MCRI NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

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Latest close 122.8 USD
2.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 72.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.7%, after a -5.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 39/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 79d.

Setup score 57 out of 100
Latest Close 122.8 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.7% latest completed week
4W Return -5.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 71.2% 37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 16-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.7% Latest completed week; four-week move -5.5%. Indicator stack 84/44 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 39/100 conviction; expected move 5.3%. News sentiment 57/100 67 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 79d Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 72.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.7%, after a -5.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9612-week average 0.91

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.96Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.5% over four weeks, 3.7% over 12 weeks, and 22.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 16 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.7%
4W-5.5%
12W3.7%
26W34.9%
52W22.3%
Active trend streak16 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.08Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-95.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.42Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-21.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength68/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Value33/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Quality96/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Momentum70/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Growth92/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework56/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
18.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
45.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
22.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
35.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
25.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
5.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
45.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

MCRI shows bullish options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.33, expected move of 5.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction39/100
Expected move5.3%
Put/call volume0.33
Pressure61
Speculation4
Volatility37
Trend agreement33
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 7

8 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 67 relevant articles.

26 positive · 37 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings79dNext report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.9%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-5.6%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+2.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains14
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape62/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 62/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis87/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.96; 2 reversal markers Factors67/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 18; Small Cap Core rank 69 SVQF56/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 318.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options50/100

MCRI shows bullish options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.33, expected move of 5.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 5.3% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 67 relevant articles.

MCRI|Monarch Casino & Resort Inc|Price:122.550|Chg%:-0.240 Insiders8 / 7

8 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings79d

Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026122.8 USD2.7%108.9 USD83.45 USD0.088.42563.5KOn
24 Jul 2026119.5 USD-2.8%108.0 USD83.08 USD0.636.12838.2KOn
17 Jul 2026123.0 USD-0.7%107.3 USD82.73 USD1.157.38877.3KOn
10 Jul 2026123.9 USD-4.7%106.5 USD82.38 USD1.493.50739.3KOn
3 Jul 2026129.9 USD-2.9%105.6 USD82.02 USD1.7610.75754.7KOn
26 Jun 2026133.9 USD2.5%104.5 USD81.61 USD1.7915.381.1MOn
19 Jun 2026130.7 USD1.3%103.2 USD81.19 USD1.667.941.1MOn
12 Jun 2026129.0 USD5.2%102.0 USD80.77 USD1.559.65933.0KOn
5 Jun 2026122.7 USD2.3%100.9 USD80.38 USD1.496.98864.8KOn
29 May 2026120.0 USD3.0%99.87 USD80.01 USD1.440.07484.9KOn
22 May 2026116.5 USD-1.0%98.85 USD79.67 USD1.520.04601.5KOn
15 May 2026117.7 USD-0.5%98.00 USD79.32 USD1.612.29638.4KOn
8 May 2026118.3 USD0.8%97.20 USD78.98 USD1.442.63528.4KOn
1 May 2026117.3 USD2.3%96.45 USD78.63 USD1.227.43756.0KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.