-
-
CUE
NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
17 Apr 202618.19
31.16
71.34%
Buy
0.68
-
-
CULP
NASDAQ · Culp, Inc. Common Stock
8 May 20263.61
3.70
2.49%
Buy
0.29
-
-
CUPR
NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
12 Jun 20263.97
3.97
0.00%
Buy
1.10
-
-
CURV
NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
17 Jul 20262.33
2.33
New
Entry week
Buy
0.17
-
-
CVGI
NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
13 Mar 20262.90
4.53
56.21%
Buy
0.95
-
-
CVLT
NASDAQ · CommVault Systems Inc
24 Apr 202693.92
147.81
57.38%
Buy
0.14
-
-
CWAN
NYSE · Clearwater Analytics Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202519.25
24.56
27.58%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CXM
NYSE · Sprinklr Inc
29 May 20265.58
5.83
4.48%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CXT
NYSE · Crane NXT Co
19 Jun 202646.93
51.27
9.25%
Buy
0.26
-
-
CYRX
NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
6 Jun 20257.00
16.51
135.86%
Buy
0.78
-
-
CYTK
NASDAQ · Cytokinetics Inc
15 Aug 202538.67
80.18
107.34%
Buy
0.65
-
-
CZR
NASDAQ · Caesars Entertainment Corporation
20 Feb 202621.23
29.86
40.65%
Buy
0.04
-
-
DAAQ
NASDAQ · Digital Asset Acquisition Corp.
20 Feb 202610.24
10.40
1.51%
Buy
0.27
-
-
DAIO
NASDAQ · Data I/O Corporation
6 Jun 20252.76
3.35
21.38%
Buy
0.10
-
-
DAR
NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
9 Jan 202639.08
63.10
61.46%
Buy
0.76
-
-
DBI
NYSE · Designer Brands Inc
22 Aug 20253.46
5.72
65.10%
Buy
0.71
-
-
DBRG
NYSE · Digitalbridge Group Inc
23 May 202511.15
15.80
41.77%
Buy
0.48
-
-
DBX
NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
8 May 202628.90
30.62
5.95%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DCBO
NASDAQ · Docebo Inc
1 May 202620.67
20.38
-1.40%
Buy
0.33
-
-
DCH
NYSE · Dauch Corporation
23 May 20254.28
5.44
27.10%
Buy
0.05
-
-
DDD
NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
22 Aug 20252.10
2.69
28.10%
Buy
0.55
-
-
DEA
NYSE · Eerly Govt Ppty Inc
27 Jun 202520.55
25.56
24.37%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DECK
NYSE · Deckers Outdoor Corporation
17 Oct 202599.82
106.49
6.68%
Buy
0.27
-
-
DEI
NYSE · Douglas Emmett Inc
24 Apr 202610.70
12.51
16.92%
Buy
0.39
-
-
DFH
NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
26 Jun 202617.20
15.84
-7.91%
Buy
0.77
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
6 Jun 2025
Entry
PASG
NASDAQ · Passage Bio Inc
8.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.20
6 Jun 2025
Entry
PHAT
NASDAQ · Phathom Pharmaceuticals Inc
8.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.56
6 Jun 2025
Entry
PHIO
NASDAQ · Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp
2.96
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.16
6 Jun 2025
Entry
PII
NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
39.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.72
6 Jun 2025
Entry
POWL
NASDAQ · Powell Industries Inc
63.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.04
6 Jun 2025
Entry
PRG
NYSE · PROG Holdings Inc
28.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.25
6 Jun 2025
Exit
PVH
NYSE · PVH Corp
65.28
20% entry drawdown
-24.18%
Entry 16 May 2025
86.10
6 Jun 2025
Entry
PYPD
NASDAQ · PolyPid
3.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.96
6 Jun 2025
Entry
PZZA
NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
47.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.30
6 Jun 2025
Entry
RAPP
NASDAQ · Rapport Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
12.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.33
6 Jun 2025
Entry
RCUS
NYSE · Arcus Biosciences Inc
9.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.30
6 Jun 2025
Entry
REKR
NASDAQ · Rekor Systems Inc
1.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.00
6 Jun 2025
Entry
RIOT
NASDAQ · Riot Platforms, Inc.
9.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.35
6 Jun 2025
Entry
RNG
NYSE · Ringcentral Inc
27.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.04
6 Jun 2025
Entry
RRGB
NASDAQ · Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
6.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.16
6 Jun 2025
Entry
SANA
NASDAQ · Sana Biotechnology Inc
2.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.21
6 Jun 2025
Entry
SBXD
NYSE · SilverBox Corp IV
10.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.95
6 Jun 2025
Entry
SGMT
NASDAQ · Sagimet Biosciences Inc. Series A Common Stock
5.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.25
6 Jun 2025
Entry
SHOO
NASDAQ · Steven Madden Ltd
24.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.05
6 Jun 2025
Entry
SIMA
NASDAQ · SIM Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares
10.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 2.49
6 Jun 2025
Entry
SKYE
NASDAQ · Skye Bioscience, Inc. Common Stock
2.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.65
6 Jun 2025
Entry
SRI
NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
5.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.27
6 Jun 2025
Entry
STM
NYSE · STMicroelectronics NV ADR
28.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.89
6 Jun 2025
Exit
STN
NYSE · Stantec Inc
105.40
Reversal Risk Warning
58.97%
Entry 14 Jul 2023
66.30
6 Jun 2025
Entry
STOK
NASDAQ · Stoke Therapeutics Inc
11.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.67
6 Jun 2025
Entry
SUIG
NASDAQ · SUI Group Holdings Limited
1.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.10
6 Jun 2025
Entry
SUNS
NASDAQ · Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc.
9.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.16
6 Jun 2025
Entry
SYNA
NASDAQ · Synaptics Incorporated
62.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.14
6 Jun 2025
Entry
TCRX
NASDAQ · Tscan Therapeutics Inc
1.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.69
6 Jun 2025
Entry
TDW
NYSE · Tidewater Inc
43.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.18