RWT NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Redwood Trust Inc · Real Estate · Reit - Mortgage

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Latest close 4.57 USD
-7.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 14.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.1%, after a 2.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100.

Setup score 31 out of 100
Latest Close 4.57 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -7.1% latest completed week
4W Return 2.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -14.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 40.4% 21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -7.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 2.0%. Indicator stack 22/35 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 43/100 conviction; expected move 12.4%. News sentiment 49/100 67 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 14.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.1%, after a 2.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1412-week average 0.24

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 2.0% over four weeks, -14.9% over 12 weeks, and -7.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-7.1%
4W2.0%
12W-14.9%
26W-13.8%
52W-7.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.86Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change12.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-21.60Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change11.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength6/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Value26/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Quality6/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Momentum20/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Growth89/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
109.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-49.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
21.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
20.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-1122.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
0.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
136.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
14.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
8.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
23.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
106.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

RWT shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.06, expected move of 12.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction43/100
Expected move12.4%
Put/call volume0.06
Pressure77
Speculation8
Volatility87
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity14 / 6

14 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 67 relevant articles.

12 positive · 43 neutral · 12 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move12.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.4%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-8.3%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week-7.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape29/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis11/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.14; No reversal markers Factors13/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 6; Small Cap Core rank 23 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options43/100

RWT shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.06, expected move of 12.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 12.4% Sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 67 relevant articles.

Keefe Bruyette cuts Redwood Trust stock price target on legacy losses Insiders14 / 6

14 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20264.57 USD-7.1%5.37 USD5.41 USD-0.86-21.6016.3MOff
24 Jul 20264.92 USD-3.9%5.40 USD5.41 USD-0.84-15.077.3MOff
17 Jul 20265.12 USD0.4%5.42 USD5.42 USD-0.71-12.589.2MOff
10 Jul 20265.10 USD13.8%5.43 USD5.42 USD-0.77-14.6754.9MOff
3 Jul 20264.48 USD-6.9%5.43 USD5.42 USD-0.99-24.4014.2MOff
26 Jun 20264.81 USD-3.3%5.46 USD5.42 USD-1.06-17.6712.6MOff
19 Jun 20264.97 USD-1.7%5.47 USD5.42 USD-1.21-17.307.6MOff
12 Jun 20265.06 USD-1.5%5.47 USD5.41 USD-1.27-15.436.4MOff
5 Jun 20265.14 USD-1.7%5.46 USD5.41 USD-1.28-13.994.6MOff
29 May 20265.22 USD2.7%5.45 USD5.41 USD-1.16-15.023.6MOff
22 May 20265.09 USD1.9%5.44 USD5.40 USD-0.96-16.274.9MOff
15 May 20264.99 USD-7.0%5.45 USD5.40 USD-0.77-17.445.4MOff
8 May 20265.37 USD-2.8%5.45 USD5.39 USD-0.43-11.504.9MOn
1 May 20265.52 USD0.4%5.45 USD5.38 USD-0.23-7.237.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.