- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
NICL
JKT
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PT PAM Mineral Tbk · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Latest close
476.0 IDR
-4.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -45.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.4%, after a -4.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 61/100.
Setup score
22
out of 100
Latest Close
476.0 IDR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-4.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-4.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-39.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
42.3%
22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-4.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -4.8%.
Indicator stack
23/38
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.71%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
61/100
3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -45.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.4%, after a -4.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0312-week average 0.02
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -4.8% over four weeks, -39.7% over 12 weeks, and -55.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.82Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change37.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-37.87Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-13.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment61/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
1 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-76.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility13.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher8 of 2618 weeks finished lower.
Best week+33.2%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-24.3%Week of 22 May.
Latest week-4.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses10
Recent vol13.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.2% / -6.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorID Basic Materials
4-week rank82 / 83
Group average13.7%
Trend breadth13.3%
Trend13.3%active weekly trend signals
MD34.9%positive activity pressure
RS62.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryID Other Industrial Metals & Mining
4-week rank16 / 17
Group average3.8%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD5.9%positive activity pressure
RS35.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape25/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 25/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.71%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.71% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment61/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
Iluka Resources Shares Sink 11% as Mineral Sands Miner's Volatile Year Continues Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 476.0 IDR | -4.4% | 866.1 IDR | 533.9 IDR | -0.82 | -37.87 | 94.3M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 498.0 IDR | -1.4% | 896.1 IDR | 532.3 IDR | -0.95 | -35.25 | 129.7M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 505.0 IDR | 1.8% | 915.8 IDR | 530.6 IDR | -1.15 | -34.95 | 86.8M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 496.0 IDR | -0.8% | 935.9 IDR | 528.9 IDR | -1.24 | -34.07 | 73.9M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 500.0 IDR | -2.9% | 955.4 IDR | 527.5 IDR | -1.32 | -33.53 | 77.0M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 515.0 IDR | -12.7% | 974.3 IDR | 525.9 IDR | -1.52 | -32.28 | 11.4M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 590.0 IDR | -3.3% | 992.9 IDR | 524.3 IDR | -1.64 | -26.46 | 22.1M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 610.0 IDR | 33.2% | 1,007 IDR | 522.2 IDR | -1.75 | -22.49 | 26.4M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 458.0 IDR | -19.6% | 1,019 IDR | 520.0 IDR | -1.74 | -38.20 | 2.4M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 570.0 IDR | -0.9% | 1,036 IDR | 518.6 IDR | -1.56 | -30.49 | 31.1M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 575.0 IDR | -24.3% | 1,049 IDR | 516.2 IDR | -1.40 | -31.23 | 51.8M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 760.0 IDR | -3.7% | 1,065 IDR | 513.9 IDR | -1.28 | -17.26 | 39.3M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 788.9 IDR | -9.1% | 1,074 IDR | 510.6 IDR | -1.10 | -17.50 | 116.7M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 868.3 IDR | 0.6% | 1,084 IDR | 507.1 IDR | -1.07 | -9.31 | 81.9M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.